Wahlen Vorhersagemärkte

Wahlmärkte sind das Herzstück von Polymarket: US-Präsidentschaftswahlen, Parteivorwahlen, Kongresswahlen und jede Abstimmung in einer großen Demokratie. Die Wahlmärkte für die USA 2024 verzeichneten Milliarden an Volumen.

Die Preisgestaltung kombiniert Umfragen, Parteifinanzierungsdaten, wirtschaftliche Indikatoren und Berichterstattung, alles in einem Preis destilliert. Ein reichhaltiger Handelsplatz sowohl für Analysten als auch für meinungsgetriebene Investoren.

66 aktive Märkte
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2799%JaNein
July 2899%JaNein
$11,6 Mio. Vol 31/08
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%JaNein
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff13%JaNein
$1,2 Mrd. Vol 07/11
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%JaNein
Marco RubioMarco Rubio12%JaNein
$674,1 Mio. Vol 07/11
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen29%JaNein
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%JaNein
$116,8 Mio. Vol 30/04
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed95%JaNein
Haley StevensHaley Stevens6%JaNein
$1,7 Mio. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%JaNein
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%JaNein
$682 Mio. Vol 07/11
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%JaNein
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%JaNein
$116,6 Mio. Vol 04/10
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%JaNein
Benjamin Netanyahu35%JaNein
$30,4 Mio. Vol 31/12
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)60%JaNein
New People (NL)New People (NL)33%JaNein
$16,4 Mio. Vol 20/09
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage97%JaNein
Count BinfaceCount Binface2%JaNein
$3 Mio. Vol 13/08
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone59%JaNein
Ralph NormanRalph Norman37%JaNein
$519,7 Tsd. Vol 11/08
Next Premier of QuebecNext Premier of Quebec
Paul St-Pierre PlamondonPaul St-Pierre Plamondon62%JaNein
Christine FréchetteChristine Fréchette29%JaNein
$141,3 Tsd. Vol 05/10
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%JaNein
R Senate, D House43%JaNein
$9 Mio. Vol 03/11
How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
358%JaNein
429%JaNein
$27,6 Tsd. Vol 6 Tage verbleibend
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley BellWesley Bell64%JaNein
Cori BushCori Bush35%JaNein
$212,2 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Bulgaria Presidential ElectionBulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana IotovaIliana Iotova76%JaNein
Аndrey GyurovАndrey Gyurov21%JaNein
$278,2 Tsd. Vol 30/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed80%JaNein
Haley StevensHaley Stevens11%JaNein
$33,9 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney82%JaNein
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar19%JaNein
$126,9 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed54%JaNein
Haley StevensHaley Stevens49%JaNein
$42,1 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
MI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
William LawrenceWilliam Lawrence93%JaNein
Matt MaasdamMatt Maasdam6%JaNein
$114,6 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig99%JaNein
Marlon Scott WestMarlon Scott West1%JaNein
$406,8 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
Which Senate races will be within 5%?Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Ohio (Special)78%JaNein
Michigan72%JaNein
$17,9 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
El-Sayed 10–15%35%JaNein
El-Sayed 5–10%31%JaNein
$39 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
BNBN76%JaNein
PHPH25%JaNein
$105,6 Tsd. Vol 3 Tage verbleibend
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson84%JaNein
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson13%JaNein
$3,3 Mio. Vol 13/09
WA-03 Primary First PlaceWA-03 Primary First Place
John BraunJohn Braun77%JaNein
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezMarie Gluesenkamp Perez23%JaNein
$36,8 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Nigerian Presidential Election WinnerNigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu68%JaNein
Peter ObiPeter Obi32%JaNein
$90,6 Tsd. Vol 16/01
Minas Gerais Governor Election WinnerMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo21%JaNein
Alexandre KalilAlexandre Kalil20%JaNein
$134,8 Tsd. Vol 04/10
TN-05 Republican Primary WinnerTN-05 Republican Primary Winner
Andy Ogles77%JaNein
Charlie Hatcher19%JaNein
$13,3 Tsd. Vol 06/08
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Hong 20–25%22%JaNein
Hong 30%+22%JaNein
$9,3 Tsd. Vol 11/08
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%JaNein
James FishbackJames Fishback2%JaNein
$2,2 Mio. Vol 18/08
MI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Callie BarrCallie Barr72%JaNein
Kyle BlomquistKyle Blomquist28%JaNein
$31 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Tennessee Governor Republican Primary WinnerTennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner
Marsha BlackburnMarsha Blackburn94%JaNein
John RoseJohn Rose6%JaNein
$32,4 Tsd. Vol 7 Tage verbleibend
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud59%JaNein
YasharYashar42%JaNein
$185 Tsd. Vol 27/10
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 305%
$128,4 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro79%JaNein
Renan SantosRenan Santos6%JaNein
$4,3 Mio. Vol 04/10
Michigan Governor Republican Primary WinnerMichigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John JamesJohn James95%JaNein
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson5%JaNein
$155,9 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
WA-07 House Election WinnerWA-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%JaNein
Republican Party3%JaNein
$31,2 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat69%JaNein
RepublicanRepublican32%JaNein
$143,5 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Kamala HarrisKamala Harris13%JaNein
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg11%JaNein
$982,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Ohio Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)52%JaNein
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)50%JaNein
$115,6 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface79%JaNein
William CloustonWilliam Clouston9%JaNein
$316,7 Tsd. Vol 13/08
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%35%JaNein
Binface 20–30%29%JaNein
$175,6 Tsd. Vol 13/08
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
38%
Chance
Ja Nein
$209,4 Tsd. Vol 06/09
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Flanagan 10–15%22%JaNein
Flanagan 5–10%21%JaNein
$5,8 Tsd. Vol 11/08
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3189%JaNein
September 3088%JaNein
$233,3 Tsd. Vol 31/12
MI-11 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Jeremy MossJeremy Moss88%JaNein
Aisha FarooqiAisha Farooqi12%JaNein
$52,1 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 den Senat?Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 den Senat?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%JaNein
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%JaNein
$3,3 Mio. Vol 03/11
Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 das Repräsentantenhaus?Welche Partei gewinnt 2026 das Repräsentantenhaus?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%JaNein
Republican PartyRepublican Party14%JaNein
$4,4 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Peggy FlanaganPeggy Flanagan85%JaNein
Angie CraigAngie Craig16%JaNein
$93,2 Tsd. Vol 11/08
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Above 5051%JaNein
Above 5537%JaNein
$4,2 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
4%
Chance
Ja Nein
$11,5 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei52%JaNein
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof43%JaNein
$386,4 Tsd. Vol 24/10
MO-06 Republican Primary WinnerMO-06 Republican Primary Winner
Chris StigallChris Stigall80%JaNein
Nathan WillettNathan Willett21%JaNein
$12,8 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
FL-08 House Election WinnerFL-08 House Election Winner
Republican Party90%JaNein
Democratic Party11%JaNein
$23,4 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of VictoryKansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Masterson <5%33%JaNein
Masterson 10–15%22%JaNein
$4 Tsd. Vol 6 Tage verbleibend
MO-04 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Hartzell GrayHartzell Gray86%JaNein
Jordan HerreraJordan Herrera13%JaNein
$14,8 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Texas99%JaNein
Florida98%JaNein
$379,6 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed7%JaNein
Haley StevensHaley Stevens2%JaNein
$11,6 Tsd. Vol 04/11
Montana Senate Election WinnerMontana Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican74%JaNein
IndependentIndependent22%JaNein
$98,2 Tsd. Vol 03/11
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ61%JaNein
CAQCAQ25%JaNein
$721,1 Tsd. Vol 05/10
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic59%JaNein
RepublicanRepublican41%JaNein
$1,9 Mio. Vol 07/11
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference VotesGreater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes
Bev CraigBev Craig99%JaNein
Dan BarkerDan Barker1%JaNein
$69,3 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Kent County (Grand Rapids) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Kent County (Grand Rapids) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed95%JaNein
Haley StevensHaley Stevens4%JaNein
$13,9 Tsd. Vol 6 Tage verbleibend
Morocco Legislative Elections: Party WinnerMorocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner
PAMPAM45%JaNein
RNIRNI38%JaNein
$3,4 Tsd. Vol 23/09
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round WinnerSouth Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone77%JaNein
Ralph NormanRalph Norman19%JaNein
$12,2 Tsd. Vol 11/08
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