This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Maduro guilty of all counts?
Yes is trading at 14% and No at 86%, based on live order-book prices on Polymarket. The numbers move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Maduro guilty of all counts?
The market gives Yes a 14% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Maduro guilty of all counts market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2027 (548 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Maduro guilty of all counts?
Total traded volume on this market is $124.9K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade Maduro guilty of all counts on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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