Brazil · Politics

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

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$118.7K Volume

15/08/2026 06:00

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The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.

This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Yes is trading at 96%, leaving No at just 4% - traders treat this one as close to settled, though prices keep updating until resolution.

What do traders predict for Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

With 96% implied for Yes, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.

When does the Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15 market resolve?

Mark 15 Aug 2026 (24 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Traders have put $118.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15 on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.