Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
United Russia (ER)
$681.9K Volume
98%
New People (NL)
$111.8K Volume
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$125.5K Volume
1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$694K Volume
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$149K Volume
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$578.8K Volume
1%
Rodina
$450.1K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Russia Parliamentary Election Winner?
At 98%, United Russia (ER) has pulled far clear of New People (NL) (1%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Russia Parliamentary Election Winner?
Traders price United Russia (ER) at a 98% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Russia Parliamentary Election Winner market resolve?
Mark 20 Sep 2026 (60 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Russia Parliamentary Election Winner?
Total turnover stands at $2.8M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Russia Parliamentary Election Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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