Politics · House Primary

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

$213.7K Volume
18/08/2026 00:00
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Randy Fine
$29.9K Volume
97%
Dan Bilzerian
$74.3K Volume
1%
Alexandra Van Cleef
$39.3K Volume
1%
Joshua Vasquez
$13.5K Volume
1%
Aaron Baker
$20.6K Volume
1%
Charles Gambaro
$15.9K Volume
1%
Ernest Audino
$20.1K Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for FL-06 Republican Primary Winner?
At 96%, Randy Fine has pulled far clear of Dan Bilzerian (1%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for FL-06 Republican Primary Winner?
With 96% implied for Randy Fine, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the FL-06 Republican Primary Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 18 Aug 2026 (18 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on FL-06 Republican Primary Winner?
$213.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade FL-06 Republican Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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