Politics-Märkte
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
April 15
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June 30
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Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner
DMKJa 76¢Nein 24¢
TVKJa 13¢Nein 87¢

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 30
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May 31
Ja 37¢Nein 63¢

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
April 22
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US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
May 15
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May 5
Ja 74¢Nein 26¢

Fed decision in April?
No change
Ja 99¢Nein 1¢
25 bps decrease
Ja 1¢Nein 99¢

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomJa 26¢Nein 74¢
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezJa 8¢Nein 92¢

Elon Musk # tweets April 17 - April 24, 2026?
200-219
Ja 99¢Nein 1¢
180-199
Ja 1¢Nein 99¢

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin WarshJa 98¢Nein 2¢
Judy SheltonJa 1¢Nein 99¢

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?
April 30
Ja 99¢Nein 1¢

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJa 39¢Nein 61¢
Marco RubioJa 20¢Nein 80¢

Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJa 19¢Nein 81¢
Gavin NewsomJa 17¢Nein 83¢

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
June 30
Ja 65¢Nein 35¢
May 31
Ja 39¢Nein 61¢

Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko FujimoriJa 67¢Nein 33¢
Roberto Sánchez PalominoJa 31¢Nein 69¢

Next French Presidential Election
Édouard PhilippeJa 22¢Nein 78¢
Jordan BardellaJa 21¢Nein 79¢

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
BJPJa 55¢Nein 45¢
AITCJa 44¢Nein 56¢

Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio BolsonaroJa 38¢Nein 62¢
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaJa 36¢Nein 64¢

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
May 31
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April 30
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Elon Musk # tweets April 21 - April 28, 2026?
200-219
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220-239
Ja 21¢Nein 79¢