🌍 Masoko ya Utabiri: Jiografia ya Kisiasa

105 masoko ya kazi

Geopolitics prediction markets — wars, international deals and global power shifts

Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei79%NdiyoHapana
No Head of State7%NdiyoHapana
$37.1M Kiasi 31/12
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
August 3155%NdiyoHapana
August 1446%NdiyoHapana
$8.1M Kiasi 31/08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
26%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$1.6M Kiasi 31/12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2799%NdiyoHapana
July 2899%NdiyoHapana
$11.5M Kiasi 31/08
Je, usafiri katika Mlango wa Hormuz utarejea kawaida kufikia 31 Julai? Je, usafiri katika Mlango wa Hormuz utarejea kawaida kufikia 31 Julai?
1%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$1.3M Kiasi Inaisha leo
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
June 302%
July 3174%
$673.1K Kiasi Inaisha leo
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 3113%NdiyoHapana
September 308%NdiyoHapana
$68.4M Kiasi Inaisha leo
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 3130%NdiyoHapana
September 3011%NdiyoHapana
$11.9M Kiasi 31/08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
August 317%
August 151%
$1.3M Kiasi 31/08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3185%NdiyoHapana
October 3179%NdiyoHapana
$1.9M Kiasi 31/08
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3126%NdiyoHapana
October 3118%NdiyoHapana
$3.4M Kiasi 31/12
Iran military action against a gulf state on...?Iran military action against a gulf state on...?
July 3136%NdiyoHapana
July 272%NdiyoHapana
$2.6M Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202726%NdiyoHapana
December 3122%NdiyoHapana
$21.3M Kiasi 31/12
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3131%NdiyoHapana
August 1517%NdiyoHapana
$25.4M Kiasi Inaisha leo
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 319%NdiyoHapana
September 305%NdiyoHapana
$29M Kiasi 31/12
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3135%NdiyoHapana
August 1519%NdiyoHapana
$102K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3123%NdiyoHapana
September 3019%NdiyoHapana
$8.7M Kiasi Inaisha leo
Je, usafiri katika Mlango wa Hormuz utarejea kawaida kufikia 31 Desemba? Je, usafiri katika Mlango wa Hormuz utarejea kawaida kufikia 31 Desemba?
52%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$1.3M Kiasi 31/12
Je, usafiri katika Mlango wa Hormuz utarejea kawaida kufikia 30 Septemba? Je, usafiri katika Mlango wa Hormuz utarejea kawaida kufikia 30 Septemba?
19%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$1.3M Kiasi 30/09
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
30+2%NdiyoHapana
40+1%NdiyoHapana
$68.3K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
August 314%
September 307%
$213.1K Kiasi 30/09
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
December 31December 3113%NdiyoHapana
September 30September 305%NdiyoHapana
$67.1K Kiasi 31/12
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202716%NdiyoHapana
December 31, 20269%NdiyoHapana
$62.9K Kiasi 30/06
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
December 3123%NdiyoHapana
September 309%NdiyoHapana
$334.8K Kiasi 31/12
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 316%NdiyoHapana
March 311%NdiyoHapana
$57.9K Kiasi 31/12
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 157%NdiyoHapana
July 311%NdiyoHapana
$8.5M Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
September 3097%
December 3198%
$91.5K Kiasi 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%NdiyoHapana
Benjamin Netanyahu34%NdiyoHapana
$30.4M Kiasi 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro82%NdiyoHapana
Delcy Rodríguez10%NdiyoHapana
$94.8M Kiasi 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
91%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$46.8K Kiasi 31/12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202692%NdiyoHapana
September 30, 202687%NdiyoHapana
$8.6M Kiasi Inaisha leo
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3037%NdiyoHapana
Uswisi25%NdiyoHapana
$37K Kiasi 30/09
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
12%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$53.4K Kiasi 31/12
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$202.3K Kiasi 31/12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 3112%NdiyoHapana
September 305%NdiyoHapana
$8.2M Kiasi Inaisha leo
Iran invades Kuwait by...?Iran invades Kuwait by...?
July 311%
August 314%
$630.6K Kiasi 31/08
China x Japan military clash before 2027? China x Japan military clash before 2027?
8%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$1.1M Kiasi 31/12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3136%NdiyoHapana
October 3117%NdiyoHapana
$5.8M Kiasi 31/12
Je, utawala wa Iran utaanguka kabla ya 2027? Je, utawala wa Iran utaanguka kabla ya 2027?
9%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$36.9K Kiasi 31/12
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3150%NdiyoHapana
September 30September 3019%NdiyoHapana
$1M Kiasi 31/12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3113%NdiyoHapana
October 316%NdiyoHapana
$17.6M Kiasi 31/12
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 301%NdiyoHapana
April 301%NdiyoHapana
$12.2M Kiasi Inaisha leo
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Jared KushnerJared Kushner79%NdiyoHapana
Mark RutteMark Rutte76%NdiyoHapana
$20K Kiasi 31/12
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Dopropillia74%NdiyoHapana
Druzkhivka38%NdiyoHapana
$19.5K Kiasi 31/12
How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?
No Handshake97%NdiyoHapana
2–6s6%NdiyoHapana
$18.7K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3115%NdiyoHapana
July 312%NdiyoHapana
$1.3M Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$18.2K Kiasi 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$53.4K Kiasi 31/12
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3123%NdiyoHapana
September 3012%NdiyoHapana
$6.1M Kiasi Inaisha leo
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya11%NdiyoHapana
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy7%NdiyoHapana
$23M Kiasi 10/10
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 3150%NdiyoHapana
November 3050%NdiyoHapana
$2.1M Kiasi 31/12
Je, Iran itakubali kusitisha urutubishaji wa urani kufikia 31 Desemba? Je, Iran itakubali kusitisha urutubishaji wa urani kufikia 31 Desemba?
26%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$19.4K Kiasi 31/12
European military action against Iran by...?European military action against Iran by...?
July 311%
August 313%
$219.2K Kiasi 31/08
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
10%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$364.2K Kiasi 31/12
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
September 30September 3078%NdiyoHapana
February 28February 281%NdiyoHapana
$1.1M Kiasi 30/09
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Modi out by December 31, 2026?
6%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$12.6K Kiasi 31/12
Je, utawala wa Iran utaanguka kufikia 30 Septemba? Je, utawala wa Iran utaanguka kufikia 30 Septemba?
3%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$36.9K Kiasi 30/09
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing Ever Happens: July
Nothing99%
Something1%
$17.4K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Kiwango cha juu kabisa cha mafuta ghafi ya WTI kufikia ___?Kiwango cha juu kabisa cha mafuta ghafi ya WTI kufikia ___?
December 3115%NdiyoHapana
September 306%NdiyoHapana
$2.2M Kiasi 31/12
NATO article 5 before 2027? NATO article 5 before 2027?
8%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$11.2K Kiasi 31/12
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?
July 317%
August 3119%
$33.9K Kiasi 31/08
Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
July 3190%
August 3195%
$11.9K Kiasi 31/08
US military action against Cuba by...?US military action against Cuba by...?
December 31December 3129%NdiyoHapana
January 31January 311%NdiyoHapana
$7.1M Kiasi 31/12
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
15%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$1.6M Kiasi 31/12
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3189%NdiyoHapana
September 3088%NdiyoHapana
$233.2K Kiasi 31/12
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
July 2755%NdiyoHapana
July 2944%NdiyoHapana
$16.9K Kiasi Inaisha leo
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
53%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$836.6K Kiasi 20/08
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202649%NdiyoHapana
December13%NdiyoHapana
$159.7K Kiasi 31/12
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 3165%NdiyoHapana
October 3156%NdiyoHapana
$1.4M Kiasi 31/08
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
August 1746%NdiyoHapana
August 1846%NdiyoHapana
$16.9K Kiasi 31/08
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3128%NdiyoHapana
October 3114%NdiyoHapana
$235.3K Kiasi 31/12
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
Marekani1%NdiyoHapana
Italy1%NdiyoHapana
$8.2K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?
December 3114%
June 301%
$8.2K Kiasi 31/12
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
18%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$7.9K Kiasi 31/12
Will any country leave NATO by...?Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 202550%NdiyoHapana
December 31, 20263%NdiyoHapana
$1.4M Kiasi 31/12
Meli ngapi zitapita Mlango wa Hormuz katika wiki ya 27 Julai?Meli ngapi zitapita Mlango wa Hormuz katika wiki ya 27 Julai?
50-7443%NdiyoHapana
75-9919%NdiyoHapana
$9.1K Kiasi Siku 4 zimebaki
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 3125%NdiyoHapana
June 301%NdiyoHapana
$2.1M Kiasi Inaisha leo
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
2%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$7.3K Kiasi 31/12
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3145%NdiyoHapana
September 3039%NdiyoHapana
$7.2K Kiasi 31/12
Je, Netanyahu ataondoka madarakani kufikia...?Je, Netanyahu ataondoka madarakani kufikia...?
December 3140%NdiyoHapana
July 311%NdiyoHapana
$6.8K Kiasi 31/12
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
June 301%NdiyoHapana
July 311%NdiyoHapana
$10M Kiasi Inaisha leo
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$10.5M Kiasi 31/12
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
August 3110%NdiyoHapana
July 311%NdiyoHapana
$474.7K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?
September 3035%
December 3166%
$47.6K Kiasi 31/12
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Iran Reconstruction FundingIran Reconstruction Funding30%NdiyoHapana
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)29%NdiyoHapana
$406.5K Kiasi 31/12
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
71%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$17.4K Kiasi 31/12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 316%NdiyoHapana
June 301%NdiyoHapana
$21.7M Kiasi Inaisha leo
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 3110%
June 301%
$3.5M Kiasi 31/12
Maduro Prison Time?Maduro Prison Time?
60+44%NdiyoHapana
No prison time34%NdiyoHapana
$657.3K Kiasi 31/12
Israel military action against Beirut by...?Israel military action against Beirut by...?
August 3137%NdiyoHapana
July 315%NdiyoHapana
$187.9K Kiasi 31/08
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
August 3162%NdiyoHapana
August 1530%NdiyoHapana
$4.8K Kiasi 31/08
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
December 31December 3140%NdiyoHapana
September 30September 305%NdiyoHapana
$4.7K Kiasi Inaisha leo
Je, Iran itakubali kusitisha urutubishaji wa urani kufikia 31 Julai? Je, Iran itakubali kusitisha urutubishaji wa urani kufikia 31 Julai?
1%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$19.4K Kiasi Inaisha leo
Israel military action against Yemen by...?Israel military action against Yemen by...?
July 312%NdiyoHapana
July 141%NdiyoHapana
$134.4K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3131%NdiyoHapana
August 317%NdiyoHapana
$952.5K Kiasi
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
14%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$20.4K Kiasi 31/12
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
September 3023%
December 3155%
$57.4K Kiasi 31/12
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-2098%NdiyoHapana
40-601%NdiyoHapana
$3.9K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
July 2823%NdiyoHapana
August 122%NdiyoHapana
$3.9K Kiasi 31/08
US charges Hormuz fees by...?US charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 3110%NdiyoHapana
August 312%NdiyoHapana
$875.9K Kiasi 31/12
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31? Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?
1%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$28.6K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
1%
nafasi
Ndiyo Hapana
$3.4K Kiasi 31/08
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 312%
August 3129%
$100.2K Kiasi 31/08
Who will Trump speak to in July?Who will Trump speak to in July?
Emmanuel MacronEmmanuel Macron33%NdiyoHapana
Lula da SilvaLula da Silva30%NdiyoHapana
$3.2K Kiasi Siku 2 zimebaki
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman68%NdiyoHapana
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin31%NdiyoHapana
$3.7K Kiasi 31/12
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