Seçim Tahmin Pazarları

Seçim pazarları Polymarket'in çekirdeğidir: ABD başkanlık, parti ön seçimleri, kongre yarışları ve herhangi bir büyük demokrasinin oyu. 2024 ABD seçim pazarları milyarlarca hacim kaydetti.

Fiyatlandırma, anketler, parti finans verileri, ekonomik göstergeler ve raporlamayı harmanlayarak tek bir fiyatta yoğunlaştırır. Hem analistler hem de görüş odaklı yatırımcılar için zengin bir ticaret alanı.

116 aktif pazar
Sırala
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%EvetHayır
Marco RubioMarco Rubio13%EvetHayır
$674,9 milyon Hacim 07/11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2899%EvetHayır
July 2999%EvetHayır
$12,2 milyon Hacim 31/08
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%EvetHayır
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%EvetHayır
$117 milyon Hacim 04/10
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%EvetHayır
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff14%EvetHayır
$1,2 milyar Hacim 07/11
2026'de Senato'yu hangi parti kazanacak?2026'de Senato'yu hangi parti kazanacak?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%EvetHayır
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%EvetHayır
$3,4 milyon Hacim 03/11
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep45%EvetHayır
R Senate, D House43%EvetHayır
$9,1 milyon Hacim 03/11
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)62%EvetHayır
New People (NL)New People (NL)32%EvetHayır
$16,5 milyon Hacim 20/09
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%EvetHayır
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%EvetHayır
$682,1 milyon Hacim 07/11
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen30%EvetHayır
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%EvetHayır
$116,9 milyon Hacim 30/04
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage97%EvetHayır
Count BinfaceCount Binface2%EvetHayır
$3,1 milyon Hacim 13/08
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney84%EvetHayır
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar17%EvetHayır
$212,6 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
Netanyahu ...tarihine kadar görevden ayrılır mı?Netanyahu ...tarihine kadar görevden ayrılır mı?
December 3141%EvetHayır
July 311%EvetHayır
$50,9 bin Hacim 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%EvetHayır
Benjamin Netanyahu35%EvetHayır
$30,5 milyon Hacim 31/12
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed96%EvetHayır
Haley StevensHaley Stevens3%EvetHayır
$1,7 milyon Hacim 4 gün kaldı
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone63%EvetHayır
Ralph NormanRalph Norman31%EvetHayır
$548,1 bin Hacim 11/08
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
BNBN74%EvetHayır
PHPH27%EvetHayır
$128,8 bin Hacim 2 gün kaldı
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%EvetHayır
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton6%EvetHayır
$40,5 milyon Hacim 03/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface79%EvetHayır
William CloustonWilliam Clouston8%EvetHayır
$338,6 bin Hacim 13/08
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley BellWesley Bell71%EvetHayır
Cori BushCori Bush29%EvetHayır
$233,8 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
CA-23 House Election WinnerCA-23 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%EvetHayır
Democratic Party6%EvetHayır
$58,2 bin Hacim 03/11
Next Prime Minister of Spain?Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez FeijóoAlberto Núñez Feijóo80%EvetHayır
Pedro SánchezPedro Sánchez9%EvetHayır
$91,7 bin Hacim 31/03
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%EvetHayır
James FishbackJames Fishback2%EvetHayır
$2,2 milyon Hacim 18/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed63%EvetHayır
Haley StevensHaley Stevens37%EvetHayır
$20,6 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
VA-02 House Election WinnerVA-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party84%EvetHayır
Republican PartyRepublican Party16%EvetHayır
$16,1 bin Hacim 04/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
El-Sayed 15–20%33%EvetHayır
El-Sayed 10–15%29%EvetHayır
$59,6 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner
Haley StevensHaley Stevens58%EvetHayır
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed43%EvetHayır
$54,7 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud61%EvetHayır
YasharYashar32%EvetHayır
$197,2 bin Hacim 27/10
FL-26 House Election WinnerFL-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%EvetHayır
Democratic Party16%EvetHayır
$51 bin Hacim 03/11
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro78%EvetHayır
Renan SantosRenan Santos9%EvetHayır
$4,4 milyon Hacim 04/10
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Thom Tillis82%EvetHayır
Jerry Moran55%EvetHayır
$15,2 bin Hacim 01/01
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary WinnerMinnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike LindellMike Lindell73%EvetHayır
Lisa DemuthLisa Demuth25%EvetHayır
$489,2 bin Hacim 11/08
Michigan Governor Republican Primary WinnerMichigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John JamesJohn James94%EvetHayır
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson6%EvetHayır
$168 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry25%EvetHayır
Ken SimKen Sim24%EvetHayır
$158,2 bin Hacim 17/10
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry25%EvetHayır
Ken SimKen Sim24%EvetHayır
$158,2 bin Hacim 17/10
FL-22 House Election WinnerFL-22 House Election Winner
Republican Party58%EvetHayır
Democratic Party41%EvetHayır
$34,8 bin Hacim 03/11
MN-06 House Election WinnerMN-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party83%EvetHayır
Democratic Party16%EvetHayır
$32,3 bin Hacim 03/11
MI-10 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Christina HinesChristina Hines89%EvetHayır
Eric ChungEric Chung6%EvetHayır
$72,6 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
TX-24 House Election WinnerTX-24 House Election Winner
Republican Party84%EvetHayır
Democratic Party15%EvetHayır
$55,9 bin Hacim 03/11
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
32%
şans
Evet Hayır
$963,9 bin Hacim 03/01
2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner
Mo Ivory97%EvetHayır
Eric J. Tatum2%EvetHayır
$16,7 bin Hacim 03/11
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic60%EvetHayır
RepublicanRepublican41%EvetHayır
$1,9 milyon Hacim 07/11
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
98%
şans
Evet Hayır
$144,5 bin Hacim 15/08
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second PlaceSouth Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place
Ralph NormanRalph Norman50%EvetHayır
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone37%EvetHayır
$8,6 bin Hacim 11/08
NC-07 House Election WinnerNC-07 House Election Winner
Republican Party81%EvetHayır
Democratic Party16%EvetHayır
$26,5 bin Hacim 03/11
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat90%EvetHayır
RepublicanRepublican10%EvetHayır
$89,6 bin Hacim 03/11
Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary WinnerWisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner
Nate Pollnow81%EvetHayır
Jay Schroeder10%EvetHayır
$18,8 bin Hacim 11/08
TX-21 House Election WinnerTX-21 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%EvetHayır
Democratic Party13%EvetHayır
$57,6 bin Hacim 03/11
Kansas Governor Republican Primary WinnerKansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ty MastersonTy Masterson84%EvetHayır
Philip SarneckiPhilip Sarnecki15%EvetHayır
$100 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
TX-06 House Election WinnerTX-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%EvetHayır
Democratic Party8%EvetHayır
$35,4 bin Hacim 03/11
Minas Gerais Governor Election WinnerMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo43%EvetHayır
Mateus SimõesMateus Simões24%EvetHayır
$143,5 bin Hacim 04/10
MI-03 House Election WinnerMI-03 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%EvetHayır
Republican PartyRepublican Party10%EvetHayır
$8,8 bin Hacim 04/11
MD-04 House Election WinnerMD-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%EvetHayır
Republican Party2%EvetHayır
$45,1 bin Hacim 03/11
Alaska Governor Election Winner Alaska Governor Election Winner
Tom BegichTom Begich29%EvetHayır
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson29%EvetHayır
$1,1 milyon Hacim 03/11
TX-26 House Election WinnerTX-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%EvetHayır
Democratic Party10%EvetHayır
$24 bin Hacim 03/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%EvetHayır
Haley StevensHaley Stevens22%EvetHayır
$41,2 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
AK-AL House Election WinnerAK-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party83%EvetHayır
Democratic Party16%EvetHayır
$25,5 bin Hacim 03/11
PA-07 House Election WinnerPA-07 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party77%EvetHayır
Republican PartyRepublican Party24%EvetHayır
$12,2 bin Hacim 04/11
VA-04 House Election WinnerVA-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%EvetHayır
Republican Party6%EvetHayır
$24,6 bin Hacim 03/11
RI-02 House Election WinnerRI-02 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%EvetHayır
Republican Party6%EvetHayır
$22,2 bin Hacim 03/11
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema88%EvetHayır
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%EvetHayır
$124,3 bin Hacim 14/08
Next President of New CaledoniaNext President of New Caledonia
Milakulo TukumuliMilakulo Tukumuli99%EvetHayır
Pierre Chanel TutugoroPierre Chanel Tutugoro1%EvetHayır
$60,7 bin Hacim 30/06
CA-25 House Election WinnerCA-25 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%EvetHayır
Republican Party6%EvetHayır
$16,7 bin Hacim 03/11
OH-06 House Election WinnerOH-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%EvetHayır
Democratic Party7%EvetHayır
$58,5 bin Hacim 03/11
How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
363%EvetHayır
430%EvetHayır
$33,3 bin Hacim 5 gün kaldı
SC-01 House Election WinnerSC-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party69%EvetHayır
Democratic Party31%EvetHayır
$51,1 bin Hacim 03/11
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)97%EvetHayır
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%EvetHayır
$2,9 milyon Hacim 20/09
NY-08 House Election WinnerNY-08 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%EvetHayır
Republican Party5%EvetHayır
$32,5 bin Hacim 03/11
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)52%EvetHayır
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)50%EvetHayır
$628,1 bin Hacim 03/11
Next President of Hungary?Next President of Hungary?
Botond FülöpBotond Fülöp25%EvetHayır
Adrienn LaczóAdrienn Laczó22%EvetHayır
$6,1 bin Hacim 18/08
VA-09 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Joy PowersJoy Powers60%EvetHayır
Adam MurphyAdam Murphy37%EvetHayır
$8,1 bin Hacim 5 gün kaldı
TX-27 House Election WinnerTX-27 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%EvetHayır
Democratic Party10%EvetHayır
$26,7 bin Hacim 03/11
Texas Governor Election WinnerTexas Governor Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican88%EvetHayır
DemocratDemocrat13%EvetHayır
$37,3 bin Hacim 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong96%EvetHayır
David CrowleyDavid Crowley3%EvetHayır
$277,1 bin Hacim 11/08
Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerNovgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%EvetHayır
Communists of RussiaCommunists of Russia1%EvetHayır
$6,4 bin Hacim 20/09
Kansas Governor Democratic Primary WinnerKansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Cindy HolscherCindy Holscher93%EvetHayır
Ethan CorsonEthan Corson8%EvetHayır
$84,1 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
Next President of Estonia?Next President of Estonia?
Ülle MadiseÜlle Madise62%EvetHayır
Jonatan VseviovJonatan Vseviov15%EvetHayır
$5,3 bin Hacim 02/09
MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
McKinney 16%+31%EvetHayır
McKinney 8–12%20%EvetHayır
$8,6 bin Hacim 5 gün kaldı
NJ-03 House Election WinnerNJ-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%EvetHayır
Republican Party6%EvetHayır
$25,2 bin Hacim 03/11
FL-11 Republican Primary WinnerFL-11 Republican Primary Winner
Joe Strada64%EvetHayır
Carey Baker32%EvetHayır
$9,9 bin Hacim 18/08
North Vancouver—Capilano By-Election WinnerNorth Vancouver—Capilano By-Election Winner
Braeden CaleyBraeden Caley98%EvetHayır
Stephen CurranStephen Curran1%EvetHayır
$4,7 bin Hacim 31/08
TX-31 House Election WinnerTX-31 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%EvetHayır
Democratic Party15%EvetHayır
$32,9 bin Hacim 03/11
AL-06 House Election WinnerAL-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%EvetHayır
Democratic Party7%EvetHayır
$22,3 bin Hacim 03/11
MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Bell <4%25%EvetHayır
Bush 4–8%21%EvetHayır
$7,9 bin Hacim 5 gün kaldı
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%35%EvetHayır
Binface 20–30%31%EvetHayır
$180,3 bin Hacim 13/08
FL-28 House Election WinnerFL-28 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%EvetHayır
Democratic Party6%EvetHayır
$29,3 bin Hacim 03/11
MA-01 House Election WinnerMA-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%EvetHayır
Republican Party6%EvetHayır
$34,1 bin Hacim 03/11
FL-06 Republican Primary WinnerFL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Randy FineRandy Fine96%EvetHayır
Dan BilzerianDan Bilzerian1%EvetHayır
$213,8 bin Hacim 18/08
GA-12 House Election WinnerGA-12 House Election Winner
Republican Party81%EvetHayır
Democratic Party17%EvetHayır
$25,8 bin Hacim 03/11
TX-10 House Election WinnerTX-10 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%EvetHayır
Democratic Party13%EvetHayır
$26,6 bin Hacim 03/11
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-2429%EvetHayır
25-2928%EvetHayır
$92 bin Hacim 27/10
MI-11 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Jeremy MossJeremy Moss89%EvetHayır
Aisha FarooqiAisha Farooqi9%EvetHayır
$56,2 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
SC-07 House Election WinnerSC-07 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%EvetHayır
Democratic Party7%EvetHayır
$20,9 bin Hacim 03/11
2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner
Esteban "Steve" Guerra92%EvetHayır
Mauro Garza7%EvetHayır
$4,6 bin Hacim 03/11
FL-20 House Election WinnerFL-20 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%EvetHayır
Republican Party5%EvetHayır
$26,8 bin Hacim 03/11
NC-14 House Election WinnerNC-14 House Election Winner
Republican Party83%EvetHayır
Democratic Party17%EvetHayır
$30,4 bin Hacim 03/11
How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?
2–366%EvetHayır
4–533%EvetHayır
$13 bin Hacim 5 gün kaldı
VA-01 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Shannon TaylorShannon Taylor98%EvetHayır
Salaam BhattiSalaam Bhatti1%EvetHayır
$18,1 bin Hacim 5 gün kaldı
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party91%EvetHayır
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%EvetHayır
$18,3 bin Hacim 04/11
Bahia Governor Election WinnerBahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo RodriguesJerônimo Rodrigues55%EvetHayır
ACM NetoACM Neto46%EvetHayır
$96,4 bin Hacim 04/10
GA-05 House Election WinnerGA-05 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%EvetHayır
Republican Party2%EvetHayır
$44,5 bin Hacim 03/11
SD-AL House Election WinnerSD-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party94%EvetHayır
Democratic Party4%EvetHayır
$27,6 bin Hacim 03/11
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Flanagan 15–20%25%EvetHayır
Flanagan 10–15%24%EvetHayır
$9,6 bin Hacim 11/08
TX-25 House Election WinnerTX-25 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%EvetHayır
Democratic Party12%EvetHayır
$8,7 bin Hacim 03/11
WA-09 House Election WinnerWA-09 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%EvetHayır
Republican Party7%EvetHayır
$24,1 bin Hacim 03/11
TX-03 House Election WinnerTX-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%EvetHayır
Democratic Party11%EvetHayır
$22,2 bin Hacim 03/11
IL-01 House Election WinnerIL-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%EvetHayır
Republican Party4%EvetHayır
$49 bin Hacim 03/11
VA-06 House Election WinnerVA-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%EvetHayır
Democratic Party10%EvetHayır
$104,6 bin Hacim 03/11
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei54%EvetHayır
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof40%EvetHayır
$392,2 bin Hacim 24/10
2026'de Temsilciler Meclisi'ni hangi parti kazanacak?2026'de Temsilciler Meclisi'ni hangi parti kazanacak?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%EvetHayır
Republican PartyRepublican Party14%EvetHayır
$3,4 bin Hacim 03/11
TX-37 House Election WinnerTX-37 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%EvetHayır
Republican Party2%EvetHayır
$33,7 bin Hacim 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Hong 30%+63%EvetHayır
Hong 25–30%13%EvetHayır
$13,8 bin Hacim 11/08
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
2%
şans
Evet Hayır
$14,8 bin Hacim 31/08
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton95%EvetHayır
Christy DavisChristy Davis2%EvetHayır
$170,2 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
Which Senate races will be within 5%?Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Ohio (Special)76%EvetHayır
Michigan75%EvetHayır
$21,1 bin Hacim 03/11
TX-36 House Election WinnerTX-36 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%EvetHayır
Democratic Party8%EvetHayır
$28,1 bin Hacim 03/11
SC-03 House Election WinnerSC-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%EvetHayır
Democratic Party6%EvetHayır
$39,9 bin Hacim 03/11
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Seçim Pazarları SSS

Seçim pazarları neden doğru?

İnsanların görüşleri üzerine para koymasını gerektirir; bu, düşük kaliteli gürültüyü filtreler. Hacim ne kadar büyükse, fiyat o kadar güvenilir olur.

Şu anda hangi seçim pazarları aktif?

ABD 2028, İsrail (tarihe göre), Birleşik Krallık ve AB yerel seçimleri, ayrıca parti ön seçimleri. Güncellemeler için sayfamızı takip edin.

Seçim pazarlarında riski nasıl fiyatlandırırım?

Likiditeyi (sipariş defteri derinliği), tarihsel volatiliteyi ve karar tarihini kontrol edin. İnce likiditeye sahip pazarlar verimsiz fiyatlamaya eğilimlidir.

Polymarket Eğitimini Ücretsiz Başlat
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