Geopolitics · Russia

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

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$293.2K Volume

01/01/2027 04:59

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December 31

$73.7K Volume

10%

Resolved 2

March 31

$95.7K Volume

June 30

$123.7K Volume

Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by?

Yes is priced at 9% and No at 92%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by?

Traders currently imply a 9% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by?

Total traded volume on this market is $293.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.