بازارهای پیش‌بینی انتخابات

بازارهای انتخاباتی هسته اصلی بولیمارکت هستند: انتخابات ریاست‌جمهوری آمریکا، انتخابات مقدماتی احزاب، رقابت‌های کنگره و هر رأی‌گیری در دموکراسی‌های بزرگ. بازارهای انتخاباتی 2024 آمریکا میلیاردها دلار حجم ثبت کردند.

قیمت‌گذاری ترکیبی از نظرسنجی‌ها، داده‌های مالی احزاب، شاخص‌های اقتصادی و گزارش‌ها است؛ همه در یک قیمت تقطیر شده‌اند. زمین معاملاتی غنی برای تحلیلگران و سرمایه‌گذاران مبتنی بر نظر.

116 بازار فعال
مرتب‌سازی
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%بلهخیر
Marco RubioMarco Rubio13%بلهخیر
$674.9 میلیون حجم 07/11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2899%بلهخیر
July 2999%بلهخیر
$12.2 میلیون حجم 31/08
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%بلهخیر
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%بلهخیر
$117 میلیون حجم 04/10
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%بلهخیر
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff14%بلهخیر
$1.2 میلیارد حجم 07/11
کدام حزب در 2026 مجلس سنا را می‌برد؟کدام حزب در 2026 مجلس سنا را می‌برد؟
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%بلهخیر
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%بلهخیر
$3.4 میلیون حجم 03/11
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep45%بلهخیر
R Senate, D House43%بلهخیر
$9.1 میلیون حجم 03/11
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)62%بلهخیر
New People (NL)New People (NL)32%بلهخیر
$16.5 میلیون حجم 20/09
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%بلهخیر
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%بلهخیر
$682.1 میلیون حجم 07/11
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen30%بلهخیر
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%بلهخیر
$116.9 میلیون حجم 30/04
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage97%بلهخیر
Count BinfaceCount Binface2%بلهخیر
$3.1 میلیون حجم 13/08
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney84%بلهخیر
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar17%بلهخیر
$212.6 هزار حجم 4 روز باقی
آیا Netanyahu تا... از قدرت کنار می‌رود؟آیا Netanyahu تا... از قدرت کنار می‌رود؟
December 3141%بلهخیر
July 311%بلهخیر
$50.9 هزار حجم 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%بلهخیر
Benjamin Netanyahu35%بلهخیر
$30.5 میلیون حجم 31/12
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed96%بلهخیر
Haley StevensHaley Stevens3%بلهخیر
$1.7 میلیون حجم 4 روز باقی
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone63%بلهخیر
Ralph NormanRalph Norman31%بلهخیر
$548.1 هزار حجم 11/08
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
BNBN74%بلهخیر
PHPH27%بلهخیر
$128.8 هزار حجم 2 روز باقی
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%بلهخیر
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton6%بلهخیر
$40.5 میلیون حجم 03/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface79%بلهخیر
William CloustonWilliam Clouston8%بلهخیر
$338.6 هزار حجم 13/08
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley BellWesley Bell71%بلهخیر
Cori BushCori Bush29%بلهخیر
$233.8 هزار حجم 4 روز باقی
CA-23 House Election WinnerCA-23 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%بلهخیر
Democratic Party6%بلهخیر
$58.2 هزار حجم 03/11
Next Prime Minister of Spain?Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez FeijóoAlberto Núñez Feijóo80%بلهخیر
Pedro SánchezPedro Sánchez9%بلهخیر
$91.7 هزار حجم 31/03
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%بلهخیر
James FishbackJames Fishback2%بلهخیر
$2.2 میلیون حجم 18/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed63%بلهخیر
Haley StevensHaley Stevens37%بلهخیر
$20.6 هزار حجم 4 روز باقی
VA-02 House Election WinnerVA-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party84%بلهخیر
Republican PartyRepublican Party16%بلهخیر
$16.1 هزار حجم 04/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
El-Sayed 15–20%33%بلهخیر
El-Sayed 10–15%29%بلهخیر
$59.6 هزار حجم 4 روز باقی
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner
Haley StevensHaley Stevens58%بلهخیر
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed43%بلهخیر
$54.7 هزار حجم 4 روز باقی
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud61%بلهخیر
YasharYashar32%بلهخیر
$197.2 هزار حجم 27/10
FL-26 House Election WinnerFL-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%بلهخیر
Democratic Party16%بلهخیر
$51 هزار حجم 03/11
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro78%بلهخیر
Renan SantosRenan Santos9%بلهخیر
$4.4 میلیون حجم 04/10
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Thom Tillis82%بلهخیر
Jerry Moran55%بلهخیر
$15.2 هزار حجم 01/01
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary WinnerMinnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike LindellMike Lindell73%بلهخیر
Lisa DemuthLisa Demuth25%بلهخیر
$489.2 هزار حجم 11/08
Michigan Governor Republican Primary WinnerMichigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John JamesJohn James94%بلهخیر
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson6%بلهخیر
$168 هزار حجم 4 روز باقی
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry25%بلهخیر
Ken SimKen Sim24%بلهخیر
$158.2 هزار حجم 17/10
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry25%بلهخیر
Ken SimKen Sim24%بلهخیر
$158.2 هزار حجم 17/10
FL-22 House Election WinnerFL-22 House Election Winner
Republican Party58%بلهخیر
Democratic Party41%بلهخیر
$34.8 هزار حجم 03/11
MN-06 House Election WinnerMN-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party83%بلهخیر
Democratic Party16%بلهخیر
$32.3 هزار حجم 03/11
MI-10 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Christina HinesChristina Hines89%بلهخیر
Eric ChungEric Chung6%بلهخیر
$72.6 هزار حجم 4 روز باقی
TX-24 House Election WinnerTX-24 House Election Winner
Republican Party84%بلهخیر
Democratic Party15%بلهخیر
$55.9 هزار حجم 03/11
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
32%
احتمال
بله خیر
$963.9 هزار حجم 03/01
2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner
Mo Ivory97%بلهخیر
Eric J. Tatum2%بلهخیر
$16.7 هزار حجم 03/11
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic60%بلهخیر
RepublicanRepublican41%بلهخیر
$1.9 میلیون حجم 07/11
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
98%
احتمال
بله خیر
$144.5 هزار حجم 15/08
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second PlaceSouth Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place
Ralph NormanRalph Norman50%بلهخیر
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone37%بلهخیر
$8.6 هزار حجم 11/08
NC-07 House Election WinnerNC-07 House Election Winner
Republican Party81%بلهخیر
Democratic Party16%بلهخیر
$26.5 هزار حجم 03/11
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat90%بلهخیر
RepublicanRepublican10%بلهخیر
$89.6 هزار حجم 03/11
Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary WinnerWisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner
Nate Pollnow81%بلهخیر
Jay Schroeder10%بلهخیر
$18.8 هزار حجم 11/08
TX-21 House Election WinnerTX-21 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%بلهخیر
Democratic Party13%بلهخیر
$57.6 هزار حجم 03/11
Kansas Governor Republican Primary WinnerKansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ty MastersonTy Masterson84%بلهخیر
Philip SarneckiPhilip Sarnecki15%بلهخیر
$100 هزار حجم 4 روز باقی
TX-06 House Election WinnerTX-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%بلهخیر
Democratic Party8%بلهخیر
$35.4 هزار حجم 03/11
Minas Gerais Governor Election WinnerMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo43%بلهخیر
Mateus SimõesMateus Simões24%بلهخیر
$143.5 هزار حجم 04/10
MI-03 House Election WinnerMI-03 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%بلهخیر
Republican PartyRepublican Party10%بلهخیر
$8.8 هزار حجم 04/11
MD-04 House Election WinnerMD-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%بلهخیر
Republican Party2%بلهخیر
$45.1 هزار حجم 03/11
Alaska Governor Election Winner Alaska Governor Election Winner
Tom BegichTom Begich29%بلهخیر
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson29%بلهخیر
$1.1 میلیون حجم 03/11
TX-26 House Election WinnerTX-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%بلهخیر
Democratic Party10%بلهخیر
$24 هزار حجم 03/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%بلهخیر
Haley StevensHaley Stevens22%بلهخیر
$41.2 هزار حجم 4 روز باقی
AK-AL House Election WinnerAK-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party83%بلهخیر
Democratic Party16%بلهخیر
$25.5 هزار حجم 03/11
PA-07 House Election WinnerPA-07 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party77%بلهخیر
Republican PartyRepublican Party24%بلهخیر
$12.2 هزار حجم 04/11
VA-04 House Election WinnerVA-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%بلهخیر
Republican Party6%بلهخیر
$24.6 هزار حجم 03/11
RI-02 House Election WinnerRI-02 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%بلهخیر
Republican Party6%بلهخیر
$22.2 هزار حجم 03/11
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema88%بلهخیر
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%بلهخیر
$124.3 هزار حجم 14/08
Next President of New CaledoniaNext President of New Caledonia
Milakulo TukumuliMilakulo Tukumuli99%بلهخیر
Pierre Chanel TutugoroPierre Chanel Tutugoro1%بلهخیر
$60.7 هزار حجم 30/06
CA-25 House Election WinnerCA-25 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%بلهخیر
Republican Party6%بلهخیر
$16.7 هزار حجم 03/11
OH-06 House Election WinnerOH-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%بلهخیر
Democratic Party7%بلهخیر
$58.5 هزار حجم 03/11
How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
363%بلهخیر
430%بلهخیر
$33.3 هزار حجم 5 روز باقی
SC-01 House Election WinnerSC-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party69%بلهخیر
Democratic Party31%بلهخیر
$51.1 هزار حجم 03/11
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)97%بلهخیر
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%بلهخیر
$2.9 میلیون حجم 20/09
NY-08 House Election WinnerNY-08 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%بلهخیر
Republican Party5%بلهخیر
$32.5 هزار حجم 03/11
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)52%بلهخیر
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)50%بلهخیر
$628.1 هزار حجم 03/11
Next President of Hungary?Next President of Hungary?
Botond FülöpBotond Fülöp25%بلهخیر
Adrienn LaczóAdrienn Laczó22%بلهخیر
$6.1 هزار حجم 18/08
VA-09 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Joy PowersJoy Powers60%بلهخیر
Adam MurphyAdam Murphy37%بلهخیر
$8.1 هزار حجم 5 روز باقی
TX-27 House Election WinnerTX-27 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%بلهخیر
Democratic Party10%بلهخیر
$26.7 هزار حجم 03/11
Texas Governor Election WinnerTexas Governor Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican88%بلهخیر
DemocratDemocrat13%بلهخیر
$37.3 هزار حجم 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong96%بلهخیر
David CrowleyDavid Crowley3%بلهخیر
$277.1 هزار حجم 11/08
Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerNovgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%بلهخیر
Communists of RussiaCommunists of Russia1%بلهخیر
$6.4 هزار حجم 20/09
Kansas Governor Democratic Primary WinnerKansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Cindy HolscherCindy Holscher93%بلهخیر
Ethan CorsonEthan Corson8%بلهخیر
$84.1 هزار حجم 4 روز باقی
Next President of Estonia?Next President of Estonia?
Ülle MadiseÜlle Madise62%بلهخیر
Jonatan VseviovJonatan Vseviov15%بلهخیر
$5.3 هزار حجم 02/09
MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
McKinney 16%+31%بلهخیر
McKinney 8–12%20%بلهخیر
$8.6 هزار حجم 5 روز باقی
NJ-03 House Election WinnerNJ-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%بلهخیر
Republican Party6%بلهخیر
$25.2 هزار حجم 03/11
FL-11 Republican Primary WinnerFL-11 Republican Primary Winner
Joe Strada64%بلهخیر
Carey Baker32%بلهخیر
$9.9 هزار حجم 18/08
North Vancouver—Capilano By-Election WinnerNorth Vancouver—Capilano By-Election Winner
Braeden CaleyBraeden Caley98%بلهخیر
Stephen CurranStephen Curran1%بلهخیر
$4.7 هزار حجم 31/08
TX-31 House Election WinnerTX-31 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%بلهخیر
Democratic Party15%بلهخیر
$32.9 هزار حجم 03/11
AL-06 House Election WinnerAL-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%بلهخیر
Democratic Party7%بلهخیر
$22.3 هزار حجم 03/11
MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Bell <4%25%بلهخیر
Bush 4–8%21%بلهخیر
$7.9 هزار حجم 5 روز باقی
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%35%بلهخیر
Binface 20–30%31%بلهخیر
$180.3 هزار حجم 13/08
FL-28 House Election WinnerFL-28 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%بلهخیر
Democratic Party6%بلهخیر
$29.3 هزار حجم 03/11
MA-01 House Election WinnerMA-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%بلهخیر
Republican Party6%بلهخیر
$34.1 هزار حجم 03/11
FL-06 Republican Primary WinnerFL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Randy FineRandy Fine96%بلهخیر
Dan BilzerianDan Bilzerian1%بلهخیر
$213.8 هزار حجم 18/08
GA-12 House Election WinnerGA-12 House Election Winner
Republican Party81%بلهخیر
Democratic Party17%بلهخیر
$25.8 هزار حجم 03/11
TX-10 House Election WinnerTX-10 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%بلهخیر
Democratic Party13%بلهخیر
$26.6 هزار حجم 03/11
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-2429%بلهخیر
25-2928%بلهخیر
$92 هزار حجم 27/10
MI-11 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Jeremy MossJeremy Moss89%بلهخیر
Aisha FarooqiAisha Farooqi9%بلهخیر
$56.2 هزار حجم 4 روز باقی
SC-07 House Election WinnerSC-07 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%بلهخیر
Democratic Party7%بلهخیر
$20.9 هزار حجم 03/11
2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner
Esteban "Steve" Guerra92%بلهخیر
Mauro Garza7%بلهخیر
$4.6 هزار حجم 03/11
FL-20 House Election WinnerFL-20 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%بلهخیر
Republican Party5%بلهخیر
$26.8 هزار حجم 03/11
NC-14 House Election WinnerNC-14 House Election Winner
Republican Party83%بلهخیر
Democratic Party17%بلهخیر
$30.4 هزار حجم 03/11
How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?
2–366%بلهخیر
4–533%بلهخیر
$13 هزار حجم 5 روز باقی
VA-01 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Shannon TaylorShannon Taylor98%بلهخیر
Salaam BhattiSalaam Bhatti1%بلهخیر
$18.1 هزار حجم 5 روز باقی
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party91%بلهخیر
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%بلهخیر
$18.3 هزار حجم 04/11
Bahia Governor Election WinnerBahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo RodriguesJerônimo Rodrigues55%بلهخیر
ACM NetoACM Neto46%بلهخیر
$96.4 هزار حجم 04/10
GA-05 House Election WinnerGA-05 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%بلهخیر
Republican Party2%بلهخیر
$44.5 هزار حجم 03/11
SD-AL House Election WinnerSD-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party94%بلهخیر
Democratic Party4%بلهخیر
$27.6 هزار حجم 03/11
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Flanagan 15–20%25%بلهخیر
Flanagan 10–15%24%بلهخیر
$9.6 هزار حجم 11/08
TX-25 House Election WinnerTX-25 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%بلهخیر
Democratic Party12%بلهخیر
$8.7 هزار حجم 03/11
WA-09 House Election WinnerWA-09 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%بلهخیر
Republican Party7%بلهخیر
$24.1 هزار حجم 03/11
TX-03 House Election WinnerTX-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%بلهخیر
Democratic Party11%بلهخیر
$22.2 هزار حجم 03/11
IL-01 House Election WinnerIL-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%بلهخیر
Republican Party4%بلهخیر
$49 هزار حجم 03/11
VA-06 House Election WinnerVA-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%بلهخیر
Democratic Party10%بلهخیر
$104.6 هزار حجم 03/11
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei54%بلهخیر
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof40%بلهخیر
$392.2 هزار حجم 24/10
کدام حزب در 2026 مجلس نمایندگان را می‌برد؟کدام حزب در 2026 مجلس نمایندگان را می‌برد؟
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%بلهخیر
Republican PartyRepublican Party14%بلهخیر
$3.4 هزار حجم 03/11
TX-37 House Election WinnerTX-37 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%بلهخیر
Republican Party2%بلهخیر
$33.7 هزار حجم 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Hong 30%+63%بلهخیر
Hong 25–30%13%بلهخیر
$13.8 هزار حجم 11/08
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
2%
احتمال
بله خیر
$14.8 هزار حجم 31/08
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton95%بلهخیر
Christy DavisChristy Davis2%بلهخیر
$170.2 هزار حجم 4 روز باقی
Which Senate races will be within 5%?Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Ohio (Special)76%بلهخیر
Michigan75%بلهخیر
$21.1 هزار حجم 03/11
TX-36 House Election WinnerTX-36 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%بلهخیر
Democratic Party8%بلهخیر
$28.1 هزار حجم 03/11
SC-03 House Election WinnerSC-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%بلهخیر
Democratic Party6%بلهخیر
$39.9 هزار حجم 03/11
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سوالات متداول بازارهای انتخابات

چرا بازارهای انتخاباتی دقیق هستند؟

آنها نیاز به 'سرمایه‌گذاری شخصی' دارند: مردم بر اساس نظرات خود پول می‌گذارند و نویز با کیفیت پایین را فیلتر می‌کنند. هرچه حجم بیشتر باشد، قیمت قابل اعتمادتر است.

کدام بازارهای انتخاباتی اکنون فعال هستند؟

آمریکا 2028، اسرائیل (بر اساس تاریخ)، انتخابات محلی بریتانیا و اتحادیه اروپا، به علاوه انتخابات مقدماتی احزاب. برای به‌روزرسانی‌ها صفحه ما را دنبال کنید.

چگونه ریسک را در بازارهای انتخاباتی قیمت‌گذاری کنم؟

عمق نقدینگی (عمق دفتر سفارش)، نوسانات تاریخی و تاریخ تصمیم‌گیری را بررسی کنید. بازارهای با نقدینگی کم مستعد قیمت‌گذاری ناکارآمد هستند.

شروع آموزش پلی‌مارکت به‌صورت رایگان
معامله بازارهای پیش‌بینی با پول مجازی. قیمت‌های واقعی، بدون ریسک. رقابت در جدول رتبه‌بندی.
$1K
پول مجازی
500+
بازارها
$0
ریسک واقعی
بیشتر بدانید
قیمت‌های واقعی بدون ریسک جدول امتیازات