Mercados de Previsão de Eleições

Os mercados de eleições são o núcleo do Polymarket: eleições presidenciais dos EUA, primárias partidárias, corridas para o congresso e qualquer voto de uma grande democracia. Os mercados de eleições dos EUA de 2024 registraram bilhões em volume.

A precificação combina pesquisas, dados de financiamento partidário, indicadores econômicos e relatórios, tudo destilado em um único preço. Um terreno rico para negociação tanto para analistas quanto para investidores orientados por opiniões.

116 mercados ativos
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Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%SimNão
Marco RubioMarco Rubio13%SimNão
$674,9 mi Volume 07/11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2899%SimNão
July 2999%SimNão
$12,2 mi Volume 31/08
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%SimNão
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%SimNão
$117 mi Volume 04/10
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%SimNão
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff14%SimNão
$1,2 bi Volume 07/11
Qual partido vencerá o Senado em 2026?Qual partido vencerá o Senado em 2026?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%SimNão
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%SimNão
$3,4 mi Volume 03/11
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep45%SimNão
R Senate, D House43%SimNão
$9,1 mi Volume 03/11
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)62%SimNão
New People (NL)New People (NL)32%SimNão
$16,5 mi Volume 20/09
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%SimNão
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%SimNão
$682,1 mi Volume 07/11
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen30%SimNão
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%SimNão
$116,9 mi Volume 30/04
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage97%SimNão
Count BinfaceCount Binface2%SimNão
$3,1 mi Volume 13/08
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney84%SimNão
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar17%SimNão
$212,6 mil Volume 4 dias restantes
Netanyahu fora do cargo até...?Netanyahu fora do cargo até...?
December 3141%SimNão
July 311%SimNão
$50,9 mil Volume 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%SimNão
Benjamin Netanyahu35%SimNão
$30,5 mi Volume 31/12
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed96%SimNão
Haley StevensHaley Stevens3%SimNão
$1,7 mi Volume 4 dias restantes
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone63%SimNão
Ralph NormanRalph Norman31%SimNão
$548,1 mil Volume 11/08
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
BNBN74%SimNão
PHPH27%SimNão
$128,8 mil Volume 2 dias restantes
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%SimNão
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton6%SimNão
$40,5 mi Volume 03/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface79%SimNão
William CloustonWilliam Clouston8%SimNão
$338,6 mil Volume 13/08
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley BellWesley Bell71%SimNão
Cori BushCori Bush29%SimNão
$233,8 mil Volume 4 dias restantes
CA-23 House Election WinnerCA-23 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%SimNão
Democratic Party6%SimNão
$58,2 mil Volume 03/11
Next Prime Minister of Spain?Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez FeijóoAlberto Núñez Feijóo80%SimNão
Pedro SánchezPedro Sánchez9%SimNão
$91,7 mil Volume 31/03
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%SimNão
James FishbackJames Fishback2%SimNão
$2,2 mi Volume 18/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed63%SimNão
Haley StevensHaley Stevens37%SimNão
$20,6 mil Volume 4 dias restantes
VA-02 House Election WinnerVA-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party84%SimNão
Republican PartyRepublican Party16%SimNão
$16,1 mil Volume 04/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
El-Sayed 15–20%33%SimNão
El-Sayed 10–15%29%SimNão
$59,6 mil Volume 4 dias restantes
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner
Haley StevensHaley Stevens58%SimNão
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed43%SimNão
$54,7 mil Volume 4 dias restantes
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud61%SimNão
YasharYashar32%SimNão
$197,2 mil Volume 27/10
FL-26 House Election WinnerFL-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%SimNão
Democratic Party16%SimNão
$51 mil Volume 03/11
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro78%SimNão
Renan SantosRenan Santos9%SimNão
$4,4 mi Volume 04/10
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Thom Tillis82%SimNão
Jerry Moran55%SimNão
$15,2 mil Volume 01/01
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary WinnerMinnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike LindellMike Lindell73%SimNão
Lisa DemuthLisa Demuth25%SimNão
$489,2 mil Volume 11/08
Michigan Governor Republican Primary WinnerMichigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John JamesJohn James94%SimNão
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson6%SimNão
$168 mil Volume 4 dias restantes
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry25%SimNão
Ken SimKen Sim24%SimNão
$158,2 mil Volume 17/10
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry25%SimNão
Ken SimKen Sim24%SimNão
$158,2 mil Volume 17/10
FL-22 House Election WinnerFL-22 House Election Winner
Republican Party58%SimNão
Democratic Party41%SimNão
$34,8 mil Volume 03/11
MN-06 House Election WinnerMN-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party83%SimNão
Democratic Party16%SimNão
$32,3 mil Volume 03/11
MI-10 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Christina HinesChristina Hines89%SimNão
Eric ChungEric Chung6%SimNão
$72,6 mil Volume 4 dias restantes
TX-24 House Election WinnerTX-24 House Election Winner
Republican Party84%SimNão
Democratic Party15%SimNão
$55,9 mil Volume 03/11
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
32%
chance
Sim Não
$963,9 mil Volume 03/01
2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner
Mo Ivory97%SimNão
Eric J. Tatum2%SimNão
$16,7 mil Volume 03/11
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic60%SimNão
RepublicanRepublican41%SimNão
$1,9 mi Volume 07/11
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
98%
chance
Sim Não
$144,5 mil Volume 15/08
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second PlaceSouth Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place
Ralph NormanRalph Norman50%SimNão
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone37%SimNão
$8,6 mil Volume 11/08
NC-07 House Election WinnerNC-07 House Election Winner
Republican Party81%SimNão
Democratic Party16%SimNão
$26,5 mil Volume 03/11
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat90%SimNão
RepublicanRepublican10%SimNão
$89,6 mil Volume 03/11
Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary WinnerWisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner
Nate Pollnow81%SimNão
Jay Schroeder10%SimNão
$18,8 mil Volume 11/08
TX-21 House Election WinnerTX-21 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%SimNão
Democratic Party13%SimNão
$57,6 mil Volume 03/11
Kansas Governor Republican Primary WinnerKansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ty MastersonTy Masterson84%SimNão
Philip SarneckiPhilip Sarnecki15%SimNão
$100 mil Volume 4 dias restantes
TX-06 House Election WinnerTX-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%SimNão
Democratic Party8%SimNão
$35,4 mil Volume 03/11
Minas Gerais Governor Election WinnerMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo43%SimNão
Mateus SimõesMateus Simões24%SimNão
$143,5 mil Volume 04/10
MI-03 House Election WinnerMI-03 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%SimNão
Republican PartyRepublican Party10%SimNão
$8,8 mil Volume 04/11
MD-04 House Election WinnerMD-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%SimNão
Republican Party2%SimNão
$45,1 mil Volume 03/11
Alaska Governor Election Winner Alaska Governor Election Winner
Tom BegichTom Begich29%SimNão
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson29%SimNão
$1,1 mi Volume 03/11
TX-26 House Election WinnerTX-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%SimNão
Democratic Party10%SimNão
$24 mil Volume 03/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%SimNão
Haley StevensHaley Stevens22%SimNão
$41,2 mil Volume 4 dias restantes
AK-AL House Election WinnerAK-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party83%SimNão
Democratic Party16%SimNão
$25,5 mil Volume 03/11
PA-07 House Election WinnerPA-07 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party77%SimNão
Republican PartyRepublican Party24%SimNão
$12,2 mil Volume 04/11
VA-04 House Election WinnerVA-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%SimNão
Republican Party6%SimNão
$24,6 mil Volume 03/11
RI-02 House Election WinnerRI-02 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%SimNão
Republican Party6%SimNão
$22,2 mil Volume 03/11
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema88%SimNão
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%SimNão
$124,3 mil Volume 14/08
Next President of New CaledoniaNext President of New Caledonia
Milakulo TukumuliMilakulo Tukumuli99%SimNão
Pierre Chanel TutugoroPierre Chanel Tutugoro1%SimNão
$60,7 mil Volume 30/06
CA-25 House Election WinnerCA-25 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%SimNão
Republican Party6%SimNão
$16,7 mil Volume 03/11
OH-06 House Election WinnerOH-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%SimNão
Democratic Party7%SimNão
$58,5 mil Volume 03/11
How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
363%SimNão
430%SimNão
$33,3 mil Volume 5 dias restantes
SC-01 House Election WinnerSC-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party69%SimNão
Democratic Party31%SimNão
$51,1 mil Volume 03/11
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)97%SimNão
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%SimNão
$2,9 mi Volume 20/09
NY-08 House Election WinnerNY-08 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%SimNão
Republican Party5%SimNão
$32,5 mil Volume 03/11
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)52%SimNão
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)50%SimNão
$628,1 mil Volume 03/11
Next President of Hungary?Next President of Hungary?
Botond FülöpBotond Fülöp25%SimNão
Adrienn LaczóAdrienn Laczó22%SimNão
$6,1 mil Volume 18/08
VA-09 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Joy PowersJoy Powers60%SimNão
Adam MurphyAdam Murphy37%SimNão
$8,1 mil Volume 5 dias restantes
TX-27 House Election WinnerTX-27 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%SimNão
Democratic Party10%SimNão
$26,7 mil Volume 03/11
Texas Governor Election WinnerTexas Governor Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican88%SimNão
DemocratDemocrat13%SimNão
$37,3 mil Volume 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong96%SimNão
David CrowleyDavid Crowley3%SimNão
$277,1 mil Volume 11/08
Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerNovgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%SimNão
Communists of RussiaCommunists of Russia1%SimNão
$6,4 mil Volume 20/09
Kansas Governor Democratic Primary WinnerKansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Cindy HolscherCindy Holscher93%SimNão
Ethan CorsonEthan Corson8%SimNão
$84,1 mil Volume 4 dias restantes
Next President of Estonia?Next President of Estonia?
Ülle MadiseÜlle Madise62%SimNão
Jonatan VseviovJonatan Vseviov15%SimNão
$5,3 mil Volume 02/09
MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
McKinney 16%+31%SimNão
McKinney 8–12%20%SimNão
$8,6 mil Volume 5 dias restantes
NJ-03 House Election WinnerNJ-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%SimNão
Republican Party6%SimNão
$25,2 mil Volume 03/11
FL-11 Republican Primary WinnerFL-11 Republican Primary Winner
Joe Strada64%SimNão
Carey Baker32%SimNão
$9,9 mil Volume 18/08
North Vancouver—Capilano By-Election WinnerNorth Vancouver—Capilano By-Election Winner
Braeden CaleyBraeden Caley98%SimNão
Stephen CurranStephen Curran1%SimNão
$4,7 mil Volume 31/08
TX-31 House Election WinnerTX-31 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%SimNão
Democratic Party15%SimNão
$32,9 mil Volume 03/11
AL-06 House Election WinnerAL-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%SimNão
Democratic Party7%SimNão
$22,3 mil Volume 03/11
MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Bell <4%25%SimNão
Bush 4–8%21%SimNão
$7,9 mil Volume 5 dias restantes
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%35%SimNão
Binface 20–30%31%SimNão
$180,3 mil Volume 13/08
FL-28 House Election WinnerFL-28 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%SimNão
Democratic Party6%SimNão
$29,3 mil Volume 03/11
MA-01 House Election WinnerMA-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%SimNão
Republican Party6%SimNão
$34,1 mil Volume 03/11
FL-06 Republican Primary WinnerFL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Randy FineRandy Fine96%SimNão
Dan BilzerianDan Bilzerian1%SimNão
$213,8 mil Volume 18/08
GA-12 House Election WinnerGA-12 House Election Winner
Republican Party81%SimNão
Democratic Party17%SimNão
$25,8 mil Volume 03/11
TX-10 House Election WinnerTX-10 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%SimNão
Democratic Party13%SimNão
$26,6 mil Volume 03/11
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-2429%SimNão
25-2928%SimNão
$92 mil Volume 27/10
MI-11 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Jeremy MossJeremy Moss89%SimNão
Aisha FarooqiAisha Farooqi9%SimNão
$56,2 mil Volume 4 dias restantes
SC-07 House Election WinnerSC-07 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%SimNão
Democratic Party7%SimNão
$20,9 mil Volume 03/11
2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner
Esteban "Steve" Guerra92%SimNão
Mauro Garza7%SimNão
$4,6 mil Volume 03/11
FL-20 House Election WinnerFL-20 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%SimNão
Republican Party5%SimNão
$26,8 mil Volume 03/11
NC-14 House Election WinnerNC-14 House Election Winner
Republican Party83%SimNão
Democratic Party17%SimNão
$30,4 mil Volume 03/11
How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?
2–366%SimNão
4–533%SimNão
$13 mil Volume 5 dias restantes
VA-01 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Shannon TaylorShannon Taylor98%SimNão
Salaam BhattiSalaam Bhatti1%SimNão
$18,1 mil Volume 5 dias restantes
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party91%SimNão
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%SimNão
$18,3 mil Volume 04/11
Bahia Governor Election WinnerBahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo RodriguesJerônimo Rodrigues55%SimNão
ACM NetoACM Neto46%SimNão
$96,4 mil Volume 04/10
GA-05 House Election WinnerGA-05 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%SimNão
Republican Party2%SimNão
$44,5 mil Volume 03/11
SD-AL House Election WinnerSD-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party94%SimNão
Democratic Party4%SimNão
$27,6 mil Volume 03/11
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Flanagan 15–20%25%SimNão
Flanagan 10–15%24%SimNão
$9,6 mil Volume 11/08
TX-25 House Election WinnerTX-25 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%SimNão
Democratic Party12%SimNão
$8,7 mil Volume 03/11
WA-09 House Election WinnerWA-09 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%SimNão
Republican Party7%SimNão
$24,1 mil Volume 03/11
TX-03 House Election WinnerTX-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%SimNão
Democratic Party11%SimNão
$22,2 mil Volume 03/11
IL-01 House Election WinnerIL-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%SimNão
Republican Party4%SimNão
$49 mil Volume 03/11
VA-06 House Election WinnerVA-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%SimNão
Democratic Party10%SimNão
$104,6 mil Volume 03/11
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei54%SimNão
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof40%SimNão
$392,2 mil Volume 24/10
Qual partido vencerá a Câmara dos Representantes em 2026?Qual partido vencerá a Câmara dos Representantes em 2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%SimNão
Republican PartyRepublican Party14%SimNão
$3,4 mil Volume 03/11
TX-37 House Election WinnerTX-37 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%SimNão
Republican Party2%SimNão
$33,7 mil Volume 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Hong 30%+63%SimNão
Hong 25–30%13%SimNão
$13,8 mil Volume 11/08
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
2%
chance
Sim Não
$14,8 mil Volume 31/08
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton95%SimNão
Christy DavisChristy Davis2%SimNão
$170,2 mil Volume 4 dias restantes
Which Senate races will be within 5%?Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Ohio (Special)76%SimNão
Michigan75%SimNão
$21,1 mil Volume 03/11
TX-36 House Election WinnerTX-36 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%SimNão
Democratic Party8%SimNão
$28,1 mil Volume 03/11
SC-03 House Election WinnerSC-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%SimNão
Democratic Party6%SimNão
$39,9 mil Volume 03/11
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FAQ sobre Mercados de Eleições

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Quais mercados de eleições estão ativos agora?

EUA 2028, Israel (por data), eleições locais do Reino Unido e da UE, além de primárias partidárias. Siga nossa página para atualizações.

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