Mercados de Previsão de Trump

Os mercados de previsão de Trump estão entre os mais ativos do Polymarket — mandato, processos legais, política externa (Ucrânia, China, Oriente Médio), política interna e aprovação geral. Os volumes superam centenas de milhões de dólares.

Esses mercados reagem fortemente a cada declaração importante — via Truth Social, entrevistas ou anúncios da Casa Branca. A cobertura de notícias em tempo real cria oportunidades de negociação.

48 mercados ativos
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30%
chance
Sim Não
$236.9K Volume 31/12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
38%
chance
Sim Não
$2.3M Volume 01/01
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 1517%SimNão
July 3110%SimNão
$7.9M Volume 31/07
Trump out as President by July 31? Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
chance
Sim Não
$178.5K Volume 31/07
What will Trump say during his remarks in Georgia?What will Trump say during his remarks in Georgia?
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times99%SimNão
Family 5+ times99%SimNão
$120.2K Volume Encerra hoje
O regime iraniano cairá antes de 2027? O regime iraniano cairá antes de 2027?
11%
chance
Sim Não
$118.1K Volume 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in July?Who will Trump meet with in July?
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu67%SimNão
Elon MuskElon Musk14%SimNão
$62.2K Volume 31/07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 3147%SimNão
August 1530%SimNão
$692.3K Volume 31/08
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
8%
chance
Sim Não
$178.5K Volume 31/12
Who will Trump speak to in July?Who will Trump speak to in July?
Ursula von der LeyenUrsula von der Leyen63%SimNão
Lula da SilvaLula da Silva57%SimNão
$38.4K Volume 31/07
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3140%SimNão
July 318%SimNão
$37.4K Volume 31/07
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro81%SimNão
Delcy Rodríguez11%SimNão
$94M Volume 31/12
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202790%SimNão
SuíçaSuíça3%SimNão
$31.9K Volume 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3124%SimNão
July 318%SimNão
$1.1M Volume 31/07
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
August 3185%SimNão
July 3163%SimNão
$255.9K Volume 2 dias restantes
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
June 302%
July 319%
$20.2K Volume 31/07
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
30+13%SimNão
40+8%SimNão
$19K Volume 31/07
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3123%SimNão
October 3113%SimNão
$852.2K Volume 31/12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3114%SimNão
September 307%SimNão
$28.6M Volume 31/12
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3025%SimNão
Pakistan23%SimNão
$16K Volume 30/09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3136%SimNão
October 3122%SimNão
$5.6M Volume 31/12
Decisão do Fed em outubro?Decisão do Fed em outubro?
No change60%SimNão
25 bps increase31%SimNão
$3.7M Volume 28/10
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
chance
Sim Não
$10.2K Volume 31/12
Iran coup attempt by...?Iran coup attempt by...?
December 3113%
June 301%
$2.1M Volume 31/12
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3170%SimNão
ChinaChina12%SimNão
$8.2K Volume 31/12
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Donald BrodieDonald Brodie55%SimNão
Stefan BrodieStefan Brodie23%SimNão
$372.2K Volume 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
120-13925%SimNão
140-15923%SimNão
$12.7K Volume 6 dias restantes
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa2%SimNão
Mohammed bin Salman2%SimNão
$2M Volume 01/08
What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)
Champion73%SimNão
Rigged66%SimNão
$7.4K Volume 4 dias restantes
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%SimNão
September 303%SimNão
$8.5K Volume 31/12
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 2990%SimNão
July 2590%SimNão
$4.9K Volume 31/07
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
140-15937%SimNão
120-13934%SimNão
$12.7K Volume 2 dias restantes
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
YMTCYMTC49%SimNão
UnitreeUnitree48%SimNão
$10K Volume 30/06
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
August 3187%SimNão
August 1566%SimNão
$4.4K Volume 31/08
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
chance
Sim Não
$3.8K Volume 31/07
O Irã concordará em encerrar o enriquecimento de urânio até 31 de julho? O Irã concordará em encerrar o enriquecimento de urânio até 31 de julho?
1%
chance
Sim Não
$3.9K Volume 31/07
US x China tariff agreement by July 31? US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
2%
chance
Sim Não
$4.7K Volume 31/07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3114%SimNão
October 317%SimNão
$17.4M Volume 31/12
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3130%SimNão
September 309%SimNão
$95K Volume 31/12
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
15%
chance
Sim Não
$1.5M Volume 31/12
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
93%
chance
Sim Não
$564.1K Volume 31/12
What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?
Fake News83%SimNão
Iran 3+ times55%SimNão
$10.1K Volume 2 dias restantes
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 3131%SimNão
June 301%SimNão
$2.1M Volume Encerra hoje
US x Russia military clash by...?US x Russia military clash by...?
December 31, 20263%SimNão
December 311%SimNão
$1.8M Volume 31/12
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%31%SimNão
4.0%29%SimNão
$6.7M Volume 09/12
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 3113%
August 3133%
$63.2K Volume 31/08
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Inflation 20+ times87%SimNão
Balance Sheet84%SimNão
$2.5K Volume 7 dias restantes
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 319%
June 301%
$477K Volume 31/12
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FAQ dos Mercados de Trump

Quais mercados de Trump estão ao vivo agora?

Aprovação anual, resultados de políticas específicas, processos legais, resultados de negociações internacionais e decisões de nomeações de alto escalão.

O que move os preços?

Declarações de Trump (especialmente Truth Social), anúncios oficiais da Casa Branca, decisões judiciais e ações do Congresso. As reações são muito rápidas.

Como gerencio o risco nos mercados de Trump?

Alta volatilidade — construa posições gradualmente, evite sobrecarga em um único mercado e verifique a profundidade do livro de ordens antes de entrar.

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$1K
Dinheiro Virtual
500+
Mercados
$0
Risco Real
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