Politics · Elections

VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner

$7.4K Volume
04/08/2026 23:59
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Joy Powers
$5.9K Volume
58%
Adam Murphy
$1.3K Volume
31%
Doug Crockett
$267 Volume
17%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner?
It's a genuine race: Joy Powers edges the field at 57%, barely ahead of Candidate A at 50%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner?
Traders give Joy Powers a 57% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner market resolve?
Mark 4 Aug 2026 (5 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner?
Total turnover stands at $7.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade VA-09 Democratic Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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