The MI-13 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
McKinney 4–8%
$167 Volume
72%
McKinney <4%
$120 Volume
64%
Thanedar <4%
$159 Volume
70%
Thanedar 4–8%
$208 Volume
59%
Thanedar 8–12%
$125 Volume
1%
McKinney 8–12%
$160 Volume
14%
McKinney 12–16%
$1.8K Volume
14%
Thanedar 12–16%
$120 Volume
8%
Thanedar 16%+
$120 Volume
64%
McKinney 16%+
$166 Volume
70%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory?
No runaway leader here - Other at 50% versus McKinney 4–8% at 41%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory?
Traders give Other a 50% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Aug 2026 (6 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory?
Total turnover stands at $3.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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