Mga Pamilihan ng Prediksyon sa Politika

Ang mga pamilihan sa politika ay kabilang sa pinakamalalim ng Polymarket: mga halalan sa US (presidente, Kongreso), Israel, UK, Germany, France at Brazil. Kasama rin ang mga krisis sa gobyerno, mga boto ng kawalang tiwala, mga impeachment at mga pagtatalaga sa gabinete.

Ang mga poll ay isa sa maraming input; ang mga pamilihan ng prediksyon ay nag-aaggregate ng polling, kaalaman ng botante, datos sa lipunan at mga forecast ng eksperto sa isang presyo. Kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa anumang solong poll.

150 aktibong market
Halalan Trump US-China Digmaan sa Ukraine Putin United States United Kingdom France Russia Brazil China
Ayusin
Desisyon ng Fed sa Setyembre?Desisyon ng Fed sa Setyembre?
25 bps increase25 bps increase57%OoHindi
No changeNo change41%OoHindi
$1.4M Dami 16/09
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%OoHindi
Marco RubioMarco Rubio13%OoHindi
$674.9M Dami 07/11
Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?
Marjorie Taylor GreeneMarjorie Taylor Greene48%OoHindi
Zohran MamdaniZohran Mamdani38%OoHindi
$740.8K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
June 302%
July 311%
$707.8K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 31, 202661%OoHindi
December 3150%OoHindi
$2.8M Dami 31/12
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%OoHindi
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%OoHindi
$117M Dami 04/10
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202731%OoHindi
December 3122%OoHindi
$21.7M Dami 31/12
Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 28 Hulyo - 4 Agosto, 2026?Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 28 Hulyo - 4 Agosto, 2026?
240-25922%OoHindi
260-27921%OoHindi
$1.7M Dami 4 araw pa
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
24%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$279.6K Dami 31/12
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%OoHindi
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff14%OoHindi
$1.25B Dami 07/11
Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 30 Hulyo - 1 Agosto, 2026?Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 30 Hulyo - 1 Agosto, 2026?
65-8966%OoHindi
90-11418%OoHindi
$244K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3125%OoHindi
August 1513%OoHindi
$25.6M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
25%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$3.5M Dami 01/01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3119%OoHindi
September 3012%OoHindi
$8.9M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
August 317%
August 151%
$530.3K Dami 31/08
Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 31 Hulyo - 7 Agosto, 2026?Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 31 Hulyo - 7 Agosto, 2026?
220-23916%OoHindi
200-21915%OoHindi
$1.7M Dami 7 araw pa
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3187%OoHindi
October 3180%OoHindi
$2.1M Dami 31/08
Aling partido ang mananalo sa Senado sa 2026?Aling partido ang mananalo sa Senado sa 2026?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%OoHindi
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%OoHindi
$3.4M Dami 03/11
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202715%OoHindi
December 31, 20269%OoHindi
$98.5K Dami 30/06
Babalik ba sa normal ang trapiko sa Kipot ng Hormuz bago ang 30 Setyembre? Babalik ba sa normal ang trapiko sa Kipot ng Hormuz bago ang 30 Setyembre?
17%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$530.3K Dami 30/09
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3135%OoHindi
August 1518%OoHindi
$86.4K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep45%OoHindi
R Senate, D House43%OoHindi
$9.1M Dami 03/11
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)62%OoHindi
New People (NL)New People (NL)32%OoHindi
$16.5M Dami 20/09
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%OoHindi
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%OoHindi
$682.1M Dami 07/11
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen30%OoHindi
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%OoHindi
$116.9M Dami 30/04
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage97%OoHindi
Count BinfaceCount Binface2%OoHindi
$3.1M Dami 13/08
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
December 3155%OoHindi
July 316%OoHindi
$2.9M Dami 31/12
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney84%OoHindi
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar17%OoHindi
$212.6K Dami 4 araw pa
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202694%OoHindi
September 30, 202687%OoHindi
$8.6M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Babagsak ba ang rehimeng Iranian bago ang 2027? Babagsak ba ang rehimeng Iranian bago ang 2027?
9%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$82.9K Dami 31/12
Aalis ba sa puwesto si Netanyahu bago ang...?Aalis ba sa puwesto si Netanyahu bago ang...?
December 3141%OoHindi
July 311%OoHindi
$50.9K Dami 31/12
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 157%OoHindi
July 311%OoHindi
$8.6M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202793%OoHindi
SwitzerlandSwitzerland3%OoHindi
$47.4K Dami 31/12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 316%OoHindi
September 302%OoHindi
$63.9M Dami 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%OoHindi
Benjamin Netanyahu35%OoHindi
$30.5M Dami 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro82%OoHindi
Delcy Rodríguez10%OoHindi
$94.8M Dami 31/12
Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 1 Agosto - 3 Agosto, 2026?Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk 1 Agosto - 3 Agosto, 2026?
40-6441%OoHindi
65-8930%OoHindi
$244K Dami 3 araw pa
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed96%OoHindi
Haley StevensHaley Stevens3%OoHindi
$1.7M Dami 4 araw pa
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
1%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$107.2K Dami 30/09
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$107.2K Dami 31/12
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3153%OoHindi
September 3025%OoHindi
$37.7K Dami 31/12
Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk sa Hulyo 2026?Bilang ng tweets ni Elon Musk sa Hulyo 2026?
880-91963%OoHindi
840-87938%OoHindi
$35.4K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya10%OoHindi
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy7%OoHindi
$23M Dami 10/10
Babagsak ba ang rehimeng Iranian bago ang 30 Setyembre? Babagsak ba ang rehimeng Iranian bago ang 30 Setyembre?
3%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$82.9K Dami 30/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone63%OoHindi
Ralph NormanRalph Norman31%OoHindi
$548.1K Dami 11/08
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
14%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$107.2K Dami 31/12
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
September 30September 3099%OoHindi
February 28February 281%OoHindi
$1.1M Dami 30/09
Babalik ba sa normal ang trapiko sa Kipot ng Hormuz bago ang 31 Disyembre? Babalik ba sa normal ang trapiko sa Kipot ng Hormuz bago ang 31 Disyembre?
51%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$530.3K Dami 31/12
What will happen before GTA VI?What will happen before GTA VI?
Another Pandemic51%OoHindi
New Rihanna Album51%OoHindi
$23.6M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
BNBN74%OoHindi
PHPH27%OoHindi
$128.8K Dami 2 araw pa
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3157%OoHindi
September 30September 3019%OoHindi
$1.1M Dami 31/12
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%OoHindi
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton6%OoHindi
$40.5M Dami 03/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface79%OoHindi
William CloustonWilliam Clouston8%OoHindi
$338.6K Dami 13/08
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$39.1K Dami 31/12
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202611%
June 30, 202732%
$27.1K Dami 30/06
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley BellWesley Bell71%OoHindi
Cori BushCori Bush29%OoHindi
$233.8K Dami 4 araw pa
CA-23 House Election WinnerCA-23 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%OoHindi
Democratic Party6%OoHindi
$58.2K Dami 03/11
Next Prime Minister of Spain?Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez FeijóoAlberto Núñez Feijóo80%OoHindi
Pedro SánchezPedro Sánchez9%OoHindi
$91.7K Dami 31/03
Trump out as President by July 31? Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$39.1K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$15.3K Dami 31/12
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
92%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$586.5K Dami 31/12
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%OoHindi
James FishbackJames Fishback2%OoHindi
$2.2M Dami 18/08
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$14.2K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Aalis ba sa puwesto si Macron bago ang...?Aalis ba sa puwesto si Macron bago ang...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 202614%OoHindi
July 31, 2026July 31, 20261%OoHindi
$2.1M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed63%OoHindi
Haley StevensHaley Stevens37%OoHindi
$20.6K Dami 4 araw pa
VA-02 House Election WinnerVA-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party84%OoHindi
Republican PartyRepublican Party16%OoHindi
$16.1K Dami 04/11
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3040%OoHindi
Switzerland25%OoHindi
$13.3K Dami 30/09
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
El-Sayed 15–20%33%OoHindi
El-Sayed 10–15%29%OoHindi
$59.6K Dami 4 araw pa
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
John Brennan30%OoHindi
Mahmoud Khalil25%OoHindi
$261.8K Dami
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?
98%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$26.2K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner
Haley StevensHaley Stevens58%OoHindi
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed43%OoHindi
$54.7K Dami 4 araw pa
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud61%OoHindi
YasharYashar32%OoHindi
$197.2K Dami 27/10
FL-26 House Election WinnerFL-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%OoHindi
Democratic Party16%OoHindi
$51K Dami 03/11
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro78%OoHindi
Renan SantosRenan Santos9%OoHindi
$4.4M Dami 04/10
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Thom Tillis82%OoHindi
Jerry Moran55%OoHindi
$15.2K Dami 01/01
Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei79%OoHindi
No Head of State7%OoHindi
$37.4M Dami 31/12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 319%OoHindi
September 305%OoHindi
$29M Dami 31/12
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Joe BidenJoe Biden99%OoHindi
Barack ObamaBarack Obama96%OoHindi
$740.8K Dami 31/08
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary WinnerMinnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike LindellMike Lindell73%OoHindi
Lisa DemuthLisa Demuth25%OoHindi
$489.2K Dami 11/08
Michigan Governor Republican Primary WinnerMichigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John JamesJohn James94%OoHindi
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson6%OoHindi
$168K Dami 4 araw pa
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry25%OoHindi
Ken SimKen Sim24%OoHindi
$158.2K Dami 17/10
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry25%OoHindi
Ken SimKen Sim24%OoHindi
$158.2K Dami 17/10
How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?
No Handshake99%OoHindi
2–6s3%OoHindi
$11.1K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
48%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$851.2K Dami 20/08
FL-22 House Election WinnerFL-22 House Election Winner
Republican Party58%OoHindi
Democratic Party41%OoHindi
$34.8K Dami 03/11
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3124%OoHindi
August 316%OoHindi
$962.5K Dami
MN-06 House Election WinnerMN-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party83%OoHindi
Democratic Party16%OoHindi
$32.3K Dami 03/11
MI-10 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Christina HinesChristina Hines89%OoHindi
Eric ChungEric Chung6%OoHindi
$72.6K Dami 4 araw pa
TX-24 House Election WinnerTX-24 House Election Winner
Republican Party84%OoHindi
Democratic Party15%OoHindi
$55.9K Dami 03/11
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3115%OoHindi
July 311%OoHindi
$1.3M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
32%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$963.9K Dami 03/01
2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner
Mo Ivory97%OoHindi
Eric J. Tatum2%OoHindi
$16.7K Dami 03/11
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic60%OoHindi
RepublicanRepublican41%OoHindi
$1.9M Dami 07/11
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3128%OoHindi
October 3116%OoHindi
$244.3K Dami 31/12
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
98%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$144.5K Dami 15/08
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second PlaceSouth Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place
Ralph NormanRalph Norman50%OoHindi
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone37%OoHindi
$8.6K Dami 11/08
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
None before 202743%OoHindi
Netanyahu - Israel PM26%OoHindi
$8.3K Dami 31/12
NC-07 House Election WinnerNC-07 House Election Winner
Republican Party81%OoHindi
Democratic Party16%OoHindi
$26.5K Dami 03/11
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%34%OoHindi
↓ 3.25%10%OoHindi
$1.7M Dami 31/12
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf1%OoHindi
Benjamin Netanyahu1%OoHindi
$2M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
NATO dissolves before 2027? NATO dissolves before 2027?
3%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$122.1K Dami 31/12
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat90%OoHindi
RepublicanRepublican10%OoHindi
$89.6K Dami 03/11
Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary WinnerWisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner
Nate Pollnow81%OoHindi
Jay Schroeder10%OoHindi
$18.8K Dami 11/08
TX-21 House Election WinnerTX-21 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%OoHindi
Democratic Party13%OoHindi
$57.6K Dami 03/11
Kansas Governor Republican Primary WinnerKansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ty MastersonTy Masterson84%OoHindi
Philip SarneckiPhilip Sarnecki15%OoHindi
$100K Dami 4 araw pa
TX-06 House Election WinnerTX-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%OoHindi
Democratic Party8%OoHindi
$35.4K Dami 03/11
Minas Gerais Governor Election WinnerMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo43%OoHindi
Mateus SimõesMateus Simões24%OoHindi
$143.5K Dami 04/10
MI-03 House Election WinnerMI-03 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%OoHindi
Republican PartyRepublican Party10%OoHindi
$8.8K Dami 04/11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31? Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
1%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$10.8K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
MD-04 House Election WinnerMD-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%OoHindi
Republican Party2%OoHindi
$45.1K Dami 03/11
Alaska Governor Election Winner Alaska Governor Election Winner
Tom BegichTom Begich29%OoHindi
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson29%OoHindi
$1.1M Dami 03/11
TX-26 House Election WinnerTX-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%OoHindi
Democratic Party10%OoHindi
$24K Dami 03/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%OoHindi
Haley StevensHaley Stevens22%OoHindi
$41.2K Dami 4 araw pa
AK-AL House Election WinnerAK-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party83%OoHindi
Democratic Party16%OoHindi
$25.5K Dami 03/11
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3173%OoHindi
ChinaChina15%OoHindi
$7.3K Dami 31/12
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 199%OoHindi
July 299%OoHindi
$8.1K Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
PA-07 House Election WinnerPA-07 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party77%OoHindi
Republican PartyRepublican Party24%OoHindi
$12.2K Dami 04/11
VA-04 House Election WinnerVA-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%OoHindi
Republican Party6%OoHindi
$24.6K Dami 03/11
RI-02 House Election WinnerRI-02 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%OoHindi
Republican Party6%OoHindi
$22.2K Dami 03/11
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3148%OoHindi
September 3034%OoHindi
$6.4M Dami Matatapos ngayong araw
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Midterm97%OoHindi
Affordable / Affordability96%OoHindi
$7.4K Dami 31/08
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema88%OoHindi
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%OoHindi
$124.3K Dami 14/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?
100-11926%OoHindi
120-13925%OoHindi
$11.8K Dami 4 araw pa
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
10%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$5.8K Dami 31/12
US charges Hormuz fees by...?US charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 319%OoHindi
August 312%OoHindi
$882.1K Dami 31/12
CA-25 House Election WinnerCA-25 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%OoHindi
Republican Party6%OoHindi
$16.7K Dami 03/11
OH-06 House Election WinnerOH-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%OoHindi
Democratic Party7%OoHindi
$58.5K Dami 03/11
How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
363%OoHindi
430%OoHindi
$33.3K Dami 5 araw pa
SC-01 House Election WinnerSC-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party69%OoHindi
Democratic Party31%OoHindi
$51.1K Dami 03/11
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)97%OoHindi
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%OoHindi
$2.9M Dami 20/09
NY-08 House Election WinnerNY-08 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%OoHindi
Republican Party5%OoHindi
$32.5K Dami 03/11
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)52%OoHindi
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)50%OoHindi
$628.1K Dami 03/11
Next President of Hungary?Next President of Hungary?
Botond FülöpBotond Fülöp25%OoHindi
Adrienn LaczóAdrienn Laczó22%OoHindi
$6.1K Dami 18/08
VA-09 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Joy PowersJoy Powers60%OoHindi
Adam MurphyAdam Murphy37%OoHindi
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TX-27 House Election WinnerTX-27 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%OoHindi
Democratic Party10%OoHindi
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Texas Governor Election WinnerTexas Governor Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican88%OoHindi
DemocratDemocrat13%OoHindi
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Francesca HongFrancesca Hong96%OoHindi
David CrowleyDavid Crowley3%OoHindi
$277.1K Dami 11/08
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 311%
August 3128%
$105.7K Dami 31/08
Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerNovgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%OoHindi
Communists of RussiaCommunists of Russia1%OoHindi
$6.4K Dami 20/09
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Cindy HolscherCindy Holscher93%OoHindi
Ethan CorsonEthan Corson8%OoHindi
$84.1K Dami 4 araw pa
Next President of Estonia?Next President of Estonia?
Ülle MadiseÜlle Madise62%OoHindi
Jonatan VseviovJonatan Vseviov15%OoHindi
$5.3K Dami 02/09
MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
McKinney 16%+31%OoHindi
McKinney 8–12%20%OoHindi
$8.6K Dami 5 araw pa
NJ-03 House Election WinnerNJ-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%OoHindi
Republican Party6%OoHindi
$25.2K Dami 03/11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3136%OoHindi
October 3116%OoHindi
$5.8M Dami 31/12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3113%OoHindi
October 316%OoHindi
$17.6M Dami 31/12
FL-11 Republican Primary WinnerFL-11 Republican Primary Winner
Joe Strada64%OoHindi
Carey Baker32%OoHindi
$9.9K Dami 18/08
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
August 3185%OoHindi
August 1559%OoHindi
$5K Dami 31/08
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
14%
tsansa
Oo Hindi
$4.8K Dami 31/12
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Braeden CaleyBraeden Caley98%OoHindi
Stephen CurranStephen Curran1%OoHindi
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Republican Party85%OoHindi
Democratic Party15%OoHindi
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FAQ ng mga Pamilihan sa Politika

Mas tumpak ba ang mga pamilihan ng prediksyon kaysa sa mga poll?

Kadalasan, oo. Sila ay nag-aaggregate ng iba't ibang impormasyon (mga poll, panloob na kaalaman, pagsusuri) sa isang presyo. Hindi perpekto; ituring silang isang pangunahing tool, hindi ang nag-iisa.

Aling mga halalan ang sakop sa Polymarket?

Mga halalan sa pampanguluhan at kongresyon ng US, mga gobyerno sa Europa at Asya, mga pangunahing lokal na laban, mga primaryang partido. Bawat pangunahing demokrasya ay nakakakuha ng makabuluhang saklaw.

Paano ako makikipagkalakalan sa mga halalan nang matalino?

Subaybayan ang mga karaniwang polling ngunit iwasan ang mga pamilihan na may manipis na likwididad. Ang pag-hedging sa paligid ng mga debate o pangunahing panayam ay maaaring magpababa ng panganib sa mga nakatuon na posisyon.

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