This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
July 31
$2.1M Volume
1%
August 31
$517.1K Volume
3%
September 30
$159.9K Volume
6%
December 31
$135.5K Volume
12%
Resolved 3
April 30
$75K Volume
No
May 31
$1.5M Volume
No
June 30
$3.5M Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
When does the Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? (Resolved)?
Total turnover stands at $8M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
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