This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
July 24
$2.7K Volume
2%
July 31
$32.5K Volume
2%
August 31
$51.5K Volume
7%
Analysis & News
Will Iran Play at the World Cup? The Market Says 97% - Despite the War, Pulled Tickets and a Visa Standoff
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by?
Even the leader is cheap - August 31 trades at 6%, July 24 at 1%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by?
No strong consensus yet: August 31 tops the implied probabilities at just 6%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by market resolve?
Mark 31 Jul 2026 (9 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by?
Total turnover stands at $86.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
July 2099%YesNo
July 2296%YesNo
Mojtaba Khamenei73%YesNo
No Head of State8%YesNo
August 3156%YesNo
August 1436%YesNo
August 3135%YesNo
August 1529%YesNo
August 3143%YesNo
August 1537%YesNo
August 1515%YesNo
July 319%YesNo
August 3167%YesNo
August 1555%YesNo
