If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for NATO article 5 before 2027?
Yes is the outsider here at 7%, while No trades at 94%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for NATO article 5 before 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 7% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the NATO article 5 before 2027 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on NATO article 5 before 2027?
Total turnover stands at $21. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade NATO article 5 before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
December 31, 202550%YesNo
December 31, 20264%YesNo
December 31, 202550%YesNo
December 31, 20267%YesNo
December 31, 202550%YesNo
December 3118%YesNo
December 313%YesNo
August 311%YesNo
