Рынки прогнозов выборов

Рынки выборов составляют основу Полимаркета: президентские выборы в США, партийные праймериз, конгрессные гонки и голосование в любой крупной демократии. Рынки выборов США 2024 года зафиксировали миллиарды объема.

Цены сочетают опросы, данные финансирования партий, экономические индикаторы и отчеты; все это сводится к одной цене. Это богатая торговая площадка как для аналитиков, так и для инвесторов, ориентированных на мнение.

111 активных рынков
Сортировка
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2899%ДаНет
July 3099%ДаНет
$12,2 млн Объём 31/08
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%ДаНет
Marco RubioMarco Rubio13%ДаНет
$674,7 млн Объём 07/11
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva65%ДаНет
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%ДаНет
$116,9 млн Объём 04/10
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%ДаНет
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff14%ДаНет
$1,2 млрд Объём 07/11
Какая партия победит в Сенате в 2026 году?Какая партия победит в Сенате в 2026 году?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%ДаНет
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%ДаНет
$3,4 млн Объём 03/11
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)61%ДаНет
New People (NL)New People (NL)32%ДаНет
$16,5 млн Объём 20/09
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep45%ДаНет
R Senate, D House43%ДаНет
$9,1 млн Объём 03/11
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%ДаНет
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%ДаНет
$682,1 млн Объём 07/11
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen30%ДаНет
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%ДаНет
$116,9 млн Объём 30/04
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney84%ДаНет
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar18%ДаНет
$212 тыс. Объём Осталось 4 дней
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage97%ДаНет
Count BinfaceCount Binface2%ДаНет
$3,1 млн Объём 13/08
Netanyahu покинет пост до...?Netanyahu покинет пост до...?
December 3141%ДаНет
July 311%ДаНет
$50,9 тыс. Объём 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%ДаНет
Benjamin Netanyahu35%ДаНет
$30,5 млн Объём 31/12
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed96%ДаНет
Haley StevensHaley Stevens3%ДаНет
$1,7 млн Объём Осталось 4 дней
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone52%ДаНет
Ralph NormanRalph Norman43%ДаНет
$546,2 тыс. Объём 11/08
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
BNBN74%ДаНет
PHPH27%ДаНет
$128,2 тыс. Объём Осталось 2 дней
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%ДаНет
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton6%ДаНет
$40,5 млн Объём 03/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
El-Sayed 15–20%32%ДаНет
El-Sayed 10–15%30%ДаНет
$59,6 тыс. Объём Осталось 4 дней
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley BellWesley Bell67%ДаНет
Cori BushCori Bush33%ДаНет
$233,3 тыс. Объём Осталось 4 дней
CA-23 House Election WinnerCA-23 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%ДаНет
Democratic Party6%ДаНет
$58,2 тыс. Объём 03/11
Next Prime Minister of Spain?Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez FeijóoAlberto Núñez Feijóo80%ДаНет
Pedro SánchezPedro Sánchez9%ДаНет
$91,7 тыс. Объём 31/03
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%ДаНет
James FishbackJames Fishback2%ДаНет
$2,2 млн Объём 18/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed63%ДаНет
Haley StevensHaley Stevens37%ДаНет
$20,6 тыс. Объём Осталось 4 дней
VA-02 House Election WinnerVA-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party84%ДаНет
Republican PartyRepublican Party16%ДаНет
$16,1 тыс. Объём 04/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface78%ДаНет
William CloustonWilliam Clouston8%ДаНет
$329,9 тыс. Объём 13/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner
Haley StevensHaley Stevens58%ДаНет
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed43%ДаНет
$54,3 тыс. Объём Осталось 4 дней
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud61%ДаНет
YasharYashar32%ДаНет
$197,2 тыс. Объём 27/10
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro79%ДаНет
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva8%ДаНет
$4,4 млн Объём 04/10
FL-26 House Election WinnerFL-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%ДаНет
Democratic Party15%ДаНет
$51 тыс. Объём 03/11
Michigan Governor Republican Primary WinnerMichigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John JamesJohn James94%ДаНет
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson7%ДаНет
$167,9 тыс. Объём Осталось 4 дней
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary WinnerMinnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike LindellMike Lindell68%ДаНет
Lisa DemuthLisa Demuth25%ДаНет
$489,2 тыс. Объём 11/08
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry25%ДаНет
Ken SimKen Sim24%ДаНет
$158,2 тыс. Объём 17/10
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema88%ДаНет
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%ДаНет
$124,3 тыс. Объём 14/08
FL-22 House Election WinnerFL-22 House Election Winner
Republican Party58%ДаНет
Democratic Party41%ДаНет
$34,8 тыс. Объём 03/11
MN-06 House Election WinnerMN-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party83%ДаНет
Democratic Party16%ДаНет
$32,3 тыс. Объём 03/11
MI-10 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Christina HinesChristina Hines89%ДаНет
Eric ChungEric Chung6%ДаНет
$72,6 тыс. Объём Осталось 4 дней
TX-24 House Election WinnerTX-24 House Election Winner
Republican Party84%ДаНет
Democratic Party15%ДаНет
$55,9 тыс. Объём 03/11
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
32%
вероятность
Да Нет
$963,9 тыс. Объём 03/01
2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner
Mo Ivory97%ДаНет
Eric J. Tatum2%ДаНет
$16,7 тыс. Объём 03/11
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Thom Tillis82%ДаНет
Jerry Moran57%ДаНет
$12,4 тыс. Объём 01/01
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
98%
вероятность
Да Нет
$144,5 тыс. Объём 15/08
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second PlaceSouth Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place
Ralph NormanRalph Norman50%ДаНет
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone37%ДаНет
$8,3 тыс. Объём 11/08
NC-07 House Election WinnerNC-07 House Election Winner
Republican Party81%ДаНет
Democratic Party16%ДаНет
$26,5 тыс. Объём 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong97%ДаНет
David CrowleyDavid Crowley3%ДаНет
$277,1 тыс. Объём 11/08
Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary WinnerWisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner
Nate Pollnow80%ДаНет
Jay Schroeder10%ДаНет
$18,8 тыс. Объём 11/08
TX-21 House Election WinnerTX-21 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%ДаНет
Democratic Party13%ДаНет
$57,6 тыс. Объём 03/11
TX-06 House Election WinnerTX-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%ДаНет
Democratic Party8%ДаНет
$35,4 тыс. Объём 03/11
Kansas Governor Republican Primary WinnerKansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ty MastersonTy Masterson84%ДаНет
Philip SarneckiPhilip Sarnecki16%ДаНет
$99,8 тыс. Объём Осталось 4 дней
MI-03 House Election WinnerMI-03 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%ДаНет
Republican PartyRepublican Party10%ДаНет
$8,8 тыс. Объём 04/11
MD-04 House Election WinnerMD-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%ДаНет
Republican Party2%ДаНет
$45,1 тыс. Объём 03/11
Minas Gerais Governor Election WinnerMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo43%ДаНет
Mateus SimõesMateus Simões24%ДаНет
$143,4 тыс. Объём 04/10
Alaska Governor Election Winner Alaska Governor Election Winner
Tom BegichTom Begich29%ДаНет
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson29%ДаНет
$1,1 млн Объём 03/11
TX-26 House Election WinnerTX-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%ДаНет
Democratic Party10%ДаНет
$24 тыс. Объём 03/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%ДаНет
Haley StevensHaley Stevens22%ДаНет
$41,2 тыс. Объём Осталось 4 дней
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic60%ДаНет
RepublicanRepublican41%ДаНет
$1,9 млн Объём 07/11
AK-AL House Election WinnerAK-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party83%ДаНет
Democratic Party16%ДаНет
$25,5 тыс. Объём 03/11
PA-07 House Election WinnerPA-07 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party77%ДаНет
Republican PartyRepublican Party24%ДаНет
$12,2 тыс. Объём 04/11
VA-04 House Election WinnerVA-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%ДаНет
Republican Party6%ДаНет
$24,6 тыс. Объём 03/11
RI-02 House Election WinnerRI-02 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%ДаНет
Republican Party6%ДаНет
$22,2 тыс. Объём 03/11
Kansas Governor Democratic Primary WinnerKansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Cindy HolscherCindy Holscher92%ДаНет
Ethan CorsonEthan Corson8%ДаНет
$84,1 тыс. Объём Осталось 4 дней
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei52%ДаНет
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof43%ДаНет
$392,2 тыс. Объём 24/10
CA-25 House Election WinnerCA-25 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%ДаНет
Republican Party6%ДаНет
$16,7 тыс. Объём 03/11
Next President of New CaledoniaNext President of New Caledonia
Milakulo TukumuliMilakulo Tukumuli99%ДаНет
Paul NéaoutyinePaul Néaoutyine1%ДаНет
$60,1 тыс. Объём 30/06
How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
363%ДаНет
430%ДаНет
$33,3 тыс. Объём Осталось 5 дней
Next President of Hungary?Next President of Hungary?
Botond FülöpBotond Fülöp27%ДаНет
Adrienn LaczóAdrienn Laczó22%ДаНет
$6 тыс. Объём 18/08
SC-01 House Election WinnerSC-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party69%ДаНет
Democratic Party31%ДаНет
$51,1 тыс. Объём 03/11
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat88%ДаНет
RepublicanRepublican13%ДаНет
$87,2 тыс. Объём 03/11
NY-08 House Election WinnerNY-08 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%ДаНет
Republican Party5%ДаНет
$32,5 тыс. Объём 03/11
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)97%ДаНет
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%ДаНет
$2,9 млн Объём 20/09
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)52%ДаНет
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)50%ДаНет
$628,1 тыс. Объём 03/11
VA-09 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Joy PowersJoy Powers58%ДаНет
Adam MurphyAdam Murphy37%ДаНет
$8,1 тыс. Объём Осталось 5 дней
TX-27 House Election WinnerTX-27 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%ДаНет
Democratic Party10%ДаНет
$26,7 тыс. Объём 03/11
Texas Governor Election WinnerTexas Governor Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican88%ДаНет
DemocratDemocrat13%ДаНет
$37,3 тыс. Объём 03/11
Next President of Estonia?Next President of Estonia?
Ülle MadiseÜlle Madise62%ДаНет
Jonatan VseviovJonatan Vseviov16%ДаНет
$5,3 тыс. Объём 02/09
Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerNovgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%ДаНет
Communists of RussiaCommunists of Russia1%ДаНет
$6,3 тыс. Объём 20/09
MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
McKinney 16%+31%ДаНет
McKinney 8–12%21%ДаНет
$8,6 тыс. Объём Осталось 5 дней
NJ-03 House Election WinnerNJ-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%ДаНет
Republican Party6%ДаНет
$25,2 тыс. Объём 03/11
FL-11 Republican Primary WinnerFL-11 Republican Primary Winner
Joe Strada64%ДаНет
Carey Baker32%ДаНет
$9,9 тыс. Объём 18/08
North Vancouver—Capilano By-Election WinnerNorth Vancouver—Capilano By-Election Winner
Braeden CaleyBraeden Caley98%ДаНет
Stephen CurranStephen Curran1%ДаНет
$4,7 тыс. Объём 31/08
TX-31 House Election WinnerTX-31 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%ДаНет
Democratic Party15%ДаНет
$32,9 тыс. Объём 03/11
AL-06 House Election WinnerAL-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%ДаНет
Democratic Party7%ДаНет
$22,3 тыс. Объём 03/11
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%35%ДаНет
Binface 20–30%31%ДаНет
$180,3 тыс. Объём 13/08
MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Bell <4%33%ДаНет
Bush <4%23%ДаНет
$7,9 тыс. Объём Осталось 5 дней
FL-28 House Election WinnerFL-28 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%ДаНет
Democratic Party6%ДаНет
$29,3 тыс. Объём 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Hong 30%+63%ДаНет
Hong 25–30%13%ДаНет
$13,8 тыс. Объём 11/08
MA-01 House Election WinnerMA-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%ДаНет
Republican Party6%ДаНет
$34,1 тыс. Объём 03/11
FL-06 Republican Primary WinnerFL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Randy FineRandy Fine96%ДаНет
Dan BilzerianDan Bilzerian1%ДаНет
$213,8 тыс. Объём 18/08
GA-12 House Election WinnerGA-12 House Election Winner
Republican Party81%ДаНет
Democratic Party17%ДаНет
$25,8 тыс. Объём 03/11
TX-10 House Election WinnerTX-10 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%ДаНет
Democratic Party13%ДаНет
$26,6 тыс. Объём 03/11
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-2429%ДаНет
25-2928%ДаНет
$92 тыс. Объём 27/10
MI-11 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Jeremy MossJeremy Moss89%ДаНет
Aisha FarooqiAisha Farooqi9%ДаНет
$56,2 тыс. Объём Осталось 4 дней
SC-07 House Election WinnerSC-07 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%ДаНет
Democratic Party7%ДаНет
$20,9 тыс. Объём 03/11
OH-06 House Election WinnerOH-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%ДаНет
Democratic Party7%ДаНет
$56,8 тыс. Объём 03/11
2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner
Esteban "Steve" Guerra92%ДаНет
Mauro Garza7%ДаНет
$4,6 тыс. Объём 03/11
FL-20 House Election WinnerFL-20 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%ДаНет
Republican Party5%ДаНет
$26,8 тыс. Объём 03/11
NC-14 House Election WinnerNC-14 House Election Winner
Republican Party83%ДаНет
Democratic Party17%ДаНет
$30,4 тыс. Объём 03/11
How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?
2–366%ДаНет
4–533%ДаНет
$13 тыс. Объём Осталось 5 дней
VA-01 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Shannon TaylorShannon Taylor98%ДаНет
Salaam BhattiSalaam Bhatti1%ДаНет
$18,1 тыс. Объём Осталось 5 дней
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Flanagan 10–15%28%ДаНет
Flanagan 15–20%25%ДаНет
$9,6 тыс. Объём 11/08
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party91%ДаНет
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%ДаНет
$18,3 тыс. Объём 04/11
GA-05 House Election WinnerGA-05 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%ДаНет
Republican Party3%ДаНет
$44,5 тыс. Объём 03/11
Bahia Governor Election WinnerBahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo RodriguesJerônimo Rodrigues55%ДаНет
ACM NetoACM Neto46%ДаНет
$96,3 тыс. Объём 04/10
SD-AL House Election WinnerSD-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party94%ДаНет
Democratic Party4%ДаНет
$27,6 тыс. Объём 03/11
TX-25 House Election WinnerTX-25 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%ДаНет
Democratic Party12%ДаНет
$8,7 тыс. Объём 03/11
Какая партия победит в Палате представителей в 2026 году?Какая партия победит в Палате представителей в 2026 году?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%ДаНет
Republican PartyRepublican Party14%ДаНет
$3,6 тыс. Объём 03/11
TX-03 House Election WinnerTX-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%ДаНет
Democratic Party11%ДаНет
$22,2 тыс. Объём 03/11
IL-01 House Election WinnerIL-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%ДаНет
Republican Party4%ДаНет
$49 тыс. Объём 03/11
VA-06 House Election WinnerVA-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%ДаНет
Democratic Party10%ДаНет
$104,6 тыс. Объём 03/11
TX-37 House Election WinnerTX-37 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%ДаНет
Republican Party2%ДаНет
$33,7 тыс. Объём 03/11
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
2%
вероятность
Да Нет
$14,8 тыс. Объём 31/08
Which Senate races will be within 5%?Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Ohio (Special)76%ДаНет
Michigan76%ДаНет
$21,1 тыс. Объём 03/11
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