If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israel
· World
· Iran
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
June 30
$5.6M Volume
1%
December 31
$1.7M Volume
10%
Resolved 5
March 31
$8.5M Volume
No
April 30
$1.6M Volume
No
May 31
$1.8M Volume
No
February 28
$451.4K Volume
No
January 31
$547.3K Volume
No
About This Market
AI Analysis
The prediction market on whether Reza Pahlavi will enter Iran by June 30, 2026, currently shows a low probability of 0.1%, reflecting skepticism about his potential visit amidst ongoing political tensions. With a trading volume of $15.7 million, this market highlights the significant interest in the implications of Pahlavi's potential return, which could influence Iran's political landscape and the broader regional dynamics. Investors and analysts are closely monitoring this market as it serves as a barometer for public sentiment and the evolving situation in Iran.
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