Israel Prediction Markets

Israel prediction markets cover the central scenarios: election outcomes, coalition composition, PM tenure, security and war events, and macro-economic developments. Polymarket prices in real time based on order-book depth.

These markets are especially active around decision dates — election day, security cabinet meetings, government sessions. Volume reflects global interest in the events.

24 active markets
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2099%YesNo
July 2295%YesNo
$1.7M Volume 31/08
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3133%YesNo
August 1529%YesNo
$23.6M Volume Ends today
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30%
chance
Yes No
$209.2K Volume 31/12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
11%
chance
Yes No
$211.4K Volume 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot51%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu38%YesNo
$28.9M Volume 31/12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 3113%YesNo
September 308%YesNo
$7.9M Volume Ends today
Netanyahu out by...?Netanyahu out by...?
December 3142%YesNo
July 311%YesNo
$60.3K Volume 31/12
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3185%YesNo
September 3083%YesNo
$28K Volume
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3119%YesNo
September 3010%YesNo
$5.9M Volume Ends today
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
August 3180%YesNo
July 3143%YesNo
$241K Volume 3 days left
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
VenezuelaVenezuela22%YesNo
LebanonLebanon21%YesNo
$19.6K Volume 31/12
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
LikudLikud58%YesNo
YasharYashar41%YesNo
$148.1K Volume 27/10
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
July 311%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
$9.9M Volume Ends today
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
July 311%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
$9.9M Volume Ends today
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
December 3121%YesNo
July 312%YesNo
$1.7M Volume Ends today
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
11%
chance
Yes No
$11K Volume 31/12
Israel military action against Beirut by...?Israel military action against Beirut by...?
August 3136%YesNo
July 3116%YesNo
$118.4K Volume 31/08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 317%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
$21.6M Volume Ends today
Likud Party Primary WinnerLikud Party Primary Winner
Amir OhanaAmir Ohana28%YesNo
No Primary by Knesset Election26%YesNo
$6K Volume 26/10
Houthi military action against Israel by...?Houthi military action against Israel by...?
July 3111%YesNo
July 245%YesNo
$5K Volume 31/07
Israel military action against Yemen by...?Israel military action against Yemen by...?
July 318%YesNo
July 211%YesNo
$47.9K Volume 31/07
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
July 311%
September 3015%
$94.6K Volume 30/09
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3135%YesNo
August 3119%YesNo
$921K Volume
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 3111%
June 301%
$476.7K Volume 31/12
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Israel Markets FAQ

What Israel markets exist on Polymarket?

Election markets (who wins? seat counts), coalition formation, PM actions, security events, and economic decisions (rate cuts, law changes). Binary and multi-outcome contracts.

What moves Israel market prices?

Polls, political statements, security developments and media reporting. Prices react within minutes to significant news.

Can I trade from Israel?

Yes, via Polymarket's Polygon account. Track live markets on our site and open an account through our referral link.

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