פולימרקט בחירות

שווקי בחירות הם ליבת פולימרקט: בחירות נשיאותיות בארה״ב, מפלגות פרימריז, בחירות לקונגרס, ובחירות בכל דמוקרטיה משמעותית. שווקי בחירות ארה״ב 2024 רשמו נפח של מיליארדי דולרים.

התמחור משקלל סקרים, נתוני מימון מפלגה, אינדיקטורים כלכליים, ודיווחים עיתונאיים, והכול מגיע לידי ביטוי במחיר אחד. זה מאפשר סחר מעניין הן עבור מנתחים והן עבור משקיעים עם דעה.

87 שווקים פעילים
מיון
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2799%כןלא
July 2899%כןלא
$11.4M נפח 31/08
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%כןלא
Marco RubioMarco Rubio12%כןלא
$673.9M נפח 07/11
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%כןלא
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff13%כןלא
$1.25B נפח 07/11
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen30%כןלא
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%כןלא
$116.8M נפח 30/04
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed85%כןלא
Haley StevensHaley Stevens15%כןלא
$1.6M נפח עוד 5 ימים
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%כןלא
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%כןלא
$116.5M נפח 04/10
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)59%כןלא
New People (NL)New People (NL)34%כןלא
$16.4M נפח 20/09
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage98%כןלא
Count BinfaceCount Binface2%כןלא
$3M נפח 13/08
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%כןלא
Marco RubioMarco Rubio27%כןלא
$681.9M נפח 07/11
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot53%כןלא
Benjamin Netanyahu35%כןלא
$30.4M נפח 31/12
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep44%כןלא
R Senate, D House42%כןלא
$9M נפח 03/11
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley BellWesley Bell68%כןלא
Cori BushCori Bush34%כןלא
$196K נפח עוד 5 ימים
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionLos Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen BassKaren Bass63%כןלא
Nithya RamanNithya Raman38%כןלא
$13.1M נפח 31/12
MI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
William LawrenceWilliam Lawrence93%כןלא
Matt MaasdamMatt Maasdam7%כןלא
$111.6K נפח עוד 5 ימים
איזו מפלגה תנצח בבית הנבחרים ב-2026?איזו מפלגה תנצח בבית הנבחרים ב-2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%כןלא
Republican PartyRepublican Party14%כןלא
$22.9K נפח 03/11
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone74%כןלא
Ralph NormanRalph Norman24%כןלא
$473.9K נפח 11/08
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election WinnerGreater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev CraigBev Craig99%כןלא
Geraldine CogginsGeraldine Coggins1%כןלא
$403.5K נפח מסתיים היום
Bulgaria Presidential ElectionBulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana IotovaIliana Iotova76%כןלא
Аndrey GyurovАndrey Gyurov20%כןלא
$261.2K נפח 30/11
WA-03 Primary First PlaceWA-03 Primary First Place
John BraunJohn Braun75%כןלא
Marie Gluesenkamp PerezMarie Gluesenkamp Perez26%כןלא
$36.3K נפח עוד 5 ימים
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd PlaceRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)81%כןלא
New People (NL)New People (NL)12%כןלא
$152.1K נפח 20/09
FL-21 Democratic Primary WinnerFL-21 Democratic Primary Winner
James Martin54%כןלא
Bernard Taylor41%כןלא
$38.6K נפח 18/08
Which Senate races will be within 5%?Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Ohio (Special)85%כןלא
Michigan79%כןלא
$15.1K נפח 03/11
Minas Gerais Governor Election WinnerMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo54%כןלא
Alexandre KalilAlexandre Kalil16%כןלא
$130.2K נפח 04/10
Michigan Governor Republican Primary WinnerMichigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John JamesJohn James96%כןלא
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson4%כןלא
$150.7K נפח עוד 5 ימים
Tallahassee Mayoral Election WinnerTallahassee Mayoral Election Winner
Loranne AusleyLoranne Ausley48%כןלא
Jeremy MatlowJeremy Matlow34%כןלא
$112.3K נפח 18/08
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney84%כןלא
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar16%כןלא
$116K נפח עוד 5 ימים
How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
352%כןלא
425%כןלא
$12.6K נפח עוד 6 ימים
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro79%כןלא
Renan SantosRenan Santos12%כןלא
$4.3M נפח 04/10
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
BNBN68%כןלא
PHPH33%כןלא
$99.8K נפח עוד 3 ימים
האם Netanyahu יודח מתפקידו עד...?האם Netanyahu יודח מתפקידו עד...?
December 3140%כןלא
July 311%כןלא
$9.5K נפח 31/12
TN-05 Republican Primary WinnerTN-05 Republican Primary Winner
Andy Ogles77%כןלא
Charlie Hatcher19%כןלא
$13.1K נפח 06/08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
30%
סיכוי
כן לא
$3.6M נפח 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Hong 30%+22%כןלא
Hong 20–25%20%כןלא
$8.9K נפח 11/08
Tambov Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerTambov Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%כןלא
LDPRLDPR1%כןלא
$8.1K נפח 20/09
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3189%כןלא
September 3088%כןלא
$231.5K נפח 31/12
Kursk Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerKursk Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia95%כןלא
New PeopleNew People2%כןלא
$7.9K נפח 20/09
Tennessee Governor Republican Primary WinnerTennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner
Marsha BlackburnMarsha Blackburn95%כןלא
John RoseJohn Rose5%כןלא
$27.8K נפח עוד 7 ימים
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%כןלא
James FishbackJames Fishback3%כןלא
$2.2M נפח 18/08
Nigerian Presidential Election WinnerNigerian Presidential Election Winner
Bola TinubuBola Tinubu64%כןלא
Peter ObiPeter Obi36%כןלא
$81.2K נפח 16/01
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 306%
$126.8K נפח 30/09
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei52%כןלא
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof43%כןלא
$386.4K נפח 24/10
WA-07 House Election WinnerWA-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%כןלא
Republican Party3%כןלא
$31.2K נפח 03/11
Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?Next leader of Germany's Union (CDU/CSU)?
Thorsten FreiThorsten Frei99%כןלא
Alexander DobrindtAlexander Dobrindt1%כןלא
$32.7K נפח מסתיים היום
איזו מפלגה תנצח בסנאט ב-2026?איזו מפלגה תנצח בסנאט ב-2026?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%כןלא
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%כןלא
$3.3M נפח 03/11
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%35%כןלא
Binface 20–30%34%כןלא
$172.7K נפח 13/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
El-Sayed <5%27%כןלא
El-Sayed 10–15%26%כןלא
$27.9K נפח עוד 5 ימים
Alaska Governor Election Winner Alaska Governor Election Winner
Tom BegichTom Begich30%כןלא
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson29%כןלא
$1.1M נפח 03/11
Bahia Governor Election WinnerBahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo RodriguesJerônimo Rodrigues65%כןלא
ACM NetoACM Neto36%כןלא
$92.2K נפח 04/10
MO-06 Republican Primary WinnerMO-06 Republican Primary Winner
Chris StigallChris Stigall80%כןלא
Nathan WillettNathan Willett21%כןלא
$12.6K נפח עוד 5 ימים
Adygea Parliament Election: Party WinnerAdygea Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%כןלא
LDPRLDPR1%כןלא
$5.4K נפח 20/09
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Kamala HarrisKamala Harris13%כןלא
Donald TrumpDonald Trump11%כןלא
$980.4K נפח 31/12
Next Prime Minister of SwedenNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson81%כןלא
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson17%כןלא
$3.3M נפח 13/09
Next Prime Minister of Romania?Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru NazareAlexandru Nazare35%כןלא
Sorin GrindeanuSorin Grindeanu14%כןלא
$3.2M נפח 31/12
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Flanagan 10–15%29%כןלא
Flanagan 5–10%27%כןלא
$5.2K נפח 11/08
Kirov Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerKirov Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%כןלא
CPRFCPRF1%כןלא
$5.2K נפח 20/09
Altai Krai Parliament Election: Party WinnerAltai Krai Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia96%כןלא
New PeopleNew People2%כןלא
$4.7K נפח 20/09
Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed8%כןלא
Haley StevensHaley Stevens2%כןלא
$10.3K נפח 04/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) Winner
Haley StevensHaley Stevens50%כןלא
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed47%כןלא
$4.5K נפח עוד 5 ימים
FL-08 House Election WinnerFL-08 House Election Winner
Republican Party90%כןלא
Democratic Party11%כןלא
$23.4K נפח 03/11
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Texas99%כןלא
Florida98%כןלא
$379.3K נפח 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Election WinnerWisconsin Governor Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat57%כןלא
RepublicanRepublican45%כןלא
$84.7K נפח 03/11
Kansas Governor Republican Primary WinnerKansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ty MastersonTy Masterson81%כןלא
Philip SarneckiPhilip Sarnecki17%כןלא
$91.3K נפח עוד 5 ימים
Ohio Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D)Sherrod Brown (D)51%כןלא
Jon Husted (R)Jon Husted (R)50%כןלא
$112.5K נפח 03/11
Mordovia Parliament Election: Party WinnerMordovia Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia98%כןלא
CPRFCPRF1%כןלא
$3.9K נפח 20/09
Montana Senate Election WinnerMontana Senate Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican78%כןלא
IndependentIndependent13%כןלא
$96.9K נפח 03/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner
Haley StevensHaley Stevens71%כןלא
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed30%כןלא
$13.3K נפח עוד 5 ימים
MI-10 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Christina HinesChristina Hines81%כןלא
Eric ChungEric Chung19%כןלא
$62.5K נפח עוד 5 ימים
MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
McKinney 4–8%39%כןלא
McKinney 16%+38%כןלא
$3.2K נפח עוד 6 ימים
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong96%כןלא
Mandela BarnesMandela Barnes2%כןלא
$258.3K נפח 11/08
Iowa Senate Election WinnerIowa Senate Election Winner
Ashley Hinson (R)Ashley Hinson (R)58%כןלא
Josh Turek (D)Josh Turek (D)44%כןלא
$162.2K נפח 03/11
NY-12 House Election WinnerNY-12 House Election Winner
Democratic Party96%כןלא
Republican Party3%כןלא
$32K נפח 03/11
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary WinnerMinnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike LindellMike Lindell65%כןלא
Lisa DemuthLisa Demuth29%כןלא
$476.6K נפח 11/08
SC-03 House Election WinnerSC-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%כןלא
Democratic Party6%כןלא
$36.7K נפח 03/11
Nizhny Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerNizhny Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%כןלא
CPRFCPRF1%כןלא
$3.3K נפח 20/09
Astrakhan Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerAstrakhan Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia98%כןלא
CPRFCPRF1%כןלא
$2.9K נפח 20/09
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Likud69%כןלא
No Endorsement27%כןלא
$12.4K נפח 28/10
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Ann Arbor Mayor?Who will win the Democratic nomination for Ann Arbor Mayor?
Christopher Taylor59%כןלא
Yousef Rabhi38%כןלא
$21.6K נפח עוד 5 ימים
Mexico Legislative Election WinnerMexico Legislative Election Winner
MorenaMorena91%כןלא
PRIPRI6%כןלא
$81.8K נפח 06/06
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner
Haley StevensHaley Stevens93%כןלא
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed7%כןלא
$24K נפח עוד 5 ימים
Michigan Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat68%כןלא
RepublicanRepublican32%כןלא
$137.5K נפח 03/11
Nevada Governor Election WinnerNevada Governor Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat57%כןלא
RepublicanRepublican45%כןלא
$44K נפח 03/11
RI-01 House Election WinnerRI-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%כןלא
Republican Party6%כןלא
$13K נפח 03/11
TN-06 Republican Primary WinnerTN-06 Republican Primary Winner
Johnny Garrett73%כןלא
Van Hilleary29%כןלא
$7.6K נפח 06/08
Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of VictoryKansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory
Sarnecki <5%14%כןלא
Masterson 10–15%10%כןלא
$2.5K נפח עוד 6 ימים
Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
Alfred CannanAlfred Cannan30%כןלא
Jane Poole-WilsonJane Poole-Wilson18%כןלא
$2.4K נפח 24/09
Amur Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerAmur Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia98%כןלא
A Just RussiaA Just Russia1%כןלא
$3.1K נפח 20/09
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
30%
סיכוי
כן לא
$953.3K נפח 03/01
טען עוד בפולימרקט ←

רוצה לסחור בשווקי בחירות?

פתח חשבון בפולימרקט והתחל לסחור עוד היום

פתח חשבון בפולימרקט

שאלות נפוצות על שווקי בחירות

למה שווקי בחירות נחשבים למדויקים?

הם דורשים "skin in the game": אנשים שמים כסף על דעתם, מה שמסנן משקעים לא-בסיסיים. ככל שהנפח גדול יותר, כך המחיר אמין יותר.

אילו שווקי בחירות פעילים כעת?

בחירות 2028 בארה״ב, בחירות ישראל (לפי תאריך), UK ו-EU בחירות מקומיות, ובחירות מפלגתיות פנימיות. עקבו אחר הדף שלנו לעדכונים.

איך מתמחרים סיכון בשווקי בחירות?

בדקו נזילות (עומק ספר הפקודות), תנודתיות היסטורית, ותאריך החלטה. שווקים עם נזילות נמוכה מועדים לתמחור לא יעיל.

התחל אימון פולימרקט חינם
סחר בשווקי תחזיות עם כסף וירטואלי. מחירים אמיתיים, אפס סיכון. התחרה בטבלת המובילים.
$1K
כסף וירטואלי
500+
שווקים
$0
סיכון אמיתי
פרטים נוספים
מחירים אמיתיים אפס סיכון טבלת מובילים