Geopolitics Prediction Markets
Geopolitics prediction markets price the world's biggest power struggles - wars, military clashes, sanctions, peace talks and international deals - as live probabilities that update with every headline.
On Polymarket these markets often carry deep liquidity around fast-moving news events and run for weeks or months. Polymarkets tracks the real prices and probabilities across active conflicts and power shifts worldwide, so you can read the crowd's view in real time, compare scenarios, and practice risk-free in training mode before trading on Polymarket.
December 3112%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
December 3113%YesNo
August 3110%YesNo
December 316%
June 301%
December 3119%YesNoMay 312%YesNo
December 3118%YesNo
October 313%YesNo
March 31, 202719%YesNo
December 318%YesNo
December 315%YesNoMay 313%YesNo
December 315%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
December 3150%YesNo
December 318%YesNo
December 317%YesNo
March 311%YesNo
December 3130%YesNo
May 311%YesNo
December 3127%YesNo
November 3017%YesNo
December 318%YesNoMay 311%YesNo
December 316%YesNo
October 311%YesNo
December 313%YesNo
June 151%YesNo
September 301%
December 3111%
September 301%
December 319%
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202713%
December 3133%YesNo
October 311%YesNo
December 3159%YesNo
April 302%YesNo
December 317%YesNoOctober 311%YesNo
December 313%YesNo
March 311%YesNo
June 301%
December 319%
December 314%
May 311%
December 316%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
September 2549%YesNo
September 2746%YesNo
December 3110%
June 301%
December 31, 202610%YesNo
September 30, 20261%YesNo
December 31, 202550%YesNo
December 31, 20269%YesNo
December 3111%YesNo
July 313%YesNo
December 3112%YesNo
May 313%YesNo
December 3111%YesNoMay 311%YesNo
Geopolitics markets FAQ
What do geopolitics markets cover?
Wars and military clashes, ceasefires and peace talks, sanctions, international deals, elections with global stakes, and broader shifts in power between major countries - each as a yes/no or multi-outcome market with a live probability.
How do the odds work?
Each outcome trades between 1¢ and 99¢; the price is the market's implied probability. Prices move in real time as traders react to news, so they reflect the current consensus rather than a fixed forecast.
Can I follow or test these without risk?
Yes. Polymarkets's free training mode lets you paper-trade any market with live prices and $1,000 in practice money - no card, no risk - before going to Polymarket.
