선거 예측 시장

선거 시장은 폴리마켓의 핵심입니다: 미국 대통령, 정당 예비선거, 의회 선거 및 주요 민주주의의 투표. 2024년 미국 선거 시장은 수십억 달러의 거래량을 기록했습니다.

가격은 여론 조사, 정당 재정 데이터, 경제 지표 및 보고서를 혼합하여 하나의 가격으로 정제됩니다. 분석가와 의견 기반 투자자 모두에게 풍부한 거래 환경을 제공합니다.

87개 활성 마켓
정렬
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%예아니오
Marco RubioMarco Rubio12%예아니오
$6.7억 거래량 07/11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2799%예아니오
July 2899%예아니오
$1,100.5만 거래량 31/08
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%예아니오
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff13%예아니오
$12.5억 거래량 07/11
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%예아니오
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%예아니오
$1.2억 거래량 04/10
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen31%예아니오
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%예아니오
$1.2억 거래량 30/04
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed83%예아니오
Haley StevensHaley Stevens17%예아니오
$154.9만 거래량 5일 남음
2026년 하원은 어느 정당이 승리할까?2026년 하원은 어느 정당이 승리할까?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%예아니오
Republican PartyRepublican Party14%예아니오
$10만 거래량 03/11
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot54%예아니오
Benjamin Netanyahu34%예아니오
$3,033.6만 거래량 31/12
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)59%예아니오
New People (NL)New People (NL)34%예아니오
$1,638만 거래량 20/09
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%예아니오
Marco RubioMarco Rubio27%예아니오
$6.8억 거래량 07/11
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley BellWesley Bell65%예아니오
Cori BushCori Bush35%예아니오
$19.1만 거래량 5일 남음
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage98%예아니오
Count BinfaceCount Binface2%예아니오
$296.2만 거래량 13/08
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%예아니오
R Senate, D House42%예아니오
$895.3만 거래량 03/11
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen BassKaren Bass63%예아니오
Nithya RamanNithya Raman38%예아니오
$1,307만 거래량 31/12
Michigan Governor Republican Primary WinnerMichigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John JamesJohn James97%예아니오
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson4%예아니오
$14.9만 거래량 5일 남음
MI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
William LawrenceWilliam Lawrence90%예아니오
Matt MaasdamMatt Maasdam9%예아니오
$10만 거래량 5일 남음
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd PlaceRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)81%예아니오
New People (NL)New People (NL)12%예아니오
$15.2만 거래량 20/09
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone74%예아니오
Ralph NormanRalph Norman21%예아니오
$46.9만 거래량 11/08
FL-21 Democratic Primary WinnerFL-21 Democratic Primary Winner
James Martin55%예아니오
Bernard Taylor41%예아니오
$3.8만 거래량 18/08
WA-03 Primary First PlaceWA-03 Primary First Place
John BraunJohn Braun72%예아니오
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezMarie Gluesenkamp Perez25%예아니오
$3.4만 거래량 5일 남음
Minas Gerais Governor Election WinnerMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo51%예아니오
Mateus SimõesMateus Simões24%예아니오
$12.7만 거래량 04/10
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig99%예아니오
Geraldine CogginsGeraldine Coggins1%예아니오
$39만 거래량 오늘 마감
Bulgaria Presidential ElectionBulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana IotovaIliana Iotova72%예아니오
Аndrey GyurovАndrey Gyurov22%예아니오
$25.6만 거래량 30/11
Tallahassee Mayoral Election WinnerTallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
Loranne AusleyLoranne Ausley47%예아니오
Jeremy MatlowJeremy Matlow31%예아니오
$11.1만 거래량 18/08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
30%
확률
예 아니오
$360.7만 거래량 03/11
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
BNBN70%예아니오
PHPH30%예아니오
$9.9만 거래량 3일 남음
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro79%예아니오
Renan SantosRenan Santos12%예아니오
$433.6만 거래량 04/10
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney86%예아니오
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar15%예아니오
$11.3만 거래량 5일 남음
Netanyahu가 ...까지 물러날까?Netanyahu가 ...까지 물러날까?
December 3140%예아니오
July 311%예아니오
$9,660 거래량 31/12
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%예아니오
James FishbackJames Fishback3%예아니오
$219.5만 거래량 18/08
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3189%예아니오
September 3087%예아니오
$23.1만 거래량 31/12
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
97%
확률
예 아니오
$13.6만 거래량 15/08
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%36%예아니오
Binface 20–30%33%예아니오
$17.2만 거래량 13/08
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election WinnerMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfDAfD84%예아니오
SPDSPD17%예아니오
$43.3만 거래량 20/09
2026년 상원은 어느 정당이 승리할까?2026년 상원은 어느 정당이 승리할까?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%예아니오
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%예아니오
$333.3만 거래량 03/11
Kursk Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerKursk Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia95%예아니오
New PeopleNew People2%예아니오
$7,875 거래량 20/09
Toronto Mayoral Election WinnerToronto Mayoral Election Winner
Olivia ChowOlivia Chow78%예아니오
Brad BradfordBrad Bradford19%예아니오
$11.9만 거래량 26/10
Tennessee Governor Republican Primary WinnerTennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner
Marsha BlackburnMarsha Blackburn93%예아니오
John RoseJohn Rose5%예아니오
$2.8만 거래량 7일 남음
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Kamala HarrisKamala Harris13%예아니오
Donald TrumpDonald Trump11%예아니오
$97.9만 거래량 31/12
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority? Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority?
96%
확률
예 아니오
$6,968 거래량 23/08
Nigerian Presidential Election WinnerNigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu64%예아니오
Peter ObiPeter Obi36%예아니오
$8.1만 거래량 16/01
WA-07 House Election WinnerWA-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%예아니오
Republican Party3%예아니오
$3.1만 거래량 03/11
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson81%예아니오
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson17%예아니오
$329.4만 거래량 13/09
Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?
Thorsten FreiThorsten Frei99%예아니오
Alexander DobrindtAlexander Dobrindt1%예아니오
$3.3만 거래량 오늘 마감
How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
352%예아니오
425%예아니오
$5,999 거래량 6일 남음
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-2438%예아니오
25-2925%예아니오
$8.6만 거래량 27/10
Tambov Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerTambov Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%예아니오
CPRFCPRF1%예아니오
$5,994 거래량 20/09
Bahia Governor Election WinnerBahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo RodriguesJerônimo Rodrigues66%예아니오
ACM NetoACM Neto34%예아니오
$9.2만 거래량 04/10
Idaho Senate Election WinnerIdaho Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican93%예아니오
DemocratDemocrat5%예아니오
$2.5만 거래량 03/11
Alaska Governor Election Winner Alaska Governor Election Winner
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson29%예아니오
Tom BegichTom Begich29%예아니오
$108.7만 거래량 03/11
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%예아니오
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton6%예아니오
$4,046.1만 거래량 03/11
France United Left Primary WinnerFrance United Left Primary Winner
Canceled94%예아니오
François RuffinFrançois Ruffin1%예아니오
$19.9만 거래량 11/10
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru NazareAlexandru Nazare35%예아니오
Sorin GrindeanuSorin Grindeanu14%예아니오
$324만 거래량 31/12
TN-05 Republican Primary WinnerTN-05 Republican Primary Winner
Andy Ogles75%예아니오
Charlie Hatcher22%예아니오
$8,707 거래량 06/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) Winner
Haley StevensHaley Stevens50%예아니오
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed47%예아니오
$4,527 거래량 5일 남음
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)97%예아니오
New People (NL)New People (NL)2%예아니오
$287.1만 거래량 20/09
Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed12%예아니오
Haley StevensHaley Stevens2%예아니오
$1만 거래량 04/11
Altai Krai Parliament Election: Party WinnerAltai Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia96%예아니오
New PeopleNew People2%예아니오
$4,662 거래량 20/09
FL-08 House Election WinnerFL-08 House Election Winner
Republican Party90%예아니오
Democratic Party11%예아니오
$2.3만 거래량 03/11
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei52%예아니오
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof41%예아니오
$38.2만 거래량 24/10
Sweden Parliamentary Election WinnerSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)98%예아니오
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD)2%예아니오
$126.9만 거래량 13/09
MO-06 Republican Primary WinnerMO-06 Republican Primary Winner
Chris StigallChris Stigall78%예아니오
Nathan WillettNathan Willett21%예아니오
$1.1만 거래량 5일 남음
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Flanagan 10–15%30%예아니오
Flanagan 5–10%28%예아니오
$4,425 거래량 11/08
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Texas99%예아니오
Florida98%예아니오
$37.9만 거래량 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong96%예아니오
Mandela BarnesMandela Barnes2%예아니오
$25.8만 거래량 11/08
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%예아니오
RepublicanRepublican32%예아니오
$13.7만 거래량 03/11
Mordovia Parliament Election: Party WinnerMordovia Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia98%예아니오
LDPRLDPR1%예아니오
$3,948 거래량 20/09
Adygea Parliament Election: Party WinnerAdygea Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%예아니오
LDPRLDPR1%예아니오
$3,830 거래량 20/09
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
31%
확률
예 아니오
$95.3만 거래량 03/01
Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerWisconsin Governor Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat56%예아니오
RepublicanRepublican45%예아니오
$8.4만 거래량 03/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner
Haley StevensHaley Stevens72%예아니오
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed30%예아니오
$1.3만 거래량 5일 남음
Iowa Senate Election WinnerIowa Senate Election Winner
Ashley Hinson (R)Ashley Hinson (R)58%예아니오
Josh Turek (D)Josh Turek (D)44%예아니오
$16.2만 거래량 03/11
SC-03 House Election WinnerSC-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party92%예아니오
Democratic Party6%예아니오
$3.7만 거래량 03/11
NY-12 House Election WinnerNY-12 House Election Winner
Democratic Party96%예아니오
Republican Party3%예아니오
$3.2만 거래량 03/11
Nizhny Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerNizhny Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia98%예아니오
New PeopleNew People1%예아니오
$3,346 거래량 20/09
Montana Senate Election WinnerMontana Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican78%예아니오
IndependentIndependent13%예아니오
$9.6만 거래량 03/11
Kirov Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerKirov Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%예아니오
CPRFCPRF1%예아니오
$3,418 거래량 20/09
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Likud69%예아니오
No Endorsement27%예아니오
$1.2만 거래량 28/10
Astrakhan Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerAstrakhan Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%예아니오
CPRFCPRF1%예아니오
$2,908 거래량 20/09
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Ann Arbor Mayor?Who will win the Democratic nomination for Ann Arbor Mayor?
Christopher Taylor57%예아니오
Yousef Rabhi39%예아니오
$2.2만 거래량 5일 남음
Nevada Governor Election WinnerNevada Governor Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat57%예아니오
RepublicanRepublican45%예아니오
$4.4만 거래량 03/11
RI-01 House Election WinnerRI-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%예아니오
Republican Party6%예아니오
$1.3만 거래량 03/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner
Haley StevensHaley Stevens93%예아니오
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed7%예아니오
$2.4만 거래량 5일 남음
Latvian Parliamentary Election WinnerLatvian Parliamentary Election Winner
AS44%예아니오
LPV39%예아니오
$16.4만 거래량 03/10
Amur Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerAmur Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia98%예아니오
A Just RussiaA Just Russia1%예아니오
$3,092 거래량 20/09
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary WinnerMinnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike LindellMike Lindell62%예아니오
Lisa DemuthLisa Demuth37%예아니오
$47.5만 거래량 11/08
Kansas Governor Republican Primary WinnerKansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ty MastersonTy Masterson84%예아니오
Philip SarneckiPhilip Sarnecki16%예아니오
$9만 거래량 5일 남음
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왜 선거 시장이 정확한가요?

사람들이 자신의 의견에 돈을 걸어야 하므로 '게임에 피부를 걸어야' 합니다. 이는 저품질의 잡음을 걸러냅니다. 거래량이 클수록 가격이 더 신뢰할 수 있습니다.

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미국 2028, 이스라엘(날짜별), 영국 및 EU 지방 선거, 그리고 정당 예비선거가 있습니다. 업데이트를 보려면 저희 페이지를 팔로우하세요.

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