Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
<20
$34.7K Volume
18%
20-24
$16.2K Volume
33%
25-29
$25.5K Volume
35%
30-34
$20.3K Volume
19%
35+
$9.5K Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
The current front-runner is 25-29 at 34%, ahead of 20-24 at 31%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Traders currently imply a 34% chance for 25-29. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Israel Election: Likud # of seats market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 27 Oct 2026 (64 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Total traded volume on this market is $106.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Israel Election: Likud # of seats on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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