🌍 Pasar Prediksi: Geopolitik

105 pasar aktif

Geopolitics prediction markets — wars, international deals and global power shifts

Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei79%YaTidak
No Head of State7%YaTidak
$37,1 jt Volume 31/12
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
August 3155%YaTidak
August 1446%YaTidak
$8,1 jt Volume 31/08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
26%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$1,6 jt Volume 31/12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2799%YaTidak
July 2899%YaTidak
$11,5 jt Volume 31/08
Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Juli? Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Juli?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$1,3 jt Volume Berakhir hari ini
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
June 302%
July 3174%
$673,1 rb Volume Berakhir hari ini
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 3113%YaTidak
September 308%YaTidak
$68,4 jt Volume Berakhir hari ini
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 3130%YaTidak
September 3011%YaTidak
$11,9 jt Volume 31/08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
August 317%
August 151%
$1,3 jt Volume 31/08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3185%YaTidak
October 3179%YaTidak
$1,9 jt Volume 31/08
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3126%YaTidak
October 3118%YaTidak
$3,4 jt Volume 31/12
Iran military action against a gulf state on...?Iran military action against a gulf state on...?
July 3136%YaTidak
July 272%YaTidak
$2,6 jt Volume 2 hari tersisa
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202726%YaTidak
December 3122%YaTidak
$21,3 jt Volume 31/12
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3131%YaTidak
August 1517%YaTidak
$25,4 jt Volume Berakhir hari ini
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 319%YaTidak
September 305%YaTidak
$29 jt Volume 31/12
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3135%YaTidak
August 1519%YaTidak
$102 rb Volume 2 hari tersisa
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3123%YaTidak
September 3019%YaTidak
$8,7 jt Volume Berakhir hari ini
Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Desember? Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 31 Desember?
52%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$1,3 jt Volume 31/12
Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 30 September? Akankah lalu lintas di Selat Hormuz kembali normal sebelum 30 September?
19%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$1,3 jt Volume 30/09
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
30+2%YaTidak
40+1%YaTidak
$68,3 rb Volume 2 hari tersisa
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
August 314%
September 307%
$213,1 rb Volume 30/09
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
December 31December 3113%YaTidak
September 30September 305%YaTidak
$67,1 rb Volume 31/12
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202716%YaTidak
December 31, 20269%YaTidak
$62,9 rb Volume 30/06
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
December 3123%YaTidak
September 309%YaTidak
$334,8 rb Volume 31/12
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 316%YaTidak
March 311%YaTidak
$57,9 rb Volume 31/12
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 157%YaTidak
July 311%YaTidak
$8,5 jt Volume 2 hari tersisa
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
September 3097%
December 3198%
$91,5 rb Volume 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%YaTidak
Benjamin Netanyahu34%YaTidak
$30,4 jt Volume 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro82%YaTidak
Delcy Rodríguez10%YaTidak
$94,8 jt Volume 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
91%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$46,8 rb Volume 31/12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202692%YaTidak
September 30, 202687%YaTidak
$8,6 jt Volume Berakhir hari ini
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3037%YaTidak
Swiss25%YaTidak
$37 rb Volume 30/09
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
12%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$53,4 rb Volume 31/12
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$202,3 rb Volume 31/12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 3112%YaTidak
September 305%YaTidak
$8,2 jt Volume Berakhir hari ini
Iran invades Kuwait by...?Iran invades Kuwait by...?
July 311%
August 314%
$630,6 rb Volume 31/08
China x Japan military clash before 2027? China x Japan military clash before 2027?
8%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$1,1 jt Volume 31/12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3136%YaTidak
October 3117%YaTidak
$5,8 jt Volume 31/12
Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 2027? Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 2027?
9%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$36,9 rb Volume 31/12
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3150%YaTidak
September 30September 3019%YaTidak
$1 jt Volume 31/12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3113%YaTidak
October 316%YaTidak
$17,6 jt Volume 31/12
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 301%YaTidak
April 301%YaTidak
$12,2 jt Volume Berakhir hari ini
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Jared KushnerJared Kushner79%YaTidak
Mark RutteMark Rutte76%YaTidak
$20 rb Volume 31/12
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Dopropillia74%YaTidak
Druzkhivka38%YaTidak
$19,5 rb Volume 31/12
How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?
No Handshake97%YaTidak
2–6s6%YaTidak
$18,7 rb Volume 2 hari tersisa
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3115%YaTidak
July 312%YaTidak
$1,3 jt Volume 2 hari tersisa
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$18,2 rb Volume 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$53,4 rb Volume 31/12
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3123%YaTidak
September 3012%YaTidak
$6,1 jt Volume Berakhir hari ini
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya11%YaTidak
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy7%YaTidak
$23 jt Volume 10/10
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 3150%YaTidak
November 3050%YaTidak
$2,1 jt Volume 31/12
Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Desember? Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Desember?
26%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$19,4 rb Volume 31/12
European military action against Iran by...?European military action against Iran by...?
July 311%
August 313%
$219,2 rb Volume 31/08
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
10%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$364,2 rb Volume 31/12
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
September 30September 3078%YaTidak
February 28February 281%YaTidak
$1,1 jt Volume 30/09
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Modi out by December 31, 2026?
6%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$12,6 rb Volume 31/12
Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 30 September? Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 30 September?
3%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$36,9 rb Volume 30/09
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing Ever Happens: July
Nothing99%
Something1%
$17,4 rb Volume 2 hari tersisa
Rekor tertinggi minyak mentah WTI sebelum ___?Rekor tertinggi minyak mentah WTI sebelum ___?
December 3115%YaTidak
September 306%YaTidak
$2,2 jt Volume 31/12
NATO article 5 before 2027? NATO article 5 before 2027?
8%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$11,2 rb Volume 31/12
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?
July 317%
August 3119%
$33,9 rb Volume 31/08
Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
July 3190%
August 3195%
$11,9 rb Volume 31/08
US military action against Cuba by...?US military action against Cuba by...?
December 31December 3129%YaTidak
January 31January 311%YaTidak
$7,1 jt Volume 31/12
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
15%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$1,6 jt Volume 31/12
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3189%YaTidak
September 3088%YaTidak
$233,2 rb Volume 31/12
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
July 2755%YaTidak
July 2944%YaTidak
$16,9 rb Volume Berakhir hari ini
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
53%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$836,6 rb Volume 20/08
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202649%YaTidak
December13%YaTidak
$159,7 rb Volume 31/12
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 3165%YaTidak
October 3156%YaTidak
$1,4 jt Volume 31/08
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
August 1746%YaTidak
August 1846%YaTidak
$16,9 rb Volume 31/08
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3128%YaTidak
October 3114%YaTidak
$235,3 rb Volume 31/12
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
Amerika Serikat1%YaTidak
Italy1%YaTidak
$8,2 rb Volume 2 hari tersisa
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?
December 3114%
June 301%
$8,2 rb Volume 31/12
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
18%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$7,9 rb Volume 31/12
Will any country leave NATO by...?Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 202550%YaTidak
December 31, 20263%YaTidak
$1,4 jt Volume 31/12
Berapa kapal yang melintasi Selat Hormuz pada pekan 27 Juli?Berapa kapal yang melintasi Selat Hormuz pada pekan 27 Juli?
50-7443%YaTidak
75-9919%YaTidak
$9,1 rb Volume 4 hari tersisa
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 3125%YaTidak
June 301%YaTidak
$2,1 jt Volume Berakhir hari ini
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
2%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$7,3 rb Volume 31/12
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3145%YaTidak
September 3039%YaTidak
$7,2 rb Volume 31/12
Akankah Netanyahu lengser sebelum...?Akankah Netanyahu lengser sebelum...?
December 3140%YaTidak
July 311%YaTidak
$6,8 rb Volume 31/12
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
June 301%YaTidak
July 311%YaTidak
$10 jt Volume Berakhir hari ini
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$10,5 jt Volume 31/12
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
August 3110%YaTidak
July 311%YaTidak
$474,7 rb Volume 2 hari tersisa
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?
September 3035%
December 3166%
$47,6 rb Volume 31/12
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Iran Reconstruction FundingIran Reconstruction Funding30%YaTidak
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)29%YaTidak
$406,5 rb Volume 31/12
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
71%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$17,4 rb Volume 31/12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 316%YaTidak
June 301%YaTidak
$21,7 jt Volume Berakhir hari ini
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 3110%
June 301%
$3,5 jt Volume 31/12
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
60+44%YaTidak
No prison time34%YaTidak
$657,3 rb Volume 31/12
Israel military action against Beirut by...?Israel military action against Beirut by...?
August 3137%YaTidak
July 315%YaTidak
$187,9 rb Volume 31/08
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
August 3162%YaTidak
August 1530%YaTidak
$4,8 rb Volume 31/08
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
December 31December 3140%YaTidak
September 30September 305%YaTidak
$4,7 rb Volume Berakhir hari ini
Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Juli? Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Juli?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$19,4 rb Volume Berakhir hari ini
Israel military action against Yemen by...?Israel military action against Yemen by...?
July 312%YaTidak
July 141%YaTidak
$134,4 rb Volume 2 hari tersisa
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3131%YaTidak
August 317%YaTidak
$952,5 rb Volume
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
14%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$20,4 rb Volume 31/12
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
September 3023%
December 3155%
$57,4 rb Volume 31/12
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-2098%YaTidak
40-601%YaTidak
$3,9 rb Volume 2 hari tersisa
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
July 2823%YaTidak
August 122%YaTidak
$3,9 rb Volume 31/08
US charges Hormuz fees by...?US charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 3110%YaTidak
August 312%YaTidak
$875,9 rb Volume 31/12
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31? Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$28,6 rb Volume 2 hari tersisa
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$3,4 rb Volume 31/08
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 312%
August 3129%
$100,2 rb Volume 31/08
Who will Trump speak to in July?Who will Trump speak to in July?
Emmanuel MacronEmmanuel Macron33%YaTidak
Lula da SilvaLula da Silva30%YaTidak
$3,2 rb Volume 2 hari tersisa
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman68%YaTidak
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin31%YaTidak
$3,7 rb Volume 31/12
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