This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Elections
· US Election
· Politics
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra
$1.5M Volume
84%
Steve Hilton
$2M Volume
10%
Tom Steyer
$4.2M Volume
2%
Chad Bianco
$1.8M Volume
1%
Rick Caruso
$1.5M Volume
1%
Katie Porter
$1.6M Volume
1%
Stephen Cloobeck
$1.3M Volume
1%
Betty Yee
$1.5M Volume
1%
Kyle Langford
$1.8M Volume
1%
Eleni Kounalakis
$1.3M Volume
1%
Tony Thurmond
$1.2M Volume
1%
Leo Zacky
$979.9K Volume
1%
Eric Swalwell
$1.3M Volume
1%
Kamala Harris
$1.4M Volume
1%
Elaine Culotti
$1.1M Volume
1%
Alex Padilla
$1.3M Volume
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$1.1M Volume
1%
Butch Ware
$1.1M Volume
1%
Toni Atkins
$1.4M Volume
1%
Daniel Mercuri
$1.1M Volume
1%
Michael Younger
$1.4M Volume
1%
Nicole Shanahan
$1.5M Volume
1%
Matt Mahan
$1.1M Volume
1%
Option G
50%
Option I
50%
Option K
50%
Option M
50%
Option O
50%
Option Q
50%
Option S
50%
Option U
50%
Option W
50%
Option Y
50%
Other
50%
Option F
50%
Option H
50%
Option J
50%
Option L
50%
Option N
50%
Option P
50%
Option R
50%
Option T
50%
Option V
50%
Option X
50%
Option Z
50%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The California Governor Election Winner prediction market currently shows a low probability of 0.1% for the outcome of the 2026 gubernatorial election, which is set for November 3, 2026. With a trading volume of $11.5 million, this market reflects investor sentiment and speculation surrounding potential candidates and their chances of winning. Understanding these probabilities is crucial for political analysts and investors alike, as they provide insights into voter trends and the political landscape leading up to the election.
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