Marchés de Prédiction Politique

Les marchés politiques sont parmi les plus profonds de Polymarket — élections américaines (président, Congrès), Israël, Royaume-Uni, Allemagne, France et Brésil. Également les crises gouvernementales, les votes de défiance, les mises en accusation et les nominations ministérielles.

Les sondages sont une des nombreuses entrées — les marchés de prédiction agrègent les sondages, les connaissances des électeurs, les données sociales et les prévisions d'experts en un seul prix. Souvent plus précis que n'importe quel sondage unique.

150 marchés actifs
Élections Trump USA-Chine Guerre en Ukraine Poutine United States United Kingdom France Russia Brazil China
Trier
Décision de la Fed en juillet ?Décision de la Fed en juillet ?
No changeNo change75%OuiNon
25 bps increase25 bps increase24%OuiNon
$3.1M Vol 5 jours restants
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%OuiNon
Marco RubioMarco Rubio14%OuiNon
$669.7M Vol 07/11
Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 17 juillet - 24 juillet, 2026 ?Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 17 juillet - 24 juillet, 2026 ?
200-21988%OuiNon
220-2399%OuiNon
$1.2M Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom20%OuiNon
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%OuiNon
$1.25B Vol 07/11
Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 31 juillet ? Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 31 juillet ?
1%
de chance
Oui Non
$989.2K Vol 7 jours restants
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva61%OuiNon
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro23%OuiNon
$115.4M Vol 04/10
Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei72%OuiNon
No Head of State7%OuiNon
$34.3M Vol 31/12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30%
de chance
Oui Non
$335K Vol 31/12
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3157%OuiNon
August 1553%OuiNon
$24.2M Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3134%OuiNon
September 3021%OuiNon
$7.5M Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Décision de la Fed en septembre ?Décision de la Fed en septembre ?
25 bps increase25 bps increase52%OuiNon
No changeNo change41%OuiNon
$3.1M Vol 16/09
Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 21 juillet - 28 juillet, 2026 ?Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 21 juillet - 28 juillet, 2026 ?
220-23920%OuiNon
240-25919%OuiNon
$1.2M Vol 5 jours restants
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
42%
de chance
Oui Non
$703.6K Vol 03/01
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%OuiNon
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%OuiNon
$678.2M Vol 07/11
Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 31 août ? Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 31 août ?
12%
de chance
Oui Non
$989.2K Vol 31/08
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen32%OuiNon
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe27%OuiNon
$115.8M Vol 30/04
Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 23 juillet - 25 juillet, 2026 ?Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 23 juillet - 25 juillet, 2026 ?
65-8955%OuiNon
40-6422%OuiNon
$207.9K Vol 2 jours restants
Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 31 décembre ? Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 31 décembre ?
52%
de chance
Oui Non
$989.2K Vol 31/12
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202741%OuiNon
December 3128%OuiNon
$20.4M Vol 31/12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
37%
de chance
Oui Non
$2.5M Vol 01/01
Le régime iranien tombera-t-il avant 2027 ? Le régime iranien tombera-t-il avant 2027 ?
11%
de chance
Oui Non
$274.2K Vol 31/12
Le régime iranien tombera-t-il d'ici le 30 septembre ? Le régime iranien tombera-t-il d'ici le 30 septembre ?
4%
de chance
Oui Non
$274.2K Vol 30/09
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 1519%OuiNon
July 319%OuiNon
$8M Vol 31/07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 3144%OuiNon
August 1530%OuiNon
$793.1K Vol 31/08
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
August 3149%OuiNon
July 3123%OuiNon
$343K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 24 juillet - 31 juillet, 2026 ?Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 24 juillet - 31 juillet, 2026 ?
180-19916%OuiNon
160-17915%OuiNon
$1.2M Vol 31/07
Berlin State Election WinnerBerlin State Election Winner
LinkeLinke34%OuiNon
CDUCDU27%OuiNon
$3.1M Vol 20/09
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot49%OuiNon
Benjamin Netanyahu38%OuiNon
$29.1M Vol 31/12
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202717%OuiNon
December 31, 20269%OuiNon
$59.9K Vol 30/06
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone70%OuiNon
Ralph NormanRalph Norman21%OuiNon
$380.1K Vol 11/08
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)57%OuiNon
New People (NL)New People (NL)37%OuiNon
$15.9M Vol 20/09
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3133%OuiNon
July 316%OuiNon
$47.3K Vol 31/07
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
9%
de chance
Oui Non
$38.2K Vol 31/12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3114%OuiNon
September 307%OuiNon
$28.7M Vol 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro81%OuiNon
Delcy Rodríguez11%OuiNon
$94.1M Vol 31/12
Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 25 juillet - 27 juillet, 2026 ?Nombre de tweets d'Elon Musk 25 juillet - 27 juillet, 2026 ?
40-6445%OuiNon
<4028%OuiNon
$207.9K Vol 4 jours restants
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage96%OuiNon
Count BinfaceCount Binface4%OuiNon
$2.8M Vol 30/06
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)96%OuiNon
New People (NL)New People (NL)2%OuiNon
$2.8M Vol 20/09
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland25%OuiNon
Syria13%OuiNon
$30.4K Vol 31/12
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?
December 31December 3177%OuiNon
July 31July 316%OuiNon
$137.3K Vol 31/12
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3186%OuiNon
September 3082%OuiNon
$143.3K Vol
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
de chance
Oui Non
$69K Vol 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3125%OuiNon
July 317%OuiNon
$1.2M Vol 31/07
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd PlaceKazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
AuylAuyl52%OuiNon
Aq JolAq Jol24%OuiNon
$38.2K Vol 23/08
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya11%OuiNon
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy7%OuiNon
$22.9M Vol 10/10
Trump out as President by July 31? Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
de chance
Oui Non
$48.8K Vol 31/07
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%OuiNon
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton7%OuiNon
$40.4M Vol 03/11
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro74%OuiNon
Renan SantosRenan Santos16%OuiNon
$4.2M Vol 04/10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 316%OuiNon
September 303%OuiNon
$63.5M Vol 31/12
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed80%OuiNon
Haley StevensHaley Stevens22%OuiNon
$1.2M Vol 04/08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3137%OuiNon
October 3124%OuiNon
$5.6M Vol 31/12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202690%OuiNon
September 30, 202674%OuiNon
$8.2M Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Who will Trump meet with in July?Who will Trump meet with in July?
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu26%OuiNon
Elon MuskElon Musk12%OuiNon
$24.9K Vol 31/07
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
9%
de chance
Oui Non
$23K Vol 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
2%
de chance
Oui Non
$69K Vol 30/09
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
8%
de chance
Oui Non
$48.8K Vol 31/12
Quel parti remportera le Sénat en 2026 ?Quel parti remportera le Sénat en 2026 ?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%OuiNon
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%OuiNon
$3.3M Vol 03/11
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3030%OuiNon
Suisse23%OuiNon
$18.7K Vol 30/09
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface75%OuiNon
William CloustonWilliam Clouston10%OuiNon
$239.3K Vol 30/06
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
4%
de chance
Oui Non
$17.8K Vol 31/12
Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?
760-79925%OuiNon
720-75920%OuiNon
$19K Vol 01/08
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Balance Sheet85%OuiNon
Inflation 20+ times82%OuiNon
$17.7K Vol 6 jours restants
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3138%OuiNon
September 30September 3011%OuiNon
$958.6K Vol 31/12
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
7%
de chance
Oui Non
$197.6K Vol 31/12
CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)
Sydney Kamlager-Dove97%OuiNon
Samantha Mota1%OuiNon
$16.7K Vol 03/11
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 202610%OuiNon
September 30, 2026September 30, 20263%OuiNon
$6.1M Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
41%
de chance
Oui Non
$709.7K Vol 20/08
Netanyahu hors de ses fonctions d'ici... ?Netanyahu hors de ses fonctions d'ici... ?
December 3143%OuiNon
July 311%OuiNon
$16K Vol 31/12
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig98%OuiNon
Sian AstleySian Astley1%OuiNon
$350.4K Vol 7 jours restants
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%OuiNon
R Senate, D House41%OuiNon
$8.8M Vol 03/11
Nebraska Senate Election Winner Nebraska Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican73%OuiNon
IndependentIndependent24%OuiNon
$182.5K Vol 03/11
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic58%OuiNon
RepublicanRepublican41%OuiNon
$1.9M Vol 07/11
Iowa Senate Election WinnerIowa Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican59%OuiNon
DemocratDemocrat43%OuiNon
$158.6K Vol 03/11
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
13%
de chance
Oui Non
$51.1K Vol 30/09
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202649%OuiNon
December15%OuiNon
$123.6K Vol 31/12
Peru Presidential Election Invalidated? Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?
1%
de chance
Oui Non
$85.7K Vol 31/07
Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 30 septembre ? Le trafic dans le détroit d'Ormuz reviendra-t-il à la normale d'ici le 30 septembre ?
22%
de chance
Oui Non
$989.4K Vol 30/09
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
de chance
Oui Non
$13.4K Vol 31/12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3114%OuiNon
October 317%OuiNon
$17.4M Vol 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
12%
de chance
Oui Non
$69K Vol 31/12
What will Trump say during his Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge?What will Trump say during his Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge?
Oil 3+ times99%OuiNon
Friend of Mine99%OuiNon
$13K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Somaliland Parliamentary Election WinnerSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027No election before 202793%OuiNon
WaddaniWaddani5%OuiNon
$92.2K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?
Fake News89%OuiNon
Drone63%OuiNon
$23.7K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%OuiNon
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)2%OuiNon
$1.3M Vol 13/09
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 2493%OuiNon
July 2689%OuiNon
$10.9K Vol 31/07
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong80%OuiNon
David CrowleyDavid Crowley10%OuiNon
$218.7K Vol 11/08
White House # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?White House # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
180-19978%OuiNon
200+20%OuiNon
$12.6K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
120-13959%OuiNon
140-15914%OuiNon
$17.3K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru NazareAlexandru Nazare35%OuiNon
Sorin GrindeanuSorin Grindeanu13%OuiNon
$3.2M Vol 31/12
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%37%OuiNon
↑ 4.5%13%OuiNon
$1.7M Vol 31/12
South Carolina Senate Election WinnerSouth Carolina Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican90%OuiNon
DemocratDemocrat11%OuiNon
$108.7K Vol 03/11
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%31%OuiNon
Binface <10%30%OuiNon
$125.8K Vol 30/06
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
de chance
Oui Non
$8.5K Vol 31/07
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
July 313%
December 3123%
$82.4K Vol 31/12
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
26%
de chance
Oui Non
$9.5K Vol 31/12
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
9%
de chance
Oui Non
$65.2K Vol 31/12
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
July 31July 318%OuiNon
February 28February 281%OuiNon
$477.8K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
PA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election WinnerPA House of Representatives District 12 Special Election Winner
Scott TimkoScott Timko80%OuiNon
Brandon DukesBrandon Dukes13%OuiNon
$8K Vol 18/08
NY-15 House Election WinnerNY-15 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%OuiNon
Republican Party3%OuiNon
$42K Vol 03/11
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
June 30, 20261%
December 31, 20269%
$3.5M Vol 31/12
Pernambuco Governor Election WinnerPernambuco Governor Election Winner
João Campos52%OuiNon
Raquel Lyra45%OuiNon
$18.4K Vol 04/10
Texas Governor Election WinnerTexas Governor Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican94%OuiNon
DemocratDemocrat7%OuiNon
$26.3K Vol 03/11
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
William AzaroffWilliam Azaroff32%OuiNon
Ken SimKen Sim24%OuiNon
$140.5K Vol 17/10
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 3110%
June 301%
$3.5M Vol 31/12
FL-02 Republican Primary WinnerFL-02 Republican Primary Winner
Keith GrossKeith Gross53%OuiNon
Evan PowerEvan Power26%OuiNon
$6.8K Vol 18/08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
15%
de chance
Oui Non
$3.2M Vol 31/12
2026 Chandler Mayoral Election Winner2026 Chandler Mayoral Election Winner
Matt Orlando96%OuiNon
Jeff Weninger3%OuiNon
$9.2K Vol 03/11
Quel parti remportera la Chambre des représentants en 2026 ?Quel parti remportera la Chambre des représentants en 2026 ?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%OuiNon
Republican PartyRepublican Party15%OuiNon
$6.1K Vol 03/11
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat87%OuiNon
RepublicanRepublican14%OuiNon
$76.7K Vol 03/11
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?
December 3146%OuiNon
October 3138%OuiNon
$18.3K Vol 31/12
What will happen before GTA VI?What will happen before GTA VI?
New Rihanna Album52%OuiNon
New Playboi Carti Album51%OuiNon
$23.4M Vol 31/07
Maine Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%OuiNon
RepublicanRepublican33%OuiNon
$1.1M Vol 03/11
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Cori BushCori Bush60%OuiNon
Wesley BellWesley Bell38%OuiNon
$90K Vol 04/08
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Mohammed bin Salman2%OuiNon
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa2%OuiNon
$2M Vol 01/08
CA-44 House Election WinnerCA-44 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%OuiNon
Republican Party2%OuiNon
$34.4K Vol 03/11
CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)
Aisha Wahab87%OuiNon
Melissa Hernandez6%OuiNon
$5.1K Vol 03/11
What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)
Karoline / Leavitt67%OuiNon
Rigged66%OuiNon
$5K Vol 3 jours restants
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
120-13935%OuiNon
100-11919%OuiNon
$17.3K Vol 5 jours restants
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
de chance
Oui Non
$10.5M Vol 31/12
Jusqu'où montera l'inflation en 2026 ?Jusqu'où montera l'inflation en 2026 ?
Above 4.5%25%OuiNon
Above 5%15%OuiNon
$1.3M Vol 31/12
L'Iran acceptera-t-il d'arrêter l'enrichissement d'uranium d'ici le 31 juillet ? L'Iran acceptera-t-il d'arrêter l'enrichissement d'uranium d'ici le 31 juillet ?
1%
de chance
Oui Non
$7K Vol 7 jours restants
Zelenskyy # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?Zelenskyy # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
80-9980%OuiNon
60-7916%OuiNon
$7.8K Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Kash Patel hors de ses fonctions d'ici... ?Kash Patel hors de ses fonctions d'ici... ?
December 3136%OuiNon
July 312%OuiNon
$1.6M Vol
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
June 301%
November 230%
$29.6K Vol 31/12
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%OuiNon
September 303%OuiNon
$14.5K Vol 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
10%
de chance
Oui Non
$69K Vol 30/06
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
July 3112%
August 3134%
$36.7K Vol 31/08
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round WinnerSouth Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone76%OuiNon
Ralph NormanRalph Norman13%OuiNon
$4K Vol 11/08
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Renan SantosRenan Santos67%OuiNon
Ronaldo CaiadoRonaldo Caiado17%OuiNon
$470.1K Vol 04/10
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
PHPH63%OuiNon
BNBN38%OuiNon
$10K Vol 01/08
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney80%OuiNon
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar21%OuiNon
$73.3K Vol 04/08
CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)
Jimmy Gomez50%OuiNon
Angela Gonzales-Torres44%OuiNon
$3.8K Vol 03/11
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)57%OuiNon
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)44%OuiNon
$615.8K Vol 03/11
ME-02 House Election WinnerME-02 House Election Winner
Republican Party63%OuiNon
Democratic Party36%OuiNon
$3.8K Vol 03/11
Ottawa Mayoral Election WinnerOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark SutcliffeMark Sutcliffe52%OuiNon
Alex LawsonAlex Lawson27%OuiNon
$54.7K Vol 26/10
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)30%OuiNon
Dilution of Iran's UraniumDilution of Iran's Uranium30%OuiNon
$378.7K Vol 31/12
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3129%OuiNon
October 3117%OuiNon
$201.8K Vol 31/12
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ70%OuiNon
CAQCAQ15%OuiNon
$694.5K Vol 05/10
FL-16 Republican Primary WinnerFL-16 Republican Primary Winner
Sydney Gruters98%OuiNon
Eddie Speir2%OuiNon
$3.4K Vol 18/08
Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?
James MurrayJames Murray1%OuiNon
Peter KylePeter Kyle1%OuiNon
$162K Vol 31/12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 202742%OuiNon
December 3113%OuiNon
$3.1M Vol 31/12
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Donald BrodieDonald Brodie35%OuiNon
Daniel PennyDaniel Penny34%OuiNon
$375.6K Vol 31/12
TN-05 Republican Primary WinnerTN-05 Republican Primary Winner
Andy Ogles65%OuiNon
Charlie Hatcher34%OuiNon
$3.4K Vol 06/08
TX-26 House Election WinnerTX-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party90%OuiNon
Democratic Party12%OuiNon
$14.8K Vol 03/11
Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?
Thorsten FreiThorsten Frei98%OuiNon
Alexander HoffmannAlexander Hoffmann1%OuiNon
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Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
12%
de chance
Oui Non
$137.4K Vol 31/12
Tallahassee Mayoral Election WinnerTallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
Loranne AusleyLoranne Ausley47%OuiNon
Jeremy MatlowJeremy Matlow31%OuiNon
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Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?
December 31, 202618%
December 31, 202734%
$8.6K Vol 31/12
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
July 319%OuiNon
April 301%OuiNon
$6.3M Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
NYC Mayor # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?NYC Mayor # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
40-5999%OuiNon
140-1591%OuiNon
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