Masoko ya Utabiri wa Uchaguzi

Masoko ya uchaguzi ni msingi wa Polymarket: uchaguzi wa rais wa Marekani, uchaguzi wa chama, mbio za bunge, na kura za demokrasia yoyote kubwa. Masoko ya uchaguzi ya Marekani ya 2024 yalipata mabilioni katika kiasi.

Bei inachanganya kura, data za fedha za chama, viashiria vya kiuchumi na ripoti, yote yakiwa yamechujwa kuwa bei moja. Ni eneo tajiri la biashara kwa wachambuzi na wawekezaji wanaoendeshwa na maoni.

Masoko 93 hai
Panga
July 2899%NdiyoHapana
July 2999%NdiyoHapana
JD VanceJD Vance20%NdiyoHapana
Marco RubioMarco Rubio12%NdiyoHapana
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%NdiyoHapana
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff13%NdiyoHapana
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%NdiyoHapana
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%NdiyoHapana
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen30%NdiyoHapana
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%NdiyoHapana
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%NdiyoHapana
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%NdiyoHapana
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed95%NdiyoHapana
Haley StevensHaley Stevens5%NdiyoHapana
Gadi Eizenkot52%NdiyoHapana
Benjamin Netanyahu35%NdiyoHapana
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)60%NdiyoHapana
New People (NL)New People (NL)33%NdiyoHapana
Paul St-Pierre PlamondonPaul St-Pierre Plamondon64%NdiyoHapana
Christine FréchetteChristine Fréchette28%NdiyoHapana
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone59%NdiyoHapana
Ralph NormanRalph Norman37%NdiyoHapana
Nigel FarageNigel Farage98%NdiyoHapana
Count BinfaceCount Binface2%NdiyoHapana
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney83%NdiyoHapana
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar17%NdiyoHapana
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro79%NdiyoHapana
Renan SantosRenan Santos8%NdiyoHapana
El-Sayed 10–15%24%NdiyoHapana
El-Sayed 15–20%24%NdiyoHapana
Wesley BellWesley Bell65%NdiyoHapana
Cori BushCori Bush37%NdiyoHapana
Democrats Sweep44%NdiyoHapana
R Senate, D House43%NdiyoHapana
Iliana IotovaIliana Iotova76%NdiyoHapana
Аndrey GyurovАndrey Gyurov21%NdiyoHapana
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed71%NdiyoHapana
Haley StevensHaley Stevens19%NdiyoHapana
Bev CraigBev Craig99%NdiyoHapana
Geraldine CogginsGeraldine Coggins1%NdiyoHapana
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed66%NdiyoHapana
Haley StevensHaley Stevens35%NdiyoHapana
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong96%NdiyoHapana
David CrowleyDavid Crowley4%NdiyoHapana
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%NdiyoHapana
James FishbackJames Fishback2%NdiyoHapana
Ohio (Special)79%NdiyoHapana
Michigan75%NdiyoHapana
William LawrenceWilliam Lawrence93%NdiyoHapana
Matt MaasdamMatt Maasdam6%NdiyoHapana
Alberto Núñez FeijóoAlberto Núñez Feijóo80%NdiyoHapana
Santiago AbascalSantiago Abascal11%NdiyoHapana
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson84%NdiyoHapana
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson12%NdiyoHapana
BNBN75%NdiyoHapana
PHPH26%NdiyoHapana
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra92%NdiyoHapana
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton6%NdiyoHapana
Callie BarrCallie Barr73%NdiyoHapana
Kyle BlomquistKyle Blomquist27%NdiyoHapana
John JamesJohn James95%NdiyoHapana
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson6%NdiyoHapana
Mateus SimõesMateus Simões22%NdiyoHapana
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo22%NdiyoHapana
Hong 30%+39%NdiyoHapana
Hong 20–25%22%NdiyoHapana
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu69%NdiyoHapana
Peter ObiPeter Obi24%NdiyoHapana
Christina HinesChristina Hines89%NdiyoHapana
Eric ChungEric Chung7%NdiyoHapana
LikudLikud57%NdiyoHapana
YasharYashar42%NdiyoHapana
Count BinfaceCount Binface79%NdiyoHapana
William CloustonWilliam Clouston9%NdiyoHapana
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%NdiyoHapana
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party95%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party6%NdiyoHapana
July 311%
September 306%
RepublicanRepublican85%NdiyoHapana
DemocratDemocrat16%NdiyoHapana
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)52%NdiyoHapana
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)50%NdiyoHapana
Marsha BlackburnMarsha Blackburn92%NdiyoHapana
John RoseJohn Rose8%NdiyoHapana
Ty MastersonTy Masterson80%NdiyoHapana
Philip SarneckiPhilip Sarnecki20%NdiyoHapana
DemocratDemocrat69%NdiyoHapana
RepublicanRepublican32%NdiyoHapana
Javier MileiJavier Milei52%NdiyoHapana
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof43%NdiyoHapana
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%NdiyoHapana
Republican PartyRepublican Party14%NdiyoHapana
Binface 10–20%35%NdiyoHapana
Binface 20–30%28%NdiyoHapana
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema87%NdiyoHapana
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile9%NdiyoHapana
Jeremy MossJeremy Moss88%NdiyoHapana
Aisha FarooqiAisha Farooqi13%NdiyoHapana
Kamala HarrisKamala Harris13%NdiyoHapana
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg11%NdiyoHapana
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone79%NdiyoHapana
Ralph NormanRalph Norman21%NdiyoHapana
Above 5041%NdiyoHapana
Above 5537%NdiyoHapana
Adrienn LaczóAdrienn Laczó21%NdiyoHapana
Péter BárándyPéter Bárándy16%NdiyoHapana
Masterson <5%33%NdiyoHapana
Masterson 10–15%22%NdiyoHapana
Peggy FlanaganPeggy Flanagan83%NdiyoHapana
Angie CraigAngie Craig17%NdiyoHapana
Randy FineRandy Fine96%NdiyoHapana
Dan BilzerianDan Bilzerian1%NdiyoHapana
DemocratDemocrat68%NdiyoHapana
RepublicanRepublican33%NdiyoHapana
Jerry Moran67%NdiyoHapana
Mike Lee55%NdiyoHapana
John BraunJohn Braun80%NdiyoHapana
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezMarie Gluesenkamp Perez21%NdiyoHapana
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)51%NdiyoHapana
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)49%NdiyoHapana
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed96%NdiyoHapana
Haley StevensHaley Stevens4%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party87%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party13%NdiyoHapana
Cindy HolscherCindy Holscher84%NdiyoHapana
Ethan CorsonEthan Corson16%NdiyoHapana
Bev CraigBev Craig99%NdiyoHapana
Dan BarkerDan Barker1%NdiyoHapana
PAMPAM47%NdiyoHapana
RNIRNI37%NdiyoHapana
Hartzell GrayHartzell Gray86%NdiyoHapana
Jordan HerreraJordan Herrera14%NdiyoHapana
PQPQ62%NdiyoHapana
CAQCAQ26%NdiyoHapana
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed52%NdiyoHapana
Haley StevensHaley Stevens47%NdiyoHapana
2–366%NdiyoHapana
4–532%NdiyoHapana
MorenaMorena91%NdiyoHapana
PRIPRI5%NdiyoHapana
December 3189%NdiyoHapana
September 3088%NdiyoHapana
Braeden CaleyBraeden Caley89%NdiyoHapana
Stephen CurranStephen Curran4%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party57%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party40%NdiyoHapana
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance39%NdiyoHapana
Marco RubioMarco Rubio26%NdiyoHapana
Mike LindellMike Lindell69%NdiyoHapana
Lisa DemuthLisa Demuth32%NdiyoHapana
Johnny Garrett73%NdiyoHapana
Van Hilleary28%NdiyoHapana
Andy Ogles75%NdiyoHapana
Charlie Hatcher20%NdiyoHapana
Loranne AusleyLoranne Ausley50%NdiyoHapana
Jeremy MatlowJeremy Matlow34%NdiyoHapana
Tom BegichTom Begich33%NdiyoHapana
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson30%NdiyoHapana
20-2437%NdiyoHapana
25-2925%NdiyoHapana
Lois FrankelLois Frankel98%NdiyoHapana
Victoria DoyleVictoria Doyle2%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party88%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party13%NdiyoHapana
United RussiaUnited Russia98%NdiyoHapana
Communists of RussiaCommunists of Russia1%NdiyoHapana
Republican Party94%NdiyoHapana
Democratic Party6%NdiyoHapana
Thanedar <4%32%NdiyoHapana
McKinney 4–8%26%NdiyoHapana
≤4724%NdiyoHapana
5115%NdiyoHapana
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton96%NdiyoHapana
Christy DavisChristy Davis2%NdiyoHapana
Labour 0-5%Labour 0-5%36%NdiyoHapana
National 0-5%National 0-5%31%NdiyoHapana

Unataka kufanya biashara katika masoko ya Uchaguzi?

Fungua akaunti ya Polymarket na uanze biashara leo

Fungua Akaunti ya Polymarket

Maswali Yanayoulizwa Kuhusu Masoko ya Uchaguzi

Kwa nini masoko ya uchaguzi ni sahihi?

Yanahitaji 'ngozi kwenye mchezo': watu wanaweka pesa kwenye maoni yao, wakichuja kelele zisizo za ubora. Kiasi kikubwa, bei inakuwa ya kuaminika zaidi.

Ni masoko gani ya uchaguzi yanayoendelea sasa?

Marekani 2028, Israel (kwa tarehe), uchaguzi wa mitaa wa Uingereza na EU, pamoja na uchaguzi wa chama. Fuata ukurasa wetu kwa sasisho.

Ninawezaje kupima hatari katika masoko ya uchaguzi?

Angalia likuiditi (kina cha kitabu cha maagizo), mabadiliko ya kihistoria, na tarehe ya uamuzi. Masoko yenye likuiditi finyu yanakabiliwa na bei zisizo bora.

Anza Mafunzo ya Polymarket Bure
Trade soko la utabiri kwa pesa za virtual. Bei halisi, hatari sifuri. Shindana kwenye orodha ya washindani.
$1K
Fedha za Kijamii
500+
Masoko
$0
Hatari Halisi
Jifunze zaidi