This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Analysis & News
Will Iran Play at the World Cup? The Market Says 97% - Despite the War, Pulled Tickets and a Visa Standoff
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 3%, with No at 97%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 3%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (157 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $192.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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