🌍 Tahmin Piyasaları: Jeopolitika

105 aktif pazarlar

Geopolitics prediction markets — wars, international deals and global power shifts

Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei79%EvetHayır
No Head of State7%EvetHayır
$37,1 milyon Hacim 31/12
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
August 3155%EvetHayır
August 1446%EvetHayır
$8,1 milyon Hacim 31/08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
26%
şans
Evet Hayır
$1,6 milyon Hacim 31/12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2799%EvetHayır
July 2899%EvetHayır
$11,5 milyon Hacim 31/08
Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Temmuz tarihine kadar normale döner mi? Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Temmuz tarihine kadar normale döner mi?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$1,3 milyon Hacim Bugün bitiyor
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
June 302%
July 3174%
$673,1 bin Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 3113%EvetHayır
September 308%EvetHayır
$68,4 milyon Hacim Bugün bitiyor
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 3130%EvetHayır
September 3011%EvetHayır
$11,9 milyon Hacim 31/08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
August 317%
August 151%
$1,3 milyon Hacim 31/08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3185%EvetHayır
October 3179%EvetHayır
$1,9 milyon Hacim 31/08
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3126%EvetHayır
October 3118%EvetHayır
$3,4 milyon Hacim 31/12
Iran military action against a gulf state on...?Iran military action against a gulf state on...?
July 3136%EvetHayır
July 272%EvetHayır
$2,6 milyon Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202726%EvetHayır
December 3122%EvetHayır
$21,3 milyon Hacim 31/12
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3131%EvetHayır
August 1517%EvetHayır
$25,4 milyon Hacim Bugün bitiyor
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 319%EvetHayır
September 305%EvetHayır
$29 milyon Hacim 31/12
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3135%EvetHayır
August 1519%EvetHayır
$102 bin Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3123%EvetHayır
September 3019%EvetHayır
$8,7 milyon Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Aralık tarihine kadar normale döner mi? Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 31 Aralık tarihine kadar normale döner mi?
52%
şans
Evet Hayır
$1,3 milyon Hacim 31/12
Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 30 Eylül tarihine kadar normale döner mi? Hürmüz Boğazı trafiği 30 Eylül tarihine kadar normale döner mi?
19%
şans
Evet Hayır
$1,3 milyon Hacim 30/09
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
30+2%EvetHayır
40+1%EvetHayır
$68,3 bin Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
August 314%
September 307%
$213,1 bin Hacim 30/09
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
December 31December 3113%EvetHayır
September 30September 305%EvetHayır
$67,1 bin Hacim 31/12
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202716%EvetHayır
December 31, 20269%EvetHayır
$62,9 bin Hacim 30/06
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
December 3123%EvetHayır
September 309%EvetHayır
$334,8 bin Hacim 31/12
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 316%EvetHayır
March 311%EvetHayır
$57,9 bin Hacim 31/12
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 157%EvetHayır
July 311%EvetHayır
$8,5 milyon Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
September 3097%
December 3198%
$91,5 bin Hacim 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%EvetHayır
Benjamin Netanyahu34%EvetHayır
$30,4 milyon Hacim 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro82%EvetHayır
Delcy Rodríguez10%EvetHayır
$94,8 milyon Hacim 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
91%
şans
Evet Hayır
$46,8 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202692%EvetHayır
September 30, 202687%EvetHayır
$8,6 milyon Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3037%EvetHayır
İsviçre25%EvetHayır
$37 bin Hacim 30/09
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
12%
şans
Evet Hayır
$53,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
şans
Evet Hayır
$202,3 bin Hacim 31/12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 3112%EvetHayır
September 305%EvetHayır
$8,2 milyon Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Iran invades Kuwait by...?Iran invades Kuwait by...?
July 311%
August 314%
$630,6 bin Hacim 31/08
China x Japan military clash before 2027? China x Japan military clash before 2027?
8%
şans
Evet Hayır
$1,1 milyon Hacim 31/12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3136%EvetHayır
October 3117%EvetHayır
$5,8 milyon Hacim 31/12
İran rejimi 2027 öncesi düşer mi? İran rejimi 2027 öncesi düşer mi?
9%
şans
Evet Hayır
$36,9 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3150%EvetHayır
September 30September 3019%EvetHayır
$1 milyon Hacim 31/12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3113%EvetHayır
October 316%EvetHayır
$17,6 milyon Hacim 31/12
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 301%EvetHayır
April 301%EvetHayır
$12,2 milyon Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Jared KushnerJared Kushner79%EvetHayır
Mark RutteMark Rutte76%EvetHayır
$20 bin Hacim 31/12
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Dopropillia74%EvetHayır
Druzkhivka38%EvetHayır
$19,5 bin Hacim 31/12
How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?
No Handshake97%EvetHayır
2–6s6%EvetHayır
$18,7 bin Hacim 2 gün kaldı
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3115%EvetHayır
July 312%EvetHayır
$1,3 milyon Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5%
şans
Evet Hayır
$18,2 bin Hacim 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
şans
Evet Hayır
$53,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3123%EvetHayır
September 3012%EvetHayır
$6,1 milyon Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya11%EvetHayır
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy7%EvetHayır
$23 milyon Hacim 10/10
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 3150%EvetHayır
November 3050%EvetHayır
$2,1 milyon Hacim 31/12
İran 31 Aralık tarihine kadar uranyum zenginleştirmeyi durdurmayı kabul eder mi? İran 31 Aralık tarihine kadar uranyum zenginleştirmeyi durdurmayı kabul eder mi?
26%
şans
Evet Hayır
$19,4 bin Hacim 31/12
European military action against Iran by...?European military action against Iran by...?
July 311%
August 313%
$219,2 bin Hacim 31/08
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
10%
şans
Evet Hayır
$364,2 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
September 30September 3078%EvetHayır
February 28February 281%EvetHayır
$1,1 milyon Hacim 30/09
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Modi out by December 31, 2026?
6%
şans
Evet Hayır
$12,6 bin Hacim 31/12
İran rejimi 30 Eylül tarihine kadar düşer mi? İran rejimi 30 Eylül tarihine kadar düşer mi?
3%
şans
Evet Hayır
$36,9 bin Hacim 30/09
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing Ever Happens: July
Nothing99%
Something1%
$17,4 bin Hacim 2 gün kaldı
WTI ham petrolü ___ tarihine kadar tüm zamanların zirvesinde mi?WTI ham petrolü ___ tarihine kadar tüm zamanların zirvesinde mi?
December 3115%EvetHayır
September 306%EvetHayır
$2,2 milyon Hacim 31/12
NATO article 5 before 2027? NATO article 5 before 2027?
8%
şans
Evet Hayır
$11,2 bin Hacim 31/12
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?
July 317%
August 3119%
$33,9 bin Hacim 31/08
Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
July 3190%
August 3195%
$11,9 bin Hacim 31/08
US military action against Cuba by...?US military action against Cuba by...?
December 31December 3129%EvetHayır
January 31January 311%EvetHayır
$7,1 milyon Hacim 31/12
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
15%
şans
Evet Hayır
$1,6 milyon Hacim 31/12
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3189%EvetHayır
September 3088%EvetHayır
$233,2 bin Hacim 31/12
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
July 2755%EvetHayır
July 2944%EvetHayır
$16,9 bin Hacim Bugün bitiyor
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
53%
şans
Evet Hayır
$836,6 bin Hacim 20/08
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202649%EvetHayır
December13%EvetHayır
$159,7 bin Hacim 31/12
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 3165%EvetHayır
October 3156%EvetHayır
$1,4 milyon Hacim 31/08
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
August 1746%EvetHayır
August 1846%EvetHayır
$16,9 bin Hacim 31/08
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3128%EvetHayır
October 3114%EvetHayır
$235,3 bin Hacim 31/12
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
Amerika Birleşik Devletleri1%EvetHayır
Italy1%EvetHayır
$8,2 bin Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?
December 3114%
June 301%
$8,2 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
18%
şans
Evet Hayır
$7,9 bin Hacim 31/12
Will any country leave NATO by...?Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 202550%EvetHayır
December 31, 20263%EvetHayır
$1,4 milyon Hacim 31/12
27 Temmuz haftasında Hürmüz Boğazı'dan kaç gemi geçer?27 Temmuz haftasında Hürmüz Boğazı'dan kaç gemi geçer?
50-7443%EvetHayır
75-9919%EvetHayır
$9,1 bin Hacim 4 gün kaldı
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 3125%EvetHayır
June 301%EvetHayır
$2,1 milyon Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
2%
şans
Evet Hayır
$7,3 bin Hacim 31/12
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3145%EvetHayır
September 3039%EvetHayır
$7,2 bin Hacim 31/12
Netanyahu ...tarihine kadar görevden ayrılır mı?Netanyahu ...tarihine kadar görevden ayrılır mı?
December 3140%EvetHayır
July 311%EvetHayır
$6,8 bin Hacim 31/12
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
June 301%EvetHayır
July 311%EvetHayır
$10 milyon Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6%
şans
Evet Hayır
$10,5 milyon Hacim 31/12
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
August 3110%EvetHayır
July 311%EvetHayır
$474,7 bin Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?
September 3035%
December 3166%
$47,6 bin Hacim 31/12
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Iran Reconstruction FundingIran Reconstruction Funding30%EvetHayır
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)29%EvetHayır
$406,5 bin Hacim 31/12
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
71%
şans
Evet Hayır
$17,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 316%EvetHayır
June 301%EvetHayır
$21,7 milyon Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 3110%
June 301%
$3,5 milyon Hacim 31/12
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
60+44%EvetHayır
No prison time34%EvetHayır
$657,3 bin Hacim 31/12
Israel military action against Beirut by...?Israel military action against Beirut by...?
August 3137%EvetHayır
July 315%EvetHayır
$187,9 bin Hacim 31/08
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
August 3162%EvetHayır
August 1530%EvetHayır
$4,8 bin Hacim 31/08
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
December 31December 3140%EvetHayır
September 30September 305%EvetHayır
$4,7 bin Hacim Bugün bitiyor
İran 31 Temmuz tarihine kadar uranyum zenginleştirmeyi durdurmayı kabul eder mi? İran 31 Temmuz tarihine kadar uranyum zenginleştirmeyi durdurmayı kabul eder mi?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$19,4 bin Hacim Bugün bitiyor
Israel military action against Yemen by...?Israel military action against Yemen by...?
July 312%EvetHayır
July 141%EvetHayır
$134,4 bin Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3131%EvetHayır
August 317%EvetHayır
$952,5 bin Hacim
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
14%
şans
Evet Hayır
$20,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
September 3023%
December 3155%
$57,4 bin Hacim 31/12
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-2098%EvetHayır
40-601%EvetHayır
$3,9 bin Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
July 2823%EvetHayır
August 122%EvetHayır
$3,9 bin Hacim 31/08
US charges Hormuz fees by...?US charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 3110%EvetHayır
August 312%EvetHayır
$875,9 bin Hacim 31/12
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31? Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$28,6 bin Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
1%
şans
Evet Hayır
$3,4 bin Hacim 31/08
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 312%
August 3129%
$100,2 bin Hacim 31/08
Who will Trump speak to in July?Who will Trump speak to in July?
Emmanuel MacronEmmanuel Macron33%EvetHayır
Lula da SilvaLula da Silva30%EvetHayır
$3,2 bin Hacim 2 gün kaldı
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman68%EvetHayır
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin31%EvetHayır
$3,7 bin Hacim 31/12
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