On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Politics
· Geopolitics
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
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Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Yes is the outsider here at 15%, while No trades at 85%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 15%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Traders have put $189.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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