This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 30 12:00 PM ET to August 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<40
$409 Volume
22%
40-64
$1.3K Volume
50%
65-89
$531 Volume
22%
90-114
$544 Volume
7%
115-139
$223 Volume
2%
140-164
$3.3K Volume
1%
165-189
$1.8K Volume
1%
190-214
$5.2K Volume
1%
215-239
$4.6K Volume
1%
240+
$4.6K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets July 30 - August 1, 2026?
It's a genuine race: 40-64 edges the field at 50%, barely ahead of 65-89 at 22%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets July 30 - August 1, 2026?
At 50% implied for 40-64, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets July 30 - August 1, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 1 Aug 2026 (4 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets July 30 - August 1, 2026?
Total turnover stands at $496.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets July 30 - August 1, 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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