Pasar Prediksi Pemilu

Pasar pemilu adalah inti dari Polymarket: pemilihan presiden AS, pemilihan partai, perlombaan kongres, dan suara dari setiap demokrasi besar. Pasar pemilu AS 2024 mencatat miliaran dalam volume.

Penetapan harga menggabungkan jajak pendapat, data keuangan partai, indikator ekonomi, dan laporan, semuanya disaring menjadi satu harga. Tanah perdagangan yang kaya bagi analis dan investor yang dipandu opini.

116 pasar aktif
Urutkan
Presidential Election Winner 2028Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD VanceJD Vance20%YaTidak
Marco RubioMarco Rubio13%YaTidak
$674,9 jt Volume 07/11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2899%YaTidak
July 2999%YaTidak
$12,2 jt Volume 31/08
Brazil Presidential ElectionBrazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva64%YaTidak
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro24%YaTidak
$117 jt Volume 04/10
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom19%YaTidak
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff14%YaTidak
$1,2 miliar Volume 07/11
Partai mana yang akan memenangkan Senat pada 2026?Partai mana yang akan memenangkan Senat pada 2026?
Republican PartyRepublican Party56%YaTidak
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party44%YaTidak
$3,4 jt Volume 03/11
Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep45%YaTidak
R Senate, D House43%YaTidak
$9,1 jt Volume 03/11
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)62%YaTidak
New People (NL)New People (NL)32%YaTidak
$16,5 jt Volume 20/09
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance43%YaTidak
Marco RubioMarco Rubio28%YaTidak
$682,1 jt Volume 07/11
Next French Presidential ElectionNext French Presidential Election
Marine Le PenMarine Le Pen30%YaTidak
Édouard PhilippeÉdouard Philippe26%YaTidak
$116,9 jt Volume 30/04
Clacton by-election WinnerClacton by-election Winner
Nigel FarageNigel Farage97%YaTidak
Count BinfaceCount Binface2%YaTidak
$3,1 jt Volume 13/08
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Donavan McKinneyDonavan McKinney84%YaTidak
Shri ThanedarShri Thanedar17%YaTidak
$212,6 rb Volume 4 hari tersisa
Akankah Netanyahu lengser sebelum...?Akankah Netanyahu lengser sebelum...?
December 3141%YaTidak
July 311%YaTidak
$50,9 rb Volume 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%YaTidak
Benjamin Netanyahu35%YaTidak
$30,5 jt Volume 31/12
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed96%YaTidak
Haley StevensHaley Stevens3%YaTidak
$1,7 jt Volume 4 hari tersisa
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerSouth Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone63%YaTidak
Ralph NormanRalph Norman31%YaTidak
$548,1 rb Volume 11/08
2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner2026 Negeri Sembilan General Election Winner
BNBN74%YaTidak
PHPH27%YaTidak
$128,8 rb Volume 2 hari tersisa
California Governor Election WinnerCalifornia Governor Election Winner
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra93%YaTidak
Steve HiltonSteve Hilton6%YaTidak
$40,5 jt Volume 03/11
Clacton by-election: 2nd placeClacton by-election: 2nd place
Count BinfaceCount Binface79%YaTidak
William CloustonWilliam Clouston8%YaTidak
$338,6 rb Volume 13/08
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley BellWesley Bell71%YaTidak
Cori BushCori Bush29%YaTidak
$233,8 rb Volume 4 hari tersisa
CA-23 House Election WinnerCA-23 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%YaTidak
Democratic Party6%YaTidak
$58,2 rb Volume 03/11
Next Prime Minister of Spain?Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez FeijóoAlberto Núñez Feijóo80%YaTidak
Pedro SánchezPedro Sánchez9%YaTidak
$91,7 rb Volume 31/03
Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerFlorida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds97%YaTidak
James FishbackJames Fishback2%YaTidak
$2,2 jt Volume 18/08
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Genesee County (Flint) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed63%YaTidak
Haley StevensHaley Stevens37%YaTidak
$20,6 rb Volume 4 hari tersisa
VA-02 House Election WinnerVA-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party84%YaTidak
Republican PartyRepublican Party16%YaTidak
$16,1 rb Volume 04/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMichigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
El-Sayed 15–20%33%YaTidak
El-Sayed 10–15%29%YaTidak
$59,6 rb Volume 4 hari tersisa
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner
Haley StevensHaley Stevens58%YaTidak
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed43%YaTidak
$54,7 rb Volume 4 hari tersisa
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud61%YaTidak
YasharYashar32%YaTidak
$197,2 rb Volume 27/10
FL-26 House Election WinnerFL-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%YaTidak
Democratic Party16%YaTidak
$51 rb Volume 03/11
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio BolsonaroFlávio Bolsonaro78%YaTidak
Renan SantosRenan Santos9%YaTidak
$4,4 jt Volume 04/10
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Thom Tillis82%YaTidak
Jerry Moran55%YaTidak
$15,2 rb Volume 01/01
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary WinnerMinnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike LindellMike Lindell73%YaTidak
Lisa DemuthLisa Demuth25%YaTidak
$489,2 rb Volume 11/08
Michigan Governor Republican Primary WinnerMichigan Governor Republican Primary Winner
John JamesJohn James94%YaTidak
Perry JohnsonPerry Johnson6%YaTidak
$168 rb Volume 4 hari tersisa
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry25%YaTidak
Ken SimKen Sim24%YaTidak
$158,2 rb Volume 17/10
Vancouver Mayoral Election WinnerVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Pete FryPete Fry25%YaTidak
Ken SimKen Sim24%YaTidak
$158,2 rb Volume 17/10
FL-22 House Election WinnerFL-22 House Election Winner
Republican Party58%YaTidak
Democratic Party41%YaTidak
$34,8 rb Volume 03/11
MN-06 House Election WinnerMN-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party83%YaTidak
Democratic Party16%YaTidak
$32,3 rb Volume 03/11
MI-10 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Christina HinesChristina Hines89%YaTidak
Eric ChungEric Chung6%YaTidak
$72,6 rb Volume 4 hari tersisa
TX-24 House Election WinnerTX-24 House Election Winner
Republican Party84%YaTidak
Democratic Party15%YaTidak
$55,9 rb Volume 03/11
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
32%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$963,9 rb Volume 03/01
2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner
Mo Ivory97%YaTidak
Eric J. Tatum2%YaTidak
$16,7 rb Volume 03/11
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
DemocraticDemocratic60%YaTidak
RepublicanRepublican41%YaTidak
$1,9 jt Volume 07/11
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
98%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$144,5 rb Volume 15/08
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second PlaceSouth Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place
Ralph NormanRalph Norman50%YaTidak
Darline Graham NordoneDarline Graham Nordone37%YaTidak
$8,6 rb Volume 11/08
NC-07 House Election WinnerNC-07 House Election Winner
Republican Party81%YaTidak
Democratic Party16%YaTidak
$26,5 rb Volume 03/11
Georgia Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election Winner
DemocratDemocrat90%YaTidak
RepublicanRepublican10%YaTidak
$89,6 rb Volume 03/11
Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary WinnerWisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner
Nate Pollnow81%YaTidak
Jay Schroeder10%YaTidak
$18,8 rb Volume 11/08
TX-21 House Election WinnerTX-21 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%YaTidak
Democratic Party13%YaTidak
$57,6 rb Volume 03/11
Kansas Governor Republican Primary WinnerKansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ty MastersonTy Masterson84%YaTidak
Philip SarneckiPhilip Sarnecki15%YaTidak
$100 rb Volume 4 hari tersisa
TX-06 House Election WinnerTX-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%YaTidak
Democratic Party8%YaTidak
$35,4 rb Volume 03/11
Minas Gerais Governor Election WinnerMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho AzevedoCleitinho Azevedo43%YaTidak
Mateus SimõesMateus Simões24%YaTidak
$143,5 rb Volume 04/10
MI-03 House Election WinnerMI-03 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party89%YaTidak
Republican PartyRepublican Party10%YaTidak
$8,8 rb Volume 04/11
MD-04 House Election WinnerMD-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%YaTidak
Republican Party2%YaTidak
$45,1 rb Volume 03/11
Alaska Governor Election Winner Alaska Governor Election Winner
Tom BegichTom Begich29%YaTidak
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson29%YaTidak
$1,1 jt Volume 03/11
TX-26 House Election WinnerTX-26 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%YaTidak
Democratic Party10%YaTidak
$24 rb Volume 03/11
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) WinnerMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner
Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed79%YaTidak
Haley StevensHaley Stevens22%YaTidak
$41,2 rb Volume 4 hari tersisa
AK-AL House Election WinnerAK-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party83%YaTidak
Democratic Party16%YaTidak
$25,5 rb Volume 03/11
PA-07 House Election WinnerPA-07 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party77%YaTidak
Republican PartyRepublican Party24%YaTidak
$12,2 rb Volume 04/11
VA-04 House Election WinnerVA-04 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%YaTidak
Republican Party6%YaTidak
$24,6 rb Volume 03/11
RI-02 House Election WinnerRI-02 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%YaTidak
Republican Party6%YaTidak
$22,2 rb Volume 03/11
Zambia Presidential Election WinnerZambia Presidential Election Winner
Hakainde HichilemaHakainde Hichilema88%YaTidak
Brian MundubileBrian Mundubile12%YaTidak
$124,3 rb Volume 14/08
Next President of New CaledoniaNext President of New Caledonia
Milakulo TukumuliMilakulo Tukumuli99%YaTidak
Pierre Chanel TutugoroPierre Chanel Tutugoro1%YaTidak
$60,7 rb Volume 30/06
CA-25 House Election WinnerCA-25 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%YaTidak
Republican Party6%YaTidak
$16,7 rb Volume 03/11
OH-06 House Election WinnerOH-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%YaTidak
Democratic Party7%YaTidak
$58,5 rb Volume 03/11
How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
363%YaTidak
430%YaTidak
$33,3 rb Volume 5 hari tersisa
SC-01 House Election WinnerSC-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party69%YaTidak
Democratic Party31%YaTidak
$51,1 rb Volume 03/11
Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)United Russia (ER)97%YaTidak
New People (NL)New People (NL)1%YaTidak
$2,9 jt Volume 20/09
NY-08 House Election WinnerNY-08 House Election Winner
Democratic Party95%YaTidak
Republican Party5%YaTidak
$32,5 rb Volume 03/11
Texas Senate Election WinnerTexas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)Ken Paxton (R)52%YaTidak
James Talarico (D)James Talarico (D)50%YaTidak
$628,1 rb Volume 03/11
Next President of Hungary?Next President of Hungary?
Botond FülöpBotond Fülöp25%YaTidak
Adrienn LaczóAdrienn Laczó22%YaTidak
$6,1 rb Volume 18/08
VA-09 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Joy PowersJoy Powers60%YaTidak
Adam MurphyAdam Murphy37%YaTidak
$8,1 rb Volume 5 hari tersisa
TX-27 House Election WinnerTX-27 House Election Winner
Republican Party88%YaTidak
Democratic Party10%YaTidak
$26,7 rb Volume 03/11
Texas Governor Election WinnerTexas Governor Election Winner
RepublicanRepublican88%YaTidak
DemocratDemocrat13%YaTidak
$37,3 rb Volume 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Francesca HongFrancesca Hong96%YaTidak
David CrowleyDavid Crowley3%YaTidak
$277,1 rb Volume 11/08
Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerNovgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United RussiaUnited Russia99%YaTidak
Communists of RussiaCommunists of Russia1%YaTidak
$6,4 rb Volume 20/09
Kansas Governor Democratic Primary WinnerKansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Cindy HolscherCindy Holscher93%YaTidak
Ethan CorsonEthan Corson8%YaTidak
$84,1 rb Volume 4 hari tersisa
Next President of Estonia?Next President of Estonia?
Ülle MadiseÜlle Madise62%YaTidak
Jonatan VseviovJonatan Vseviov15%YaTidak
$5,3 rb Volume 02/09
MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
McKinney 16%+31%YaTidak
McKinney 8–12%20%YaTidak
$8,6 rb Volume 5 hari tersisa
NJ-03 House Election WinnerNJ-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%YaTidak
Republican Party6%YaTidak
$25,2 rb Volume 03/11
FL-11 Republican Primary WinnerFL-11 Republican Primary Winner
Joe Strada64%YaTidak
Carey Baker32%YaTidak
$9,9 rb Volume 18/08
North Vancouver—Capilano By-Election WinnerNorth Vancouver—Capilano By-Election Winner
Braeden CaleyBraeden Caley98%YaTidak
Stephen CurranStephen Curran1%YaTidak
$4,7 rb Volume 31/08
TX-31 House Election WinnerTX-31 House Election Winner
Republican Party85%YaTidak
Democratic Party15%YaTidak
$32,9 rb Volume 03/11
AL-06 House Election WinnerAL-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%YaTidak
Democratic Party7%YaTidak
$22,3 rb Volume 03/11
MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryMO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Bell <4%25%YaTidak
Bush 4–8%21%YaTidak
$7,9 rb Volume 5 hari tersisa
Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %
Binface 10–20%35%YaTidak
Binface 20–30%31%YaTidak
$180,3 rb Volume 13/08
FL-28 House Election WinnerFL-28 House Election Winner
Republican Party94%YaTidak
Democratic Party6%YaTidak
$29,3 rb Volume 03/11
MA-01 House Election WinnerMA-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%YaTidak
Republican Party6%YaTidak
$34,1 rb Volume 03/11
FL-06 Republican Primary WinnerFL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Randy FineRandy Fine96%YaTidak
Dan BilzerianDan Bilzerian1%YaTidak
$213,8 rb Volume 18/08
GA-12 House Election WinnerGA-12 House Election Winner
Republican Party81%YaTidak
Democratic Party17%YaTidak
$25,8 rb Volume 03/11
TX-10 House Election WinnerTX-10 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%YaTidak
Democratic Party13%YaTidak
$26,6 rb Volume 03/11
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-2429%YaTidak
25-2928%YaTidak
$92 rb Volume 27/10
MI-11 Democratic Primary WinnerMI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Jeremy MossJeremy Moss89%YaTidak
Aisha FarooqiAisha Farooqi9%YaTidak
$56,2 rb Volume 4 hari tersisa
SC-07 House Election WinnerSC-07 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%YaTidak
Democratic Party7%YaTidak
$20,9 rb Volume 03/11
2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner
Esteban "Steve" Guerra92%YaTidak
Mauro Garza7%YaTidak
$4,6 rb Volume 03/11
FL-20 House Election WinnerFL-20 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%YaTidak
Republican Party5%YaTidak
$26,8 rb Volume 03/11
NC-14 House Election WinnerNC-14 House Election Winner
Republican Party83%YaTidak
Democratic Party17%YaTidak
$30,4 rb Volume 03/11
How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?
2–366%YaTidak
4–533%YaTidak
$13 rb Volume 5 hari tersisa
VA-01 Democratic Primary WinnerVA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Shannon TaylorShannon Taylor98%YaTidak
Salaam BhattiSalaam Bhatti1%YaTidak
$18,1 rb Volume 5 hari tersisa
MN-02 House Election WinnerMN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party91%YaTidak
Republican PartyRepublican Party9%YaTidak
$18,3 rb Volume 04/11
Bahia Governor Election WinnerBahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo RodriguesJerônimo Rodrigues55%YaTidak
ACM NetoACM Neto46%YaTidak
$96,4 rb Volume 04/10
GA-05 House Election WinnerGA-05 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%YaTidak
Republican Party2%YaTidak
$44,5 rb Volume 03/11
SD-AL House Election WinnerSD-AL House Election Winner
Republican Party94%YaTidak
Democratic Party4%YaTidak
$27,6 rb Volume 03/11
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of VictoryMinnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Flanagan 15–20%25%YaTidak
Flanagan 10–15%24%YaTidak
$9,6 rb Volume 11/08
TX-25 House Election WinnerTX-25 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%YaTidak
Democratic Party12%YaTidak
$8,7 rb Volume 03/11
WA-09 House Election WinnerWA-09 House Election Winner
Democratic Party93%YaTidak
Republican Party7%YaTidak
$24,1 rb Volume 03/11
TX-03 House Election WinnerTX-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party87%YaTidak
Democratic Party11%YaTidak
$22,2 rb Volume 03/11
IL-01 House Election WinnerIL-01 House Election Winner
Democratic Party94%YaTidak
Republican Party4%YaTidak
$49 rb Volume 03/11
VA-06 House Election WinnerVA-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party91%YaTidak
Democratic Party10%YaTidak
$104,6 rb Volume 03/11
Argentina Presidential Election WinnerArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier MileiJavier Milei54%YaTidak
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof40%YaTidak
$392,2 rb Volume 24/10
Partai mana yang akan memenangkan Dewan Perwakilan pada 2026?Partai mana yang akan memenangkan Dewan Perwakilan pada 2026?
Democratic PartyDemocratic Party86%YaTidak
Republican PartyRepublican Party14%YaTidak
$3,4 rb Volume 03/11
TX-37 House Election WinnerTX-37 House Election Winner
Democratic Party97%YaTidak
Republican Party2%YaTidak
$33,7 rb Volume 03/11
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Hong 30%+63%YaTidak
Hong 25–30%13%YaTidak
$13,8 rb Volume 11/08
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
2%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$14,8 rb Volume 31/08
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerKansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam HamiltonAdam Hamilton95%YaTidak
Christy DavisChristy Davis2%YaTidak
$170,2 rb Volume 4 hari tersisa
Which Senate races will be within 5%?Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Ohio (Special)76%YaTidak
Michigan75%YaTidak
$21,1 rb Volume 03/11
TX-36 House Election WinnerTX-36 House Election Winner
Republican Party93%YaTidak
Democratic Party8%YaTidak
$28,1 rb Volume 03/11
SC-03 House Election WinnerSC-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party95%YaTidak
Democratic Party6%YaTidak
$39,9 rb Volume 03/11
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