Politik Vorhersagemärkte

Politikmärkte gehören zu den tiefsten von Polymarket: US-Wahlen (Präsident, Kongress), Israel, UK, Deutschland, Frankreich und Brasilien. Auch Regierungskrisen, Misstrauensvoten, Amtsenthebungen und Kabinettsbestellungen.

Umfragen sind nur ein Input unter vielen; Vorhersagemärkte aggregieren Umfragen, Wählerwissen, soziale Daten und Expertenprognosen zu einem einzigen Preis. Oft genauer als jede einzelne Umfrage.

150 aktive Märkte
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Fed-Entscheidung im September?Fed-Entscheidung im September?
25 bps increase25 bps increase53%JaNein
No changeNo change45%JaNein
$7,3 Mio. Vol 16/09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
25%
Chance
Ja Nein
$1,7 Mio. Vol 31/12
Anzahl der Tweets von Elon Musk 24 Juli - 31 Juli, 2026?Anzahl der Tweets von Elon Musk 24 Juli - 31 Juli, 2026?
260-27944%JaNein
240-25943%JaNein
$1,2 Mio. Vol Endet heute
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
June 302%
July 3183%
$710,6 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
Normalisiert sich der Verkehr in die Straße von Hormus bis 31 Juli? Normalisiert sich der Verkehr in die Straße von Hormus bis 31 Juli?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$1,2 Mio. Vol Endet heute
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%JaNein
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff13%JaNein
$1,2 Mrd. Vol 07/11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
August 317%
August 151%
$1,2 Mio. Vol 31/08
Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei79%JaNein
No Head of State7%JaNein
$37,3 Mio. Vol 31/12
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%JaNein
Marco RubioMarco Rubio12%JaNein
$674,1 Mio. Vol 07/11
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
27%
Chance
Ja Nein
$3,4 Mio. Vol 01/01
Anzahl der Tweets von Elon Musk 28 Juli - 4 August, 2026?Anzahl der Tweets von Elon Musk 28 Juli - 4 August, 2026?
220-23921%JaNein
200-21920%JaNein
$1,2 Mio. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
14%
Chance
Ja Nein
$280 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 317%JaNein
September 301%JaNein
$63,8 Mio. Vol 31/12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3186%JaNein
October 3180%JaNein
$2 Mio. Vol 31/08
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen29%JaNein
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%JaNein
$116,8 Mio. Vol 30/04
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed95%JaNein
Haley StevensHaley Stevens6%JaNein
$1,7 Mio. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Trump out as President by July 31? Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$191,2 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin64%JaNein
Marjorie Taylor GreeneMarjorie Taylor Greene48%JaNein
$148,4 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Anzahl der Tweets von Elon Musk 31 Juli - 7 August, 2026?Anzahl der Tweets von Elon Musk 31 Juli - 7 August, 2026?
200-21916%JaNein
220-23915%JaNein
$1,2 Mio. Vol 07/08
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%JaNein
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%JaNein
$682 Mio. Vol 07/11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3122%JaNein
September 3016%JaNein
$8,8 Mio. Vol Endet heute
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202730%JaNein
December 3122%JaNein
$21,3 Mio. Vol 31/12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 319%JaNein
September 305%JaNein
$29 Mio. Vol 31/12
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%JaNein
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%JaNein
$116,6 Mio. Vol 04/10
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3129%JaNein
August 1517%JaNein
$25,4 Mio. Vol Endet heute
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%JaNein
Benjamin Netanyahu35%JaNein
$30,4 Mio. Vol 31/12
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3135%JaNein
August 1519%JaNein
$88,2 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202716%JaNein
December 31, 20269%JaNein
$83,6 Tsd. Vol 30/06
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)60%JaNein
New People (NL)New People (NL)33%JaNein
$16,4 Mio. Vol 20/09
Normalisiert sich der Verkehr in die Straße von Hormus bis 30 September? Normalisiert sich der Verkehr in die Straße von Hormus bis 30 September?
19%
Chance
Ja Nein
$1,2 Mio. Vol 30/09
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage97%JaNein
Count BinfaceCount Binface2%JaNein
$3 Mio. Vol 13/08
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
December 31December 3113%JaNein
September 30September 305%JaNein
$67,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 156%JaNein
July 311%JaNein
$8,6 Mio. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone59%JaNein
Ralph NormanRalph Norman37%JaNein
$519,7 Tsd. Vol 11/08
Anzahl der Tweets von Elon Musk 30 Juli - 1 August, 2026?Anzahl der Tweets von Elon Musk 30 Juli - 1 August, 2026?
40-6452%JaNein
65-8927%JaNein
$85,4 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Next Premier of QuebecNext Premier of Quebec
Paul St-Pierre PlamondonPaul St-Pierre Plamondon62%JaNein
Christine FréchetteChristine Fréchette29%JaNein
$141,3 Tsd. Vol 05/10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 316%JaNein
March 311%JaNein
$57,8 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$55,3 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Anzahl der Tweets von Elon Musk im Juli 2026?Anzahl der Tweets von Elon Musk im Juli 2026?
840-87975%JaNein
880-91920%JaNein
$55 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%JaNein
R Senate, D House43%JaNein
$9 Mio. Vol 03/11
Normalisiert sich der Verkehr in die Straße von Hormus bis 31 Dezember? Normalisiert sich der Verkehr in die Straße von Hormus bis 31 Dezember?
52%
Chance
Ja Nein
$1,2 Mio. Vol 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
91%
Chance
Ja Nein
$46,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
What will happen before GTA VI?What will happen before GTA VI?
Another Pandemic51%JaNein
New Rihanna Album51%JaNein
$23,6 Mio. Vol Endet heute
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3037%JaNein
Schweiz25%JaNein
$36,9 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
Chance
Ja Nein
$280 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202692%JaNein
September 30, 202688%JaNein
$8,6 Mio. Vol Endet heute
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
Chance
Ja Nein
$191,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro82%JaNein
Delcy Rodríguez10%JaNein
$94,8 Mio. Vol 31/12
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
September 30September 3099%JaNein
February 28February 281%JaNein
$1,1 Mio. Vol 30/09
What will Trump say during Cabinet Meeting?What will Trump say during Cabinet Meeting?
Venezuela85%JaNein
Fed / Federal Reserve75%JaNein
$113,4 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
358%JaNein
429%JaNein
$27,6 Tsd. Vol 6 Tage verbleibend
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley BellWesley Bell64%JaNein
Cori BushCori Bush35%JaNein
$212,2 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3136%JaNein
October 3116%JaNein
$5,8 Mio. Vol 31/12
Fällt das iranische Regime vor 2027? Fällt das iranische Regime vor 2027?
9%
Chance
Ja Nein
$34,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Bulgaria Presidential ElectionBulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana IotovaIliana Iotova76%JaNein
Аndrey GyurovАndrey Gyurov21%JaNein
$278,2 Tsd. Vol 30/11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3113%JaNein
October 316%JaNein
$17,6 Mio. Vol 31/12
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed80%JaNein
Haley StevensHaley Stevens11%JaNein
$33,9 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney82%JaNein
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar19%JaNein
$126,9 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 3150%JaNein
November 3050%JaNein
$2,1 Mio. Vol 31/12
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed54%JaNein
Haley StevensHaley Stevens49%JaNein
$42,1 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3153%JaNein
September 30September 3019%JaNein
$1 Mio. Vol 31/12
MI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
William LawrenceWilliam Lawrence93%JaNein
Matt MaasdamMatt Maasdam6%JaNein
$114,6 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3115%JaNein
July 312%JaNein
$1,3 Mio. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig99%JaNein
Marlon Scott WestMarlon Scott West1%JaNein
$406,8 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
Which Senate races will be within 5%?Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Ohio (Special)78%JaNein
Michigan72%JaNein
$17,9 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
160-17964%JaNein
180-19927%JaNein
$83,7 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
El-Sayed 10–15%35%JaNein
El-Sayed 5–10%31%JaNein
$39 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya11%JaNein
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy7%JaNein
$23 Mio. Vol 10/10
How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?
No Handshake95%JaNein
6–10s4%JaNein
$15,1 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
BNBN76%JaNein
PHPH25%JaNein
$105,6 Tsd. Vol 3 Tage verbleibend
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson84%JaNein
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson13%JaNein
$3,3 Mio. Vol 13/09
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
9%
Chance
Ja Nein
$364,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
66%
Chance
Ja Nein
$15,7 Tsd. Vol 20/01
WA-03 Primary First PlaceWA-03 Primary First Place
John BraunJohn Braun77%JaNein
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezMarie Gluesenkamp Perez23%JaNein
$36,8 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
December 3120%JaNein
August 312%JaNein
$164,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
July 311%
December 3170%
$972,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
NATO article 5 before 2027? NATO article 5 before 2027?
8%
Chance
Ja Nein
$11,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?
July 318%
August 3118%
$33,9 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
July 3190%
August 3195%
$12 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Stimmt Iran bis 31 Dezember dem Stopp der Urananreicherung zu? Stimmt Iran bis 31 Dezember dem Stopp der Urananreicherung zu?
26%
Chance
Ja Nein
$15,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Kash Patel bis... aus dem Amt?Kash Patel bis... aus dem Amt?
December 3130%JaNein
September 307%JaNein
$1,7 Mio. Vol
Fällt das iranische Regime bis 30 September? Fällt das iranische Regime bis 30 September?
3%
Chance
Ja Nein
$34,6 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Nigerian Presidential Election WinnerNigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu68%JaNein
Peter ObiPeter Obi32%JaNein
$90,6 Tsd. Vol 16/01
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
52%
Chance
Ja Nein
$839,4 Tsd. Vol 20/08
Minas Gerais Governor Election WinnerMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo21%JaNein
Alexandre KalilAlexandre Kalil20%JaNein
$134,8 Tsd. Vol 04/10
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.0%33%JaNein
3.75%31%JaNein
$6,7 Mio. Vol 09/12
TN-05 Republican Primary WinnerTN-05 Republican Primary Winner
Andy Ogles77%JaNein
Charlie Hatcher19%JaNein
$13,3 Tsd. Vol 06/08
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Hong 20–25%22%JaNein
Hong 30%+22%JaNein
$9,3 Tsd. Vol 11/08
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%JaNein
James FishbackJames Fishback2%JaNein
$2,2 Mio. Vol 18/08
MI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Callie BarrCallie Barr72%JaNein
Kyle BlomquistKyle Blomquist28%JaNein
$31 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Trump signs housing bill by end of July? Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$53,7 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Tennessee Governor Republican Primary WinnerTennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner
Marsha BlackburnMarsha Blackburn94%JaNein
John RoseJohn Rose6%JaNein
$32,4 Tsd. Vol 7 Tage verbleibend
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Midterm97%JaNein
Affordable / Affordability95%JaNein
$8,5 Tsd. Vol 31/08
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3128%JaNein
October 3113%JaNein
$235,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud59%JaNein
YasharYashar42%JaNein
$185 Tsd. Vol 27/10
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)31%JaNein
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)30%JaNein
$409,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 305%
$128,4 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?
December 3112%
June 301%
$8,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro79%JaNein
Renan SantosRenan Santos6%JaNein
$4,3 Mio. Vol 04/10
Zelenskyy # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026?Zelenskyy # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026?
60-7936%JaNein
80-9922%JaNein
$10,5 Tsd. Vol 07/08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
10%
Chance
Ja Nein
$3,2 Mio. Vol 31/12
What will Trump say during his Announcement on Freedom Haulers?What will Trump say during his Announcement on Freedom Haulers?
Illegal Alien99%JaNein
CDL / Commercial Driver's License98%JaNein
$7,8 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3144%JaNein
September 3038%JaNein
$7,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
18%
Chance
Ja Nein
$7,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202649%JaNein
December13%JaNein
$159,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 202741%JaNein
December 3112%JaNein
$3,2 Mio. Vol 31/12
Will any country leave NATO by...?Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 202550%JaNein
December 31, 20263%JaNein
$1,4 Mio. Vol 31/12
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi1%JaNein
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa1%JaNein
$2 Mio. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Michigan Governor Republican Primary WinnerMichigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John JamesJohn James95%JaNein
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson5%JaNein
$155,9 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6%
Chance
Ja Nein
$10,5 Mio. Vol 31/12
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
69%
Chance
Ja Nein
$19,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
Chance
Ja Nein
$6,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 3125%JaNein
June 301%JaNein
$2,1 Mio. Vol Endet heute
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
August 3187%JaNein
August 1555%JaNein
$7 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Wie hoch steigt die Inflation 2026?Wie hoch steigt die Inflation 2026?
Above 4.5%25%JaNein
Above 5%13%JaNein
$1,3 Mio. Vol 31/12
WA-07 House Election WinnerWA-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%JaNein
Republican Party3%JaNein
$31,2 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat69%JaNein
RepublicanRepublican32%JaNein
$143,5 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Kamala HarrisKamala Harris13%JaNein
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg11%JaNein
$982,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3153%JaNein
September 3034%JaNein
$6,4 Mio. Vol Endet heute
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez92%JaNein
María Corina Machado4%JaNein
$352,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Ohio Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)52%JaNein
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)50%JaNein
$115,6 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface79%JaNein
William CloustonWilliam Clouston9%JaNein
$316,7 Tsd. Vol 13/08
Ted Cruz # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?Ted Cruz # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
120-13984%JaNein
140-1596%JaNein
$10,5 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%35%JaNein
Binface 20–30%29%JaNein
$175,6 Tsd. Vol 13/08
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
38%
Chance
Ja Nein
$209,4 Tsd. Vol 06/09
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
60+44%JaNein
No prison time34%JaNein
$657,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Flanagan 10–15%22%JaNein
Flanagan 5–10%21%JaNein
$5,8 Tsd. Vol 11/08
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%34%JaNein
↓ 3.25%12%JaNein
$1,7 Mio. Vol 31/12
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3189%JaNein
September 3088%JaNein
$233,3 Tsd. Vol 31/12
MI-11 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Jeremy MossJeremy Moss88%JaNein
Aisha FarooqiAisha Farooqi12%JaNein
$52,1 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?
99%
Chance
Ja Nein
$13,2 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
December 3140%JaNein
July 313%JaNein
$2,8 Mio. Vol 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
10%
Chance
Ja Nein
$280 Tsd. Vol 30/06
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
December 31December 3142%JaNein
September 30September 305%JaNein
$4,7 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
White House # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?White House # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
180-19966%JaNein
200+34%JaNein
$6,1 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 den Senat?Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 den Senat?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%JaNein
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%JaNein
$3,3 Mio. Vol 03/11
Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 das Repräsentantenhaus?Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 das Repräsentantenhaus?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%JaNein
Republican PartyRepublican Party14%JaNein
$4,4 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Next Secretary-General of the United NationsNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rafael GrossiRafael Grossi47%JaNein
Macky SallMacky Sall28%JaNein
$154,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Peggy FlanaganPeggy Flanagan85%JaNein
Angie CraigAngie Craig16%JaNein
$93,2 Tsd. Vol 11/08
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Above 5051%JaNein
Above 5537%JaNein
$4,2 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
4%
Chance
Ja Nein
$11,5 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei52%JaNein
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof43%JaNein
$386,4 Tsd. Vol 24/10
MO-06 Republican Primary WinnerMO-06 Republican Primary Winner
Chris StigallChris Stigall80%JaNein
Nathan WillettNathan Willett21%JaNein
$12,8 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
FL-08 House Election WinnerFL-08 House Election Winner
Republican Party90%JaNein
Democratic Party11%JaNein
$23,4 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
John Brennan30%JaNein
Mahmoud Khalil22%JaNein
$247,9 Tsd. Vol
Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of VictoryKansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Masterson <5%33%JaNein
Masterson 10–15%22%JaNein
$4 Tsd. Vol 6 Tage verbleibend
MO-04 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Hartzell GrayHartzell Gray86%JaNein
Jordan HerreraJordan Herrera13%JaNein
$14,8 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202790%JaNein
SchweizSchweiz3%JaNein
$4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Texas99%JaNein
Florida98%JaNein
$379,6 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3131%JaNein
August 318%JaNein
$952,6 Tsd. Vol
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