World · Politics

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

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$393.4K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Yes is priced at 2% and No at 98%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Traders currently imply a 2% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Will Venezuela become 51st state market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Total traded volume on this market is $393.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Will Venezuela become 51st state on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.