BTC $113,247 ▲2.31% ETH $3,847 ▲1.84% SOL $284 ▲4.12% SPX 5,847 ▼0.43% TRUMP-PARDON-HUNTER 67¢ +4 BTC-120K-EOY 43¢ −2 FED-50BP-Q3 64¢ +8 NBA-FINALS Game 7 Thunder 42¢ HAMAS-CEASEFIRE-Q3 31¢ +1 NEWSOM-2028 54¢ +13 IRAN-ISRAEL-DIRECT 18¢ +11 ETH-ETF-STAKING 71¢ +3 BTC $113,247 ▲2.31% ETH $3,847 ▲1.84% SOL $284 ▲4.12% SPX 5,847 ▼0.43% TRUMP-PARDON-HUNTER 67¢ +4 BTC-120K-EOY 43¢ −2 FED-50BP-Q3 64¢ +8 NBA-FINALS Game 7 Thunder 42¢ HAMAS-CEASEFIRE-Q3 31¢ +1 NEWSOM-2028 54¢ +13

Gaza Prediction Markets

Gaza prediction markets track ceasefire moves, hostage deals, territorial control shifts and humanitarian issues. Polymarket prices in real time the probability of measurable events: will a ceasefire be signed by date X? Will hostages be released?

Volume spikes around headlines from Cairo, Doha and Washington, reacting to security-source reporting.

16 active markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
Yes 63¢No 37¢
June 30
Yes 35¢No 65¢
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
Fed Rate CutFed Rate Cut
Yes 1¢No 99¢
US Confirms Aliens ExistUS Confirms Aliens Exist
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
June 30
Yes 52¢No 48¢
May 31
Yes 23¢No 77¢
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
May 31
Yes 8¢No 92¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
June 30
Yes 60¢No 40¢
May 31
Yes 24¢No 76¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
June 30
Yes 10¢No 90¢
May 31
Yes 5¢No 95¢
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?
Oil Sanction ReliefOil Sanction Relief
Yes 15¢No 85¢
Unfreeze Iranian AssetsUnfreeze Iranian Assets
Yes 14¢No 86¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
June 30
Yes 10¢No 90¢
May 31
Yes 2¢No 98¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
Yes 27¢No 73¢
June 30
Yes 13¢No 87¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
Yes 45¢No 55¢
June 30
Yes 18¢No 82¢
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Pakistan
Yes 52¢No 48¢
No Meeting by June 30
Yes 39¢No 61¢

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Gaza Markets FAQ

What Gaza markets does Polymarket offer?

Ceasefire timing, hostage release, deal signing, territorial control, and state-recognition markets. Each is a binary or multi-outcome contract on a measurable event.

What moves Gaza market prices?

Government statements, press reports, international diplomacy and regional mediator activity. Prices react within minutes of major news.

How do I open an account to trade?

Use our Polymarket referral link — a Polygon account opens in minutes. You can track live markets and volume in English on our site.

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