This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources havenโt called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
California Governor Election Winner
Elections
US Election
Politics
Governor midterms
California Midterm
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$12.1M
Time Remaining
195 days left
Xavier Becerra
$593.3K Volume
37%
Tom Steyer
$3M Volume
37%
Katie Porter
$827.9K Volume
8%
Matt Mahan
$403.5K Volume
6%
Steve Hilton
$983.4K Volume
6%
Chad Bianco
$889.4K Volume
5%
Elaine Culotti
$192.7K Volume
1%
Kamala Harris
$317.8K Volume
1%
Stephen Cloobeck
$240.6K Volume
1%
Betty Yee
$278.9K Volume
1%
Kyle Langford
$636.9K Volume
1%
Eleni Kounalakis
$416.5K Volume
1%
Eric Swalwell
$306K Volume
1%
Alex Padilla
$321.9K Volume
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$202.5K Volume
1%
Butch Ware
$297.4K Volume
1%
Toni Atkins
$282.3K Volume
1%
Daniel Mercuri
$293.4K Volume
1%
Michael Younger
$347.3K Volume
1%
Rick Caruso
$420.5K Volume
1%
Tony Thurmond
$256.5K Volume
1%
Leo Zacky
$279.2K Volume
1%
Nicole Shanahan
$286K Volume
1%
Option G
50%
Option I
50%
Option K
50%
Option M
50%
Option O
50%
Option Q
50%
Option S
50%
Option U
50%
Option W
50%
Option Y
50%
Other
50%
Option F
50%
Option H
50%
Option J
50%
Option L
50%
Option N
50%
Option P
50%
Option R
50%
Option T
50%
Option V
50%
Option X
50%
Option Z
50%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The California Governor Election Winner prediction market currently shows a low probability of 0.1% for the outcome of the 2026 gubernatorial election, which is set for November 3, 2026. With a trading volume of $11.5 million, this market reflects investor sentiment and speculation surrounding potential candidates and their chances of winning. Understanding these probabilities is crucial for political analysts and investors alike, as they provide insights into voter trends and the political landscape leading up to the election.