If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
Israel
World
Iran
Middle East
Geopolitics
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$15.8M
Time Remaining
69 days left
December 31
$1.1M Volume
14%
June 30
$3.3M Volume
4%
May 31
$499.5K Volume
3%
April 30
$1.4M Volume
1%
3 Options resolved
About This Market
AI Analysis
The prediction market on whether Reza Pahlavi will enter Iran by June 30, 2026, currently shows a low probability of 0.1%, reflecting skepticism about his potential visit amidst ongoing political tensions. With a trading volume of $15.7 million, this market highlights the significant interest in the implications of Pahlavi's potential return, which could influence Iran's political landscape and the broader regional dynamics. Investors and analysts are closely monitoring this market as it serves as a barometer for public sentiment and the evolving situation in Iran.