Marchés de Prédiction Électorale

Les marchés électoraux sont au cœur de Polymarket : élections présidentielles américaines, primaires de partis, courses au Congrès, et tout vote majeur dans une démocratie. Les marchés électoraux américains de 2024 ont enregistré des milliards en volume.

Les prix combinent des sondages, des données de financement des partis, des indicateurs économiques et des rapports, le tout distillé en un seul prix. Un terrain de trading riche pour les analystes et les investisseurs guidés par l'opinion.

66 marchés actifs
Trier
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2799%OuiNon
July 2899%OuiNon
$11,6 M Vol 31/08
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%OuiNon
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff13%OuiNon
$1,2 Md Vol 07/11
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%OuiNon
Marco RubioMarco Rubio12%OuiNon
$674,1 M Vol 07/11
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen29%OuiNon
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%OuiNon
$116,8 M Vol 30/04
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed95%OuiNon
Haley StevensHaley Stevens6%OuiNon
$1,7 M Vol 5 jours restants
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%OuiNon
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%OuiNon
$682 M Vol 07/11
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%OuiNon
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%OuiNon
$116,6 M Vol 04/10
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%OuiNon
Benjamin Netanyahu35%OuiNon
$30,4 M Vol 31/12
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)60%OuiNon
New People (NL)New People (NL)33%OuiNon
$16,4 M Vol 20/09
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage97%OuiNon
Count BinfaceCount Binface2%OuiNon
$3 M Vol 13/08
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone59%OuiNon
Ralph NormanRalph Norman37%OuiNon
$519,7 k Vol 11/08
Next Premier of QuebecNext Premier of Quebec
Paul St-Pierre PlamondonPaul St-Pierre Plamondon62%OuiNon
Christine FréchetteChristine Fréchette29%OuiNon
$141,3 k Vol 05/10
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%OuiNon
R Senate, D House43%OuiNon
$9 M Vol 03/11
How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
358%OuiNon
429%OuiNon
$27,6 k Vol 6 jours restants
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley BellWesley Bell64%OuiNon
Cori BushCori Bush35%OuiNon
$212,2 k Vol 5 jours restants
Bulgaria Presidential ElectionBulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana IotovaIliana Iotova76%OuiNon
Аndrey GyurovАndrey Gyurov21%OuiNon
$278,2 k Vol 30/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed80%OuiNon
Haley StevensHaley Stevens11%OuiNon
$33,9 k Vol 5 jours restants
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney82%OuiNon
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar19%OuiNon
$126,9 k Vol 5 jours restants
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed54%OuiNon
Haley StevensHaley Stevens49%OuiNon
$42,1 k Vol 5 jours restants
MI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
William LawrenceWilliam Lawrence93%OuiNon
Matt MaasdamMatt Maasdam6%OuiNon
$114,6 k Vol 5 jours restants
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig99%OuiNon
Marlon Scott WestMarlon Scott West1%OuiNon
$406,8 k Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Which Senate races will be within 5%?Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Ohio (Special)78%OuiNon
Michigan72%OuiNon
$17,9 k Vol 03/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
El-Sayed 10–15%35%OuiNon
El-Sayed 5–10%31%OuiNon
$39 k Vol 5 jours restants
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
BNBN76%OuiNon
PHPH25%OuiNon
$105,6 k Vol 3 jours restants
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson84%OuiNon
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson13%OuiNon
$3,3 M Vol 13/09
WA-03 Primary First PlaceWA-03 Primary First Place
John BraunJohn Braun77%OuiNon
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezMarie Gluesenkamp Perez23%OuiNon
$36,8 k Vol 5 jours restants
Nigerian Presidential Election WinnerNigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu68%OuiNon
Peter ObiPeter Obi32%OuiNon
$90,6 k Vol 16/01
Minas Gerais Governor Election WinnerMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo21%OuiNon
Alexandre KalilAlexandre Kalil20%OuiNon
$134,8 k Vol 04/10
TN-05 Republican Primary WinnerTN-05 Republican Primary Winner
Andy Ogles77%OuiNon
Charlie Hatcher19%OuiNon
$13,3 k Vol 06/08
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Hong 20–25%22%OuiNon
Hong 30%+22%OuiNon
$9,3 k Vol 11/08
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%OuiNon
James FishbackJames Fishback2%OuiNon
$2,2 M Vol 18/08
MI-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Callie BarrCallie Barr72%OuiNon
Kyle BlomquistKyle Blomquist28%OuiNon
$31 k Vol 5 jours restants
Tennessee Governor Republican Primary WinnerTennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner
Marsha BlackburnMarsha Blackburn94%OuiNon
John RoseJohn Rose6%OuiNon
$32,4 k Vol 7 jours restants
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud59%OuiNon
YasharYashar42%OuiNon
$185 k Vol 27/10
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 305%
$128,4 k Vol 30/09
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro79%OuiNon
Renan SantosRenan Santos6%OuiNon
$4,3 M Vol 04/10
Michigan Governor Republican Primary WinnerMichigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John JamesJohn James95%OuiNon
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson5%OuiNon
$155,9 k Vol 5 jours restants
WA-07 House Election WinnerWA-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%OuiNon
Republican Party3%OuiNon
$31,2 k Vol 03/11
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat69%OuiNon
RepublicanRepublican32%OuiNon
$143,5 k Vol 03/11
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Kamala HarrisKamala Harris13%OuiNon
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg11%OuiNon
$982,5 k Vol 31/12
Ohio Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)52%OuiNon
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)50%OuiNon
$115,6 k Vol 03/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface79%OuiNon
William CloustonWilliam Clouston9%OuiNon
$316,7 k Vol 13/08
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%35%OuiNon
Binface 20–30%29%OuiNon
$175,6 k Vol 13/08
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
38%
de chance
Oui Non
$209,4 k Vol 06/09
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Flanagan 10–15%22%OuiNon
Flanagan 5–10%21%OuiNon
$5,8 k Vol 11/08
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3189%OuiNon
September 3088%OuiNon
$233,3 k Vol 31/12
MI-11 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Jeremy MossJeremy Moss88%OuiNon
Aisha FarooqiAisha Farooqi12%OuiNon
$52,1 k Vol 5 jours restants
Quel parti remportera le Sénat en 2026 ?Quel parti remportera le Sénat en 2026 ?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%OuiNon
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%OuiNon
$3,3 M Vol 03/11
Quel parti remportera la Chambre des représentants en 2026 ?Quel parti remportera la Chambre des représentants en 2026 ?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%OuiNon
Republican PartyRepublican Party14%OuiNon
$4,4 k Vol 03/11
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Peggy FlanaganPeggy Flanagan85%OuiNon
Angie CraigAngie Craig16%OuiNon
$93,2 k Vol 11/08
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Above 5051%OuiNon
Above 5537%OuiNon
$4,2 k Vol 01/01
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
4%
de chance
Oui Non
$11,5 k Vol 31/08
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei52%OuiNon
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof43%OuiNon
$386,4 k Vol 24/10
MO-06 Republican Primary WinnerMO-06 Republican Primary Winner
Chris StigallChris Stigall80%OuiNon
Nathan WillettNathan Willett21%OuiNon
$12,8 k Vol 5 jours restants
FL-08 House Election WinnerFL-08 House Election Winner
Republican Party90%OuiNon
Democratic Party11%OuiNon
$23,4 k Vol 03/11
Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of VictoryKansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Masterson <5%33%OuiNon
Masterson 10–15%22%OuiNon
$4 k Vol 6 jours restants
MO-04 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Hartzell GrayHartzell Gray86%OuiNon
Jordan HerreraJordan Herrera13%OuiNon
$14,8 k Vol 5 jours restants
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Texas99%OuiNon
Florida98%OuiNon
$379,6 k Vol 03/11
Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed7%OuiNon
Haley StevensHaley Stevens2%OuiNon
$11,6 k Vol 04/11
Montana Senate Election WinnerMontana Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican74%OuiNon
IndependentIndependent22%OuiNon
$98,2 k Vol 03/11
Quebec General Election WinnerQuebec General Election Winner
PQPQ61%OuiNon
CAQCAQ25%OuiNon
$721,1 k Vol 05/10
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic59%OuiNon
RepublicanRepublican41%OuiNon
$1,9 M Vol 07/11
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference VotesGreater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes
Bev CraigBev Craig99%OuiNon
Dan BarkerDan Barker1%OuiNon
$69,3 k Vol Se termine aujourd'hui
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Kent County (Grand Rapids) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Kent County (Grand Rapids) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed95%OuiNon
Haley StevensHaley Stevens4%OuiNon
$13,9 k Vol 6 jours restants
Morocco Legislative Elections: Party WinnerMorocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner
PAMPAM45%OuiNon
RNIRNI38%OuiNon
$3,4 k Vol 23/09
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round WinnerSouth Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone77%OuiNon
Ralph NormanRalph Norman19%OuiNon
$12,2 k Vol 11/08
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États-Unis 2028, Israël (par date), élections locales au Royaume-Uni et dans l'UE, ainsi que les primaires de partis. Suivez notre page pour des mises à jour.

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