Politics · Taiwan

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

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$105.3K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

The market prices Yes at only 6%, with No at 95%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.

What do traders predict for Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 6% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026 market resolve?

The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (159 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Total turnover stands at $105.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.