Politics · Elections

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner

$13.8K Volume
04/08/2026 00:00
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Haley Stevens
$12.4K Volume
96%
Abdul El-Sayed
$1.5K Volume
4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner?
At 96%, Haley Stevens has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner?
Traders price Haley Stevens at a 96% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Aug 2026 (10 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner?
Traders have put $13.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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