This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Shannon Taylor
$8.3K Volume
97%
Salaam Bhatti
$936 Volume
3%
Elizabeth Dempsey Beggs
$833 Volume
1%
Jason Knapp
$478 Volume
1%
Tim Cywinski
$468 Volume
1%
Ericka Kopp
$645 Volume
1%
Mel Tull
$434 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner?
At 96%, Shannon Taylor has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner?
With 96% implied for Shannon Taylor, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Aug 2026 (26 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner?
Traders have put $12.1K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade VA-01 Democratic Primary Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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