🇮🇷 Iran Markets

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

April 15

Yes 99¢No 1¢

June 30

Yes 99¢No 1¢

$70.5M Volume Ends today

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

June 30

Yes 59¢No 41¢

May 31

Yes 37¢No 63¢

$41.7M Volume 31/05

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

April 22

Yes 28¢No 72¢

$10.7M Volume Ends today

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

1%

chance

Yes 1¢ No 99¢

$2.6M Volume 7 days left

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

5%

chance

Yes 5¢ No 95¢

$1.9M Volume 7 days left

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

May 15

Yes 71¢No 29¢

May 5

Yes 60¢No 40¢

$1.3M Volume 7 days left

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?

April 30

Yes 99¢No 1¢

$1.1M Volume 7 days left

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

May 31

Yes 76¢No 24¢

April 30

Yes 28¢No 72¢

$5.2M Volume 7 days left

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

June 30

Yes 17¢No 83¢

May 31

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$33.2M Volume Ends today

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

3%

chance

Yes 3¢ No 97¢

$2.6M Volume 31/05

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31

Yes 41¢No 59¢

June 30

Yes 33¢No 67¢

$3.7M Volume 31/12

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

31%

chance

Yes 31¢ No 69¢

$647.1K Volume 31/12

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

June 30

Yes 69¢No 31¢

May 31

Yes 52¢No 48¢

$32.5M Volume 30/06

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31

Yes 28¢No 72¢

May 31

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$7.1M Volume 31/12

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

8%

chance

Yes 8¢ No 92¢

$2.6M Volume 30/06

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

Yes 21¢No 79¢

Oil Sanction Relief

Yes 18¢No 82¢

$2.3M Volume 7 days left

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

41%

chance

Yes 41¢ No 59¢

$1.9M Volume 31/05

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 31

Yes 14¢No 86¢

June 30

Yes 7¢No 93¢

$16M Volume 30/06