Masoko ya Utabiri wa Siasa

Masoko ya siasa ni miongoni mwa ya kina zaidi ya Polymarket — uchaguzi wa Marekani (rais, Congress), Israel, Uingereza, Ujerumani, Ufaransa na Brazil. Pia mizozo ya serikali, kura za kutokuwa na imani, kuondolewa madarakani na uteuzi wa baraza.

Kura ni moja ya ingizo kati ya mengi — masoko ya utabiri yanakusanya kura, maarifa ya wapiga kura, data za kijamii na makadirio ya wataalamu katika bei moja. Mara nyingi yana usahihi zaidi kuliko kura yoyote moja.

Masoko 145 hai
Panga
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%NdiyoHapana
Marco RubioMarco Rubio27%NdiyoHapana
No changeNo change76%NdiyoHapana
25 bps increase25 bps increase24%NdiyoHapana
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom20%NdiyoHapana
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff16%NdiyoHapana
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JD VanceJD Vance20%NdiyoHapana
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom13%NdiyoHapana
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Gadi Eizenkot53%NdiyoHapana
Benjamin Netanyahu35%NdiyoHapana
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%NdiyoHapana
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro23%NdiyoHapana
Mojtaba Khamenei78%NdiyoHapana
No Head of State5%NdiyoHapana
June 30, 202739%NdiyoHapana
December 3124%NdiyoHapana
220-23916%NdiyoHapana
240-25915%NdiyoHapana
August 3136%NdiyoHapana
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Nicolás Maduro82%NdiyoHapana
Delcy Rodríguez10%NdiyoHapana
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen32%NdiyoHapana
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe27%NdiyoHapana
August 1512%NdiyoHapana
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United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)57%NdiyoHapana
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Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed65%NdiyoHapana
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<4027%NdiyoHapana
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Uswisi25%NdiyoHapana
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Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%NdiyoHapana
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New Rihanna Album52%NdiyoHapana
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Nigel FarageNigel Farage96%NdiyoHapana
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Democrats Sweep44%NdiyoHapana
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United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)97%NdiyoHapana
New People (NL)New People (NL)2%NdiyoHapana
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Scott Singer42%NdiyoHapana
George Moraitis26%NdiyoHapana
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Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%NdiyoHapana
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Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party6%NdiyoHapana
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Jennifer Austria BarzagaJennifer Austria Barzaga94%NdiyoHapana
Raul Rex Del Rosario MangubatRaul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat3%NdiyoHapana
Peggy FlanaganPeggy Flanagan77%NdiyoHapana
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Sydney Kamlager-Dove94%NdiyoHapana
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Donald BrodieDonald Brodie47%NdiyoHapana
Stefan BrodieStefan Brodie34%NdiyoHapana
Luciano Zucco62%NdiyoHapana
Juliana Brizola32%NdiyoHapana
July 316%
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Johnny Garrett74%NdiyoHapana
Van Hilleary28%NdiyoHapana
Tom BegichTom Begich36%NdiyoHapana
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson30%NdiyoHapana
AuylAuyl51%NdiyoHapana
Aq JolAq Jol24%NdiyoHapana
Joe Strada58%NdiyoHapana
Carey Baker26%NdiyoHapana
Renan SantosRenan Santos66%NdiyoHapana
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado16%NdiyoHapana
July 3115%
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Ademola AdelekeAdemola Adeleke57%NdiyoHapana
Bola OyebamijiBola Oyebamiji40%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party93%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party7%NdiyoHapana
40-5958%NdiyoHapana
20-3924%NdiyoHapana
UBJP71%NdiyoHapana
BFP19%NdiyoHapana
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Delcy Rodríguez92%NdiyoHapana
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Iliana IotovaIliana Iotova54%NdiyoHapana
Аndrey GyurovАndrey Gyurov33%NdiyoHapana
Roy Cooper (D)Roy Cooper (D)87%NdiyoHapana
Michael Whatley (R)Michael Whatley (R)14%NdiyoHapana
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Republican Party2%NdiyoHapana
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Farage 60%+Farage 60%+36%NdiyoHapana
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UPNDUPND97%NdiyoHapana
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Paramount63%NdiyoHapana
None by June 30, 202725%NdiyoHapana
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Catalina LaufCatalina Lauf20%NdiyoHapana
September 3036%
December 3148%
Republican Party94%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party7%NdiyoHapana

Unataka kufanya biashara katika masoko ya Siasa?

Fungua akaunti ya Polymarket na uanze biashara leo

Fungua Akaunti ya Polymarket

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Kuhusu Masoko ya Siasa

Je, masoko ya utabiri yana usahihi zaidi kuliko kura?

Mara nyingi — ndiyo. Yanakusanya taarifa mbalimbali (kura, maarifa ya ndani, uchambuzi) katika bei moja. Si kamilifu; zishughulike kama chombo muhimu, si pekee.

Ni uchaguzi gani unashughulikiwa kwenye Polymarket?

Uchaguzi wa rais na wa Congress wa Marekani, serikali za Ulaya na Asia, mbio muhimu za ndani, uchaguzi wa chama. Kila demokrasia kuu inapata mwangaza wa maana.

Nifanyeje biashara ya uchaguzi kwa njia ya busara?

Fuata kura za kawaida lakini epuka masoko yenye likiditi ndogo. Kujiandaa kabla ya mijadala au mahojiano makubwa kunaweza kupunguza hatari kwenye nafasi zilizokusanywa.

Anza Mafunzo ya Polymarket Bure
Trade soko la utabiri kwa pesa za virtual. Bei halisi, hatari sifuri. Shindana kwenye orodha ya washindani.
$1K
Fedha za Kijamii
500+
Masoko
$0
Hatari Halisi
Jifunze zaidi