Geopolitics · mbs

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

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$1.8M Volume

01/01/2027 04:59

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September 30

45%

December 31

$86.6K Volume

Resolved 1

June 30

$1.7M Volume

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by?

The current front-runner is September 30 at 25%, ahead of December 31 at 4%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by?

Traders currently imply a 25% chance for September 30. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by?

Total traded volume on this market is $1.8M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.