選挙予測市場

選挙市場はポリマーケットの中核です — 米国大統領、政党予備選、議会選挙、そして主要な民主主義の投票。2024年の米国選挙市場は数十億の取引量を記録しました。

価格は世論調査、政党の資金データ、経済指標、報告を組み合わせており、すべてが一つの価格に凝縮されています。アナリストや意見主導の投資家にとって豊かな取引の場です。

116件のアクティブなマーケット
並び替え
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%はいいいえ
Marco RubioMarco Rubio13%はいいいえ
$6.7億 取引高 07/11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2899%はいいいえ
July 2999%はいいいえ
$1,222.4万 取引高 31/08
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%はいいいえ
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%はいいいえ
$1.2億 取引高 04/10
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%はいいいえ
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff14%はいいいえ
$12.5億 取引高 07/11
2026年に上院を制する政党は？2026年に上院を制する政党は？
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%はいいいえ
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%はいいいえ
$344.3万 取引高 03/11
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep45%はいいいえ
R Senate, D House43%はいいいえ
$906.3万 取引高 03/11
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)62%はいいいえ
New People (NL)New People (NL)32%はいいいえ
$1,652.3万 取引高 20/09
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%はいいいえ
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%はいいいえ
$6.8億 取引高 07/11
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen30%はいいいえ
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%はいいいえ
$1.2億 取引高 30/04
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage97%はいいいえ
Count BinfaceCount Binface2%はいいいえ
$309.7万 取引高 13/08
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney84%はいいいえ
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar17%はいいいえ
$21.3万 取引高 残り4日
Netanyahuは...までに退任する？Netanyahuは...までに退任する？
December 3141%はいいいえ
July 311%はいいいえ
$5.1万 取引高 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%はいいいえ
Benjamin Netanyahu35%はいいいえ
$3,046.6万 取引高 31/12
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed96%はいいいえ
Haley StevensHaley Stevens3%はいいいえ
$172.9万 取引高 残り4日
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone63%はいいいえ
Ralph NormanRalph Norman31%はいいいえ
$54.8万 取引高 11/08
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
BNBN74%はいいいえ
PHPH27%はいいいえ
$12.9万 取引高 残り2日
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%はいいいえ
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton6%はいいいえ
$4,048.6万 取引高 03/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface79%はいいいえ
William CloustonWilliam Clouston8%はいいいえ
$33.9万 取引高 13/08
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley BellWesley Bell71%はいいいえ
Cori BushCori Bush29%はいいいえ
$23.4万 取引高 残り4日
CA-23 House Election WinnerCA-23 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%はいいいえ
Democratic Party6%はいいいえ
$5.8万 取引高 03/11
Next Prime Minister of Spain?Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez FeijóoAlberto Núñez Feijóo80%はいいいえ
Pedro SánchezPedro Sánchez9%はいいいえ
$9.2万 取引高 31/03
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%はいいいえ
James FishbackJames Fishback2%はいいいえ
$221.4万 取引高 18/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed63%はいいいえ
Haley StevensHaley Stevens37%はいいいえ
$2.1万 取引高 残り4日
VA-02 House Election WinnerVA-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party84%はいいいえ
Republican PartyRepublican Party16%はいいいえ
$1.6万 取引高 04/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
El-Sayed 15–20%33%はいいいえ
El-Sayed 10–15%29%はいいいえ
$6万 取引高 残り4日
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner
Haley StevensHaley Stevens58%はいいいえ
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed43%はいいいえ
$5.5万 取引高 残り4日
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud61%はいいいえ
YasharYashar32%はいいいえ
$19.7万 取引高 27/10
FL-26 House Election WinnerFL-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%はいいいえ
Democratic Party16%はいいいえ
$5.1万 取引高 03/11
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro78%はいいいえ
Renan SantosRenan Santos9%はいいいえ
$437.8万 取引高 04/10
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Thom Tillis82%はいいいえ
Jerry Moran55%はいいいえ
$1.5万 取引高 01/01
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary WinnerMinnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike LindellMike Lindell73%はいいいえ
Lisa DemuthLisa Demuth25%はいいいえ
$48.9万 取引高 11/08
Michigan Governor Republican Primary WinnerMichigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John JamesJohn James94%はいいいえ
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson6%はいいいえ
$16.8万 取引高 残り4日
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry25%はいいいえ
Ken SimKen Sim24%はいいいえ
$15.8万 取引高 17/10
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry25%はいいいえ
Ken SimKen Sim24%はいいいえ
$15.8万 取引高 17/10
FL-22 House Election WinnerFL-22 House Election Winner
Republican Party58%はいいいえ
Democratic Party41%はいいいえ
$3.5万 取引高 03/11
MN-06 House Election WinnerMN-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party83%はいいいえ
Democratic Party16%はいいいえ
$3.2万 取引高 03/11
MI-10 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Christina HinesChristina Hines89%はいいいえ
Eric ChungEric Chung6%はいいいえ
$7.3万 取引高 残り4日
TX-24 House Election WinnerTX-24 House Election Winner
Republican Party84%はいいいえ
Democratic Party15%はいいいえ
$5.6万 取引高 03/11
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
32%
確率
はい いいえ
$96.4万 取引高 03/01
2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner
Mo Ivory97%はいいいえ
Eric J. Tatum2%はいいいえ
$1.7万 取引高 03/11
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic60%はいいいえ
RepublicanRepublican41%はいいいえ
$193.4万 取引高 07/11
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
98%
確率
はい いいえ
$14.5万 取引高 15/08
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second PlaceSouth Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place
Ralph NormanRalph Norman50%はいいいえ
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone37%はいいいえ
$8,601 取引高 11/08
NC-07 House Election WinnerNC-07 House Election Winner
Republican Party81%はいいいえ
Democratic Party16%はいいいえ
$2.7万 取引高 03/11
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat90%はいいいえ
RepublicanRepublican10%はいいいえ
$9万 取引高 03/11
Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary WinnerWisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner
Nate Pollnow81%はいいいえ
Jay Schroeder10%はいいいえ
$1.9万 取引高 11/08
TX-21 House Election WinnerTX-21 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%はいいいえ
Democratic Party13%はいいいえ
$5.8万 取引高 03/11
Kansas Governor Republican Primary WinnerKansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ty MastersonTy Masterson84%はいいいえ
Philip SarneckiPhilip Sarnecki15%はいいいえ
$10万 取引高 残り4日
TX-06 House Election WinnerTX-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%はいいいえ
Democratic Party8%はいいいえ
$3.5万 取引高 03/11
Minas Gerais Governor Election WinnerMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo43%はいいいえ
Mateus SimõesMateus Simões24%はいいいえ
$14.3万 取引高 04/10
MI-03 House Election WinnerMI-03 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%はいいいえ
Republican PartyRepublican Party10%はいいいえ
$8,783 取引高 04/11
MD-04 House Election WinnerMD-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%はいいいえ
Republican Party2%はいいいえ
$4.5万 取引高 03/11
Alaska Governor Election Winner Alaska Governor Election Winner
Tom BegichTom Begich29%はいいいえ
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson29%はいいいえ
$109.6万 取引高 03/11
TX-26 House Election WinnerTX-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%はいいいえ
Democratic Party10%はいいいえ
$2.4万 取引高 03/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%はいいいえ
Haley StevensHaley Stevens22%はいいいえ
$4.1万 取引高 残り4日
AK-AL House Election WinnerAK-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party83%はいいいえ
Democratic Party16%はいいいえ
$2.5万 取引高 03/11
PA-07 House Election WinnerPA-07 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party77%はいいいえ
Republican PartyRepublican Party24%はいいいえ
$1.2万 取引高 04/11
VA-04 House Election WinnerVA-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%はいいいえ
Republican Party6%はいいいえ
$2.5万 取引高 03/11
RI-02 House Election WinnerRI-02 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%はいいいえ
Republican Party6%はいいいえ
$2.2万 取引高 03/11
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema88%はいいいえ
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%はいいいえ
$12.4万 取引高 14/08
Next President of New CaledoniaNext President of New Caledonia
Milakulo TukumuliMilakulo Tukumuli99%はいいいえ
Pierre Chanel TutugoroPierre Chanel Tutugoro1%はいいいえ
$6.1万 取引高 30/06
CA-25 House Election WinnerCA-25 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%はいいいえ
Republican Party6%はいいいえ
$1.7万 取引高 03/11
OH-06 House Election WinnerOH-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%はいいいえ
Democratic Party7%はいいいえ
$5.9万 取引高 03/11
How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
363%はいいいえ
430%はいいいえ
$3.3万 取引高 残り5日
SC-01 House Election WinnerSC-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party69%はいいいえ
Democratic Party31%はいいいえ
$5.1万 取引高 03/11
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)97%はいいいえ
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%はいいいえ
$287.7万 取引高 20/09
NY-08 House Election WinnerNY-08 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%はいいいえ
Republican Party5%はいいいえ
$3.3万 取引高 03/11
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)52%はいいいえ
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)50%はいいいえ
$62.8万 取引高 03/11
Next President of Hungary?Next President of Hungary?
Botond FülöpBotond Fülöp25%はいいいえ
Adrienn LaczóAdrienn Laczó22%はいいいえ
$6,051 取引高 18/08
VA-09 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Joy PowersJoy Powers60%はいいいえ
Adam MurphyAdam Murphy37%はいいいえ
$8,121 取引高 残り5日
TX-27 House Election WinnerTX-27 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%はいいいえ
Democratic Party10%はいいいえ
$2.7万 取引高 03/11
Texas Governor Election WinnerTexas Governor Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican88%はいいいえ
DemocratDemocrat13%はいいいえ
$3.7万 取引高 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong96%はいいいえ
David CrowleyDavid Crowley3%はいいいえ
$27.7万 取引高 11/08
Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerNovgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%はいいいえ
Communists of RussiaCommunists of Russia1%はいいいえ
$6,360 取引高 20/09
Kansas Governor Democratic Primary WinnerKansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Cindy HolscherCindy Holscher93%はいいいえ
Ethan CorsonEthan Corson8%はいいいえ
$8.4万 取引高 残り4日
Next President of Estonia?Next President of Estonia?
Ülle MadiseÜlle Madise62%はいいいえ
Jonatan VseviovJonatan Vseviov15%はいいいえ
$5,292 取引高 02/09
MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
McKinney 16%+31%はいいいえ
McKinney 8–12%20%はいいいえ
$8,571 取引高 残り5日
NJ-03 House Election WinnerNJ-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%はいいいえ
Republican Party6%はいいいえ
$2.5万 取引高 03/11
FL-11 Republican Primary WinnerFL-11 Republican Primary Winner
Joe Strada64%はいいいえ
Carey Baker32%はいいいえ
$9,906 取引高 18/08
North Vancouver—Capilano By-Election WinnerNorth Vancouver—Capilano By-Election Winner
Braeden CaleyBraeden Caley98%はいいいえ
Stephen CurranStephen Curran1%はいいいえ
$4,724 取引高 31/08
TX-31 House Election WinnerTX-31 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%はいいいえ
Democratic Party15%はいいいえ
$3.3万 取引高 03/11
AL-06 House Election WinnerAL-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%はいいいえ
Democratic Party7%はいいいえ
$2.2万 取引高 03/11
MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Bell <4%25%はいいいえ
Bush 4–8%21%はいいいえ
$7,891 取引高 残り5日
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%35%はいいいえ
Binface 20–30%31%はいいいえ
$18万 取引高 13/08
FL-28 House Election WinnerFL-28 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%はいいいえ
Democratic Party6%はいいいえ
$2.9万 取引高 03/11
MA-01 House Election WinnerMA-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%はいいいえ
Republican Party6%はいいいえ
$3.4万 取引高 03/11
FL-06 Republican Primary WinnerFL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Randy FineRandy Fine96%はいいいえ
Dan BilzerianDan Bilzerian1%はいいいえ
$21.4万 取引高 18/08
GA-12 House Election WinnerGA-12 House Election Winner
Republican Party81%はいいいえ
Democratic Party17%はいいいえ
$2.6万 取引高 03/11
TX-10 House Election WinnerTX-10 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%はいいいえ
Democratic Party13%はいいいえ
$2.7万 取引高 03/11
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-2429%はいいいえ
25-2928%はいいいえ
$9.2万 取引高 27/10
MI-11 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Jeremy MossJeremy Moss89%はいいいえ
Aisha FarooqiAisha Farooqi9%はいいいえ
$5.6万 取引高 残り4日
SC-07 House Election WinnerSC-07 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%はいいいえ
Democratic Party7%はいいいえ
$2.1万 取引高 03/11
2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner
Esteban "Steve" Guerra92%はいいいえ
Mauro Garza7%はいいいえ
$4,608 取引高 03/11
FL-20 House Election WinnerFL-20 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%はいいいえ
Republican Party5%はいいいえ
$2.7万 取引高 03/11
NC-14 House Election WinnerNC-14 House Election Winner
Republican Party83%はいいいえ
Democratic Party17%はいいいえ
$3万 取引高 03/11
How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?
2–366%はいいいえ
4–533%はいいいえ
$1.3万 取引高 残り5日
VA-01 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Shannon TaylorShannon Taylor98%はいいいえ
Salaam BhattiSalaam Bhatti1%はいいいえ
$1.8万 取引高 残り5日
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party91%はいいいえ
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%はいいいえ
$1.8万 取引高 04/11
Bahia Governor Election WinnerBahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo RodriguesJerônimo Rodrigues55%はいいいえ
ACM NetoACM Neto46%はいいいえ
$9.6万 取引高 04/10
GA-05 House Election WinnerGA-05 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%はいいいえ
Republican Party2%はいいいえ
$4.5万 取引高 03/11
SD-AL House Election WinnerSD-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party94%はいいいえ
Democratic Party4%はいいいえ
$2.8万 取引高 03/11
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Flanagan 15–20%25%はいいいえ
Flanagan 10–15%24%はいいいえ
$9,619 取引高 11/08
TX-25 House Election WinnerTX-25 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%はいいいえ
Democratic Party12%はいいいえ
$8,698 取引高 03/11
WA-09 House Election WinnerWA-09 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%はいいいえ
Republican Party7%はいいいえ
$2.4万 取引高 03/11
TX-03 House Election WinnerTX-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%はいいいえ
Democratic Party11%はいいいえ
$2.2万 取引高 03/11
IL-01 House Election WinnerIL-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%はいいいえ
Republican Party4%はいいいえ
$4.9万 取引高 03/11
VA-06 House Election WinnerVA-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%はいいいえ
Democratic Party10%はいいいえ
$10.5万 取引高 03/11
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei54%はいいいえ
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof40%はいいいえ
$39.2万 取引高 24/10
2026年に下院を制する政党は？2026年に下院を制する政党は？
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%はいいいえ
Republican PartyRepublican Party14%はいいいえ
$3,365 取引高 03/11
TX-37 House Election WinnerTX-37 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%はいいいえ
Republican Party2%はいいいえ
$3.4万 取引高 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Hong 30%+63%はいいいえ
Hong 25–30%13%はいいいえ
$1.4万 取引高 11/08
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
2%
確率
はい いいえ
$1.5万 取引高 31/08
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton95%はいいいえ
Christy DavisChristy Davis2%はいいいえ
$17万 取引高 残り4日
Which Senate races will be within 5%?Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Ohio (Special)76%はいいいえ
Michigan75%はいいいえ
$2.1万 取引高 03/11
TX-36 House Election WinnerTX-36 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%はいいいえ
Democratic Party8%はいいいえ
$2.8万 取引高 03/11
SC-03 House Election WinnerSC-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%はいいいえ
Democratic Party6%はいいいえ
$4万 取引高 03/11
ポリマーケット でもっと見る →

選挙マーケットで取引しませんか？

ポリマーケットアカウントを開設して、今日から取引を始めましょう

ポリマーケットアカウントを開設

選挙市場 FAQ

なぜ選挙市場は正確なのか？

人々が自分の見解にお金をかけるため、「ゲームに皮膚を持つ」必要があります。これにより、低品質のノイズがフィルタリングされます。取引量が大きいほど、価格はより信頼性があります。

現在ライブの選挙市場はどれか？

米国2028、イスラエル（日時別）、英国およびEUの地方選挙、さらに政党予備選があります。最新情報は私たちのページをフォローしてください。

選挙市場でリスクをどのように価格付けするか？

流動性（オーダーブックの深さ）、過去のボラティリティ、決定日を確認してください。流動性が薄い市場は非効率的な価格設定に陥りやすいです。

ポリマーケットトレーニングを無料で開始
仮想資金で予測市場を取引できます。実際の価格、リスクなし。リーダーボードで競争しましょう。
$1K
仮想資金
500+
マーケット
$0
リアルリスク
詳細
リアルタイム価格 ゼロリスク リーダーボード