This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
372
posts so far
· pace 425
360-379
$198.4K Volume
44%
380-399
$202.1K Volume
51%
400-419
$173K Volume
6%
420-439
$135.7K Volume
1%
440-459
$159.1K Volume
1%
460-479
$127.1K Volume
1%
480-499
$156.2K Volume
1%
500-519
$148.6K Volume
1%
520-539
$89.4K Volume
1%
540-559
$79.4K Volume
1%
560-579
$73.8K Volume
1%
580+
$111.5K Volume
1%
Resolved 18
<20
$100 Volume
No
20-39
$100 Volume
No
40-59
$100 Volume
No
60-79
$290 Volume
No
80-99
$47.2K Volume
No
100-119
$17.5K Volume
No
120-139
$18.1K Volume
No
140-159
$26.8K Volume
No
160-179
$41.9K Volume
No
180-199
$47.3K Volume
No
200-219
$43.3K Volume
No
220-239
$52.6K Volume
No
240-259
$55.8K Volume
No
260-279
$69.7K Volume
No
280-299
$94.5K Volume
No
300-319
$102K Volume
No
320-339
$160.5K Volume
No
340-359
$338.5K Volume
No
Resolution Source: x.com
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
The current front-runner is 380-399 at 50%, ahead of 360-379 at 44%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
Traders currently imply a 50% chance for 380-399. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 3 Nov 2026 (1 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.1M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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