Gaza Prediction Markets

Gaza prediction markets track ceasefire moves, hostage deals, territorial control shifts and humanitarian issues. Polymarket prices in real time the probability of measurable events: will a ceasefire be signed by date X? Will hostages be released?

Volume spikes around headlines from Cairo, Doha and Washington, reacting to security-source reporting.

20 active markets
July 2099%YesNo
July 2296%YesNo
August 3155%YesNo
August 1439%YesNo
August 3146%YesNo
August 1541%YesNo
August 3166%YesNo
August 1556%YesNo
December 3133%YesNo
September 3014%YesNo
December 3113%YesNo
September 308%YesNo
July 2173%YesNo
July 2267%YesNo
August 3143%YesNo
July 318%YesNo
No Meeting by September 3025%YesNo
Pakistan23%YesNo
December 3114%YesNo
September 307%YesNo
December 318%YesNo
August 312%YesNo
July 2249%YesNo
July 2746%YesNo
July 311%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
December 3121%YesNo
October 3112%YesNo
December 3136%YesNo
October 3118%YesNo
July 312%
August 314%
July 311%
August 313%
December 3114%YesNo
October 317%YesNo

Gaza Markets FAQ

What Gaza markets does Polymarket offer?

Ceasefire timing, hostage release, deal signing, territorial control, and state-recognition markets. Each is a binary or multi-outcome contract on a measurable event.

What moves Gaza market prices?

Government statements, press reports, international diplomacy and regional mediator activity. Prices react within minutes of major news.

How do I open an account to trade?

Use our Polymarket referral link — a Polygon account opens in minutes. You can track live markets and volume in English on our site.

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