US Election · Elections

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

$1.9M Volume
07/11/2028 00:00
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Democratic
$853.9K Volume
59%
Republican
$1.1M Volume
41%

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
It's a genuine race: Democratic edges the field at 59%, barely ahead of Republican at 41%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Traders give Democratic a 59% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 7 Nov 2028 (837 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Total turnover stands at $1.9M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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