This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Yes is priced at 5% and No at 96%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Traders currently imply a 5% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $100.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.