This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
August 31
$11.2K Volume
18%
Resolved 4
May 31
$17.5K Volume
No
June 7
$94.1K Volume
No
June 30
$114.1K Volume
No
July 31
$104.5K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by?
Yes is priced at 10% and No at 90%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by?
Traders currently imply a 10% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Aug 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by?
Total traded volume on this market is $341.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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