Geopolitics Prediction Markets
Geopolitics prediction markets price the world's biggest power struggles - wars, military clashes, sanctions, peace talks and international deals - as live probabilities that update with every headline.
On Polymarket these markets often carry deep liquidity around fast-moving news events and run for weeks or months. Polymarkets tracks the real prices and probabilities across active conflicts and power shifts worldwide, so you can read the crowd's view in real time, compare scenarios, and practice risk-free in training mode before trading on Polymarket.
December 3111%YesNo
October 312%YesNo
December 3116%YesNo
July 313%YesNo
December 3123%YesNo
May 312%YesNo
April 3014%YesNo
December 3113%YesNo
December 3118%
June 301%
December 3111%YesNo
May 311%YesNo
December 3120%YesNo
September 302%YesNo
December 3112%YesNo
September 301%YesNo
December 3115%YesNo
April 306%YesNo
December 315%YesNo
October 311%YesNo
December 3112%YesNo
May 313%YesNo
December 3122%YesNo
June 301%YesNo
June 301%
December 315%
October 311%
December 3118%
Australia16%YesNo
US15%YesNo
December 318%YesNo
October 312%YesNo
December 317%YesNo
April 302%YesNo
December 3189%YesNo
November 3058%YesNo
October 312%
December 3111%
Nothing99%
Something1%
October 311%
December 3110%
December 315%
June 301%
December 315%YesNo
October 311%YesNo
October 311%
December 317%
October 311%
December 3113%
December 3154%YesNo
October 317%YesNo
December 313%YesNo
October 311%YesNo
October 312%
December 3111%
October 311%
December 314%
October 312%
December 315%
December 314%
March 3113%Geopolitics markets FAQ
What do geopolitics markets cover?
Wars and military clashes, ceasefires and peace talks, sanctions, international deals, elections with global stakes, and broader shifts in power between major countries - each as a yes/no or multi-outcome market with a live probability.
How do the odds work?
Each outcome trades between 1¢ and 99¢; the price is the market's implied probability. Prices move in real time as traders react to news, so they reflect the current consensus rather than a fixed forecast.
Can I follow or test these without risk?
Yes. Polymarkets's free training mode lets you paper-trade any market with live prices and $1,000 in practice money - no card, no risk - before going to Polymarket.
