정치 예측 시장

정치 시장은 폴리마켓의 가장 깊은 분야 중 하나입니다: 미국 선거(대통령, 의회), 이스라엘, 영국, 독일, 프랑스 및 브라질. 또한 정부 위기, 불신 투표, 탄핵 및 내각 임명도 포함됩니다.

여론조사는 많은 입력 중 하나입니다. 예측 시장은 여론조사, 유권자 지식, 사회 데이터 및 전문가 예측을 단일 가격으로 집계합니다. 종종 단일 여론조사보다 더 정확합니다.

150개 활성 마켓
선거 트럼프 미중 우크라이나 전쟁 푸틴 United States United Kingdom France Russia Brazil China
정렬
7월 연준 결정은?7월 연준 결정은?
No changeNo change78%예아니오
25 bps increase25 bps increase22%예아니오
$1,466.7만 거래량 오늘 마감
7월 31일까지 호르무즈 해협 통항이 정상화될까? 7월 31일까지 호르무즈 해협 통항이 정상화될까?
1%
확률
예 아니오
$150.8만 거래량 2일 남음
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
August 3111%
August 153%
$150.8만 거래량 31/08
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%예아니오
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff13%예아니오
$12.5억 거래량 07/11
일론 머스크 트윗 수 7월 24일 - 7월 31일, 2026?일론 머스크 트윗 수 7월 24일 - 7월 31일, 2026?
200-21936%예아니오
220-23933%예아니오
$118.9만 거래량 3일 남음
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%예아니오
Marco RubioMarco Rubio12%예아니오
$6.7억 거래량 07/11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
24%
확률
예 아니오
$26.6만 거래량 31/12
일론 머스크 트윗 수 7월 27일 - 7월 29일, 2026?일론 머스크 트윗 수 7월 27일 - 7월 29일, 2026?
40-6461%예아니오
<4035%예아니오
$26.6만 거래량 오늘 마감
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3192%예아니오
October 3184%예아니오
$167.2만 거래량 31/08
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen31%예아니오
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%예아니오
$1.2억 거래량 30/04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3126%예아니오
September 3021%예아니오
$860.5만 거래량 오늘 마감
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%예아니오
Marco RubioMarco Rubio27%예아니오
$6.8억 거래량 07/11
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%예아니오
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%예아니오
$1.2억 거래량 04/10
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro83%예아니오
Delcy Rodríguez10%예아니오
$9,470.9만 거래량 31/12
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland24%예아니오
카타르11%예아니오
$15.9만 거래량 31/12
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3129%예아니오
August 1519%예아니오
$2,524.3만 거래량 오늘 마감
9월 연준 결정은?9월 연준 결정은?
25 bps increase25 bps increase56%예아니오
No changeNo change41%예아니오
$1,466.7만 거래량 16/09
이란 정권이 2027 전에 붕괴할까? 이란 정권이 2027 전에 붕괴할까?
10%
확률
예 아니오
$17.6만 거래량 31/12
일론 머스크 트윗 수 7월 28일 - 8월 4일, 2026?일론 머스크 트윗 수 7월 28일 - 8월 4일, 2026?
160-17916%예아니오
180-19916%예아니오
$118.9만 거래량 7일 남음
9월 30일까지 호르무즈 해협 통항이 정상화될까? 9월 30일까지 호르무즈 해협 통항이 정상화될까?
22%
확률
예 아니오
$150.8만 거래량 30/09
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202737%예아니오
December 3122%예아니오
$2,115.2만 거래량 31/12
12월 31일까지 호르무즈 해협 통항이 정상화될까? 12월 31일까지 호르무즈 해협 통항이 정상화될까?
56%
확률
예 아니오
$150.8만 거래량 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%예아니오
Benjamin Netanyahu35%예아니오
$3,032만 거래량 31/12
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202715%예아니오
December 31, 20269%예아니오
$10.3만 거래량 30/06
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
June 302%
July 3133%
$9만 거래량 3일 남음
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
28%
확률
예 아니오
$290.1만 거래량 01/01
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3143%예아니오
August 1523%예아니오
$8.5만 거래량 3일 남음
2026년 하원은 어느 정당이 승리할까?2026년 하원은 어느 정당이 승리할까?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%예아니오
Republican PartyRepublican Party12%예아니오
$7.7만 거래량 03/11
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 157%예아니오
July 311%예아니오
$848.2만 거래량 3일 남음
What will Trump say during Cabinet Meeting?What will Trump say during Cabinet Meeting?
Venezuela84%예아니오
Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times76%예아니오
$7.9만 거래량 3일 남음
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3112%예아니오
September 306%예아니오
$2,885.4만 거래량 31/12
일론 머스크 트윗 수 7월 31일 - 8월 7일, 2026?일론 머스크 트윗 수 7월 31일 - 8월 7일, 2026?
200-21916%예아니오
180-19915%예아니오
$118.9만 거래량 07/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed77%예아니오
Haley StevensHaley Stevens25%예아니오
$141만 거래량 6일 남음
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202691%예아니오
September 30, 202683%예아니오
$849.3만 거래량 오늘 마감
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Productivity91%예아니오
Balance Sheet85%예아니오
$5.1만 거래량 오늘 마감
Trump out as President by July 31? Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
확률
예 아니오
$5.1만 거래량 3일 남음
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3031%예아니오
스위스26%예아니오
$4.1만 거래량 30/09
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage97%예아니오
Count BinfaceCount Binface3%예아니오
$291.5만 거래량 13/08
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3113%예아니오
July 312%예아니오
$127.6만 거래량 3일 남음
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3113%예아니오
October 316%예아니오
$1,757.6만 거래량 31/12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 202745%예아니오
December 3114%예아니오
$321.9만 거래량 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
확률
예 아니오
$6.7만 거래량 31/12
Netanyahu가 ...까지 물러날까?Netanyahu가 ...까지 물러날까?
December 3140%예아니오
July 311%예아니오
$3.6만 거래량 31/12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6%
확률
예 아니오
$1,052만 거래량 31/12
What will happen before GTA VI?What will happen before GTA VI?
New Rihanna Album51%예아니오
New Playboi Carti Album51%예아니오
$2,352.2만 거래량 3일 남음
이란 정권이 9월 30일까지 붕괴할까? 이란 정권이 9월 30일까지 붕괴할까?
3%
확률
예 아니오
$17.6만 거래량 30/09
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
55%
확률
예 아니오
$81.9만 거래량 20/08
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
November 30November 3050%예아니오
December 31December 3150%예아니오
$202.1만 거래량 오늘 마감
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley BellWesley Bell56%예아니오
Cori BushCori Bush44%예아니오
$15.2만 거래량 6일 남음
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 316%예아니오
September 303%예아니오
$6,360.1만 거래량 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
13%
확률
예 아니오
$6.7만 거래량 31/12
일론 머스크 트윗 수 2026년 7월?일론 머스크 트윗 수 2026년 7월?
800-83950%예아니오
760-79922%예아니오
$2.7만 거래량 3일 남음
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)58%예아니오
New People (NL)New People (NL)35%예아니오
$1,629만 거래량 20/09
Bulgaria Presidential ElectionBulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana IotovaIliana Iotova72%예아니오
Аndrey GyurovАndrey Gyurov20%예아니오
$24.3만 거래량 30/11
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig99%예아니오
Geraldine CogginsGeraldine Coggins1%예아니오
$38.5만 거래량 2일 남음
How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?
No Handshake88%예아니오
Photographed only8%예아니오
$2.4만 거래량 3일 남음
Michigan Governor Republican Primary WinnerMichigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John JamesJohn James94%예아니오
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson7%예아니오
$13.6만 거래량 6일 남음
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
확률
예 아니오
$2.3만 거래량 31/12
Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei79%예아니오
No Head of State6%예아니오
$3,528.1만 거래량 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
200+54%예아니오
180-19939%예아니오
$5.7만 거래량 3일 남음
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%43%예아니오
Binface 20–30%29%예아니오
$16.7만 거래량 13/08
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3169%예아니오
ChinaChina15%예아니오
$1.9만 거래량 31/12
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
President 50+ times84%예아니오
Iran 5+ times80%예아니오
$1.9만 거래량 31/08
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ61%예아니오
CAQCAQ28%예아니오
$71.9만 거래량 05/10
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%예아니오
R Senate, D House42%예아니오
$891만 거래량 03/11
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3129%예아니오
October 3114%예아니오
$22.7만 거래량 31/12
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3189%예아니오
September 3087%예아니오
$22.2만 거래량 31/12
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?
2%
확률
예 아니오
$3.8만 거래량 오늘 마감
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya11%예아니오
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy7%예아니오
$2,299.1만 거래량 10/10
Macron가 ...까지 물러날까?Macron가 ...까지 물러날까?
December 31, 2025December 31, 202550%예아니오
October 31, 2025October 31, 202550%예아니오
$211.5만 거래량 오늘 마감
MI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
William LawrenceWilliam Lawrence82%예아니오
Matt MaasdamMatt Maasdam10%예아니오
$8.1만 거래량 6일 남음
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong94%예아니오
David CrowleyDavid Crowley5%예아니오
$25.5만 거래량 11/08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3150%예아니오
September 30September 3012%예아니오
$100.4만 거래량 31/12
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%예아니오
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton6%예아니오
$4,046만 거래량 03/11
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi2%예아니오
Mojtaba Khamenei1%예아니오
$201.3만 거래량 3일 남음
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump? Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?
1%
확률
예 아니오
$1.8만 거래량 3일 남음
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
September 30September 3080%예아니오
February 28February 281%예아니오
$105.6만 거래량 30/09
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro78%예아니오
Renan SantosRenan Santos12%예아니오
$432.9만 거래량 04/10
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd PlaceRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)81%예아니오
New People (NL)New People (NL)12%예아니오
$13.5만 거래량 20/09
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud55%예아니오
YasharYashar43%예아니오
$17.7만 거래량 27/10
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
확률
예 아니오
$9,966 거래량 3일 남음
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
97%
확률
예 아니오
$13.6만 거래량 15/08
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%35%예아니오
↓ 3.25%11%예아니오
$170만 거래량 31/12
US charges Hormuz fees by...?US charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 3110%예아니오
August 312%예아니오
$87.1만 거래량 31/12
France United Left Primary WinnerFrance United Left Primary Winner
Canceled94%예아니오
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin1%예아니오
$19.4만 거래량 11/10
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)96%예아니오
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%예아니오
$286.9만 거래량 20/09
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%예아니오
James FishbackJames Fishback3%예아니오
$219만 거래량 18/08
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone74%예아니오
Ralph NormanRalph Norman20%예아니오
$45.3만 거래량 11/08
Who will Trump meet with in July?Who will Trump meet with in July?
Elon MuskElon Musk5%예아니오
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman1%예아니오
$9,943 거래량 3일 남음
2026년 인플레이션은 얼마나 오를까?2026년 인플레이션은 얼마나 오를까?
Above 4.5%24%예아니오
Above 5%15%예아니오
$133.3만 거래량 31/12
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202645%예아니오
December15%예아니오
$15.1만 거래량 31/12
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson81%예아니오
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson17%예아니오
$328.9만 거래량 13/09
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Kamala HarrisKamala Harris13%예아니오
Donald TrumpDonald Trump12%예아니오
$97.5만 거래량 31/12
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
December 3119%예아니오
August 3111%예아니오
$15만 거래량 31/12
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election WinnerMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfDAfD83%예아니오
SPDSPD17%예아니오
$43.3만 거래량 20/09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
4%
확률
예 아니오
$1만 거래량 31/08
Toronto Mayoral Election WinnerToronto Mayoral Election Winner
Olivia ChowOlivia Chow78%예아니오
Brad BradfordBrad Bradford20%예아니오
$11.9만 거래량 26/10
Minas Gerais Governor Election WinnerMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo67%예아니오
Mateus SimõesMateus Simões16%예아니오
$11.6만 거래량 04/10
이란이 12월 31일까지 우라늄 농축 중단에 합의할까? 이란이 12월 31일까지 우라늄 농축 중단에 합의할까?
27%
확률
예 아니오
$1만 거래량 31/12
GA-13 Special Election WinnerGA-13 Special Election Winner
Marcye ScottMarcye Scott94%예아니오
Everton BlairEverton Blair5%예아니오
$2.5만 거래량 오늘 마감
일론 머스크 트윗 수 7월 30일 - 8월 1일, 2026?일론 머스크 트윗 수 7월 30일 - 8월 1일, 2026?
40-6451%예아니오
65-8922%예아니오
$26.7만 거래량 4일 남음
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)31%예아니오
Dilution of Iran's UraniumDilution of Iran's Uranium30%예아니오
$40만 거래량 31/12
Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?
Peter KylePeter Kyle2%예아니오
David LammyDavid Lammy1%예아니오
$17.3만 거래량 31/12
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru NazareAlexandru Nazare35%예아니오
Sorin GrindeanuSorin Grindeanu13%예아니오
$323.5만 거래량 31/12
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 316%
August 3138%
$9.7만 거래량 31/08
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?
April 30April 307%예아니오
December 31December 314%예아니오
$18.6만 거래량 오늘 마감
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-2437%예아니오
25-2923%예아니오
$8.5만 거래량 27/10
What will Trump post this week? (July 27 - August 2)What will Trump post this week? (July 27 - August 2)
Gold / Golden99%예아니오
Crime99%예아니오
$5,832 거래량 5일 남음
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
8%
확률
예 아니오
$5.1만 거래량 31/12
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
BNBN76%예아니오
PHPH24%예아니오
$9만 거래량 4일 남음
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference VotesGreater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes
Bev CraigBev Craig99%예아니오
Dan BarkerDan Barker1%예아니오
$6.6만 거래량 2일 남음
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface79%예아니오
William CloustonWilliam Clouston9%예아니오
$30.9만 거래량 13/08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
12%
확률
예 아니오
$320.4만 거래량 31/12
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
5%
확률
예 아니오
$1,166.2만 거래량 31/12
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3165%예아니오
September 3034%예아니오
$637.1만 거래량 오늘 마감
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3136%예아니오
August 318%예아니오
$94.7만 거래량
2026년 상원은 어느 정당이 승리할까?2026년 상원은 어느 정당이 승리할까?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%예아니오
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%예아니오
$332.8만 거래량 03/11
Who will Trump speak to in July?Who will Trump speak to in July?
Emmanuel MacronEmmanuel Macron50%예아니오
Lula da SilvaLula da Silva23%예아니오
$4,710 거래량 3일 남음
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen BassKaren Bass63%예아니오
Nithya RamanNithya Raman38%예아니오
$1,303.4만 거래량 31/12
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%예아니오
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)2%예아니오
$126.8만 거래량 13/09
OH-05 House Election WinnerOH-05 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%예아니오
Democratic Party7%예아니오
$3.2만 거래량 03/11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3136%예아니오
October 3117%예아니오
$572.9만 거래량 31/12
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 1990%예아니오
August 2590%예아니오
$7,403 거래량 31/08
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 31 - August 7, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 31 - August 7, 2026?
120-13920%예아니오
100-11915%예아니오
$5.7만 거래량 07/08
CZ # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?CZ # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?
<2075%예아니오
20-3923%예아니오
$8,443 거래량 7일 남음
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?
1%
확률
예 아니오
$6,445 거래량 3일 남음
Epstein client list released by...?Epstein client list released by...?
December 3150%예아니오
July 311%예아니오
$437.6만 거래량 오늘 마감
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
September 3085%예아니오
August 3152%예아니오
$3,669 거래량 31/08
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
2%
확률
예 아니오
$3,662 거래량 31/12
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202787%예아니오
스위스스위스3%예아니오
$3,557 거래량 31/12
Idaho Senate Election WinnerIdaho Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican93%예아니오
DemocratDemocrat5%예아니오
$2.3만 거래량 03/11
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
14%
확률
예 아니오
$3,539 거래량 31/12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
34%
확률
예 아니오
$359.8만 거래량 03/11
NYC Mayor # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026?NYC Mayor # posts July 31 - August 7, 2026?
40-5957%예아니오
20-3914%예아니오
$9,814 거래량 07/08
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez92%예아니오
María Corina Machado4%예아니오
$34.7만 거래량 31/12
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Daniel PennyDaniel Penny27%예아니오
Donald BrodieDonald Brodie26%예아니오
$39.3만 거래량 31/12
FL-24 Democratic Primary WinnerFL-24 Democratic Primary Winner
Oliver Gilbert62%예아니오
Shevrin Jones33%예아니오
$4,145 거래량 18/08
WA-03 Primary First PlaceWA-03 Primary First Place
John BraunJohn Braun62%예아니오
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezMarie Gluesenkamp Perez29%예아니오
$1.9만 거래량 6일 남음
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 2991%예아니오
July 3191%예아니오
$7,403 거래량 3일 남음
White House # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?White House # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
200+49%예아니오
180-19944%예아니오
$8,461 거래량 3일 남음
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
8%
확률
예 아니오
$2,931 거래량 31/12
이란이 7월 31일까지 우라늄 농축 중단에 합의할까? 이란이 7월 31일까지 우라늄 농축 중단에 합의할까?
1%
확률
예 아니오
$1만 거래량 2일 남음
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
22%
확률
예 아니오
$1만 거래량 31/12
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc MélenchonJean-Luc Mélenchon96%예아니오
Nathalie ArthaudNathalie Arthaud91%예아니오
$25.4만 거래량 17/04
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?
December 3124%예아니오
September 3010%예아니오
$3만 거래량 31/12
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat70%예아니오
RepublicanRepublican31%예아니오
$13.5만 거래량 03/11
Montana Senate Election WinnerMontana Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican87%예아니오
IndependentIndependent11%예아니오
$9.4만 거래량 03/11
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 3110%
June 301%
$348.5만 거래량 31/12
Clacton by-election: TurnoutClacton by-election: Turnout
20k-30k56%예아니오
30k-40k39%예아니오
$2.2만 거래량 13/08
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
31%
확률
예 아니오
$95.1만 거래량 03/01
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